TableChase Clubs

South Carolina United

ECNL Girls · Southeast GU14 · 16 teams · South Carolina United FC (all teams)

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4th
5-1-2 record · 8 played
2.00 points per game
+13 goal diff · 23–10
LWWWLlast 5
49% chance of top 4 · expected finish 4.8
-0.29 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sat Mar 13, 01:00 PM

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South Carolina United
4th · 2.00 PPG
at
United Futbol Academy
10th · 1.43 PPG

Fowler Park, Field 7 ↗ far trip

windrawloss

●●○○○ Lean win to win

Most likely score 2–1 (expected goals 2.7 for, 1.3 against · 2.20 expected points)

Season so farSouth Carolina UnitedUnited Futbol Academy
Position4th10th
Record (W-D-L)5-1-23-1-3
Points per game2.001.43
Goals for / game2.91.4
Goals against / game1.32.1
Clean sheets32
Held scoreless12
Form (recent first)L W W W LW W L L D
Biggest win8–0 vs Seminole United2–0 vs Jacksonville FC
Worst loss0–4 vs Florida Kraze Krush1–5 vs Florida Premier FC
Model rating (net goals vs avg)+1.08-0.57
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)-0.29-0.35

Common opponents: Team Boca — we 3–2; they 4–3. Seminole United — we 8–0; they 2–0. Florida Kraze Krush — we 0–4; they 0–4. Jacksonville FC — we 2–1; they 2–0. Sporting SA JAX — we 2–0; they 0–2. Tampa Bay United — we 6–0; they 1–1. Florida Premier FC — we 1–2; they 1–5.

Game plan

  • Finishing wins the tight ones
    Held scoreless 1 time(s): 0–4 vs Florida Kraze Krush.

    Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.

  • Swing game — small margins
    Win 68% / draw 16% / loss 16%.

    Games like this are decided by one set piece or one transition. Prioritise the strongest XI for the full game, be disciplined with fouls near the box, and have a clear late-game plan for both "protect the lead" and "chase".

  • Away game
    Kickoff 01:00 PM at Fowler Park.

    Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.

If Saturday goes…

Where we'd sit after the United Futbol Academy game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (South Carolina United – United Futbol Academy) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 14 other games that week (Mon Mar 8 – Sun Mar 14); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Win · 2.11 PPG
4th— holds 5th▼ down 1 5th▼ down 1
Win
2.11 PPG
4th— holds 5th▼ down 1 5th▼ down 1
Draw
1.89 PPG
5th▼ down 1 6th▼ down 2 8th▼ down 4
Loss
1.78 PPG
6th▼ down 2 6th▼ down 2 8th▼ down 4

Can we move up this round? Yes. With a 2–1 win we finish as high as 3rd if every rival drops points, and as low as 5th if every rival wins.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

0% finish 1st
49% top 4
51% below the top 4
4.8 average finish
  1. 1st
  2. 2nd 1%
  3. 3rd 16%
  4. 4th 33%
  5. 5th 23%
  6. 6th 14%
  7. 7th 7%
  8. 8th 5%
  9. 9th 2%
  10. 10th <1%
  11. 11th
  12. 12th
  13. 13th
  14. 14th
  15. 15th
  16. 16th

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 7 remaining known games (max 2.47 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 Florida Kraze Krush 2.78 (+0.78) 1st (2.71) 26 of 21 pts to pass their current pace, 25 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
2 Florida Premier FC 2.75 (+0.75) 2nd (2.57) 26 of 21 pts to pass their current pace, 23 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
3 Concorde Fire Platinum 2.25 (+0.25) 3rd (2.20) 18 of 21 pts to pass their current pace, 17 for their projection

How the results connect

13 chains · 9 teams

Paths of results that link South Carolina United to United Futbol Academy through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

8 favour us
3 even
2 favour them
+2.5 goals per chain on average. The results point our way.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
0–4 4–0 3–2 3–4 2–1 0–2 1–2 5–1 2–0 2–0 6–0 1–1 8–0 0–2 0–5 2–0 0–6 South Carolina Unit… 4th Florida Kraze Krush 1st Team Boca 15th Jacksonville FC 12th Florida Premier FC 2nd Sporting SA JAX 7th Tampa Bay United 14th Seminole United 16th United Futbol Acade… 10th

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

12 chains

Position over the season

11 game days

1st 8th 16th Aug 29 Sep 12 Sep 19 Sep 26 Oct 4 Oct 18

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty +0.23 · 7th hardest of 16

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sat Mar 13
01:00 PM
United Futbol Academy
10th · 3-1-3 · GD -5
Away far trip
Fowler Park
●●○○○ Lean win
68%
2–1 2.20 2.02 Swing game
Sun Mar 14
TBD
Atlanta Fire United
11th · 3-1-4 · GD -9
Away
●●○○○ Lean win
73%
2–1 2.33 2.05 Bank it
Sat Mar 20
TBD
CESA Liberty
5th · 5-1-2 · GD +8
Away
●●●●○ Tough
39%
1–1 1.42 2.00 Upside
Sat Apr 10
01:00 PM
Alabama FC
13th · 1-2-5 · GD -5
Home
Southeastern Freight Lines Complex
●○○○○ Favorable
75%
2–1 2.39 2.03 Bank it
Sun Apr 11
09:00 AM
Concorde Fire Premier
8th · 4-2-2 · GD +12
Home
Southeastern Freight Lines Complex
●●●○○ Toss-up
47%
2–1 1.63 2.00 Swing game
Sat Apr 24
11:00 AM
Concorde Fire Platinum
3rd · 6-0-2 · GD +20
Home
Southeastern Freight Lines Complex
●●●●○ Tough
35%
1–2 1.27 1.95 Upside
Sun Apr 25
09:00 AM
GSA
6th · 5-0-3 · GD +5
Home
Southeastern Freight Lines Complex
●●●○○ Toss-up
56%
2–1 1.87 1.94 Swing game

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 Florida Kraze Krush 9810 304+26 252.78 WWWWW +0.27 -0.70 100% 1.3
2 Florida Premier FC 8710 256+19 222.75 WWDWW +0.34 -0.61 100% 1.8
3 Concorde Fire Platinum 8602 299+20 182.25 WWWLW -0.34 +0.15 89% 3.4
4 South Carolina United 8512 2310+13 162.00 LWWWL -0.29 +0.23 49% 4.8
5 CESA Liberty 8512 168+8 162.00 WDWLW -0.30 +0.30 30% 5.6
6 GSA 8503 1611+5 151.88 WWLWL -0.33 +0.33 12% 6.7
7 Sporting SA JAX 9513 1613+3 161.78 LDLWW -0.01 +0.08 4% 7.0
8 Concorde Fire Premier 8422 2210+12 141.75 WWDLL -0.30 +0.26 16% 6.3
9 Athletic Club Florida 7313 1317-4 101.43 LWLWW +0.43 -0.36 1% 8.5
10 United Futbol Academy 7313 1015-5 101.43 DLLWW -0.35 +0.38 0% 10.5
11 Atlanta Fire United 8314 918-9 101.25 DWLWL -0.33 +0.51 0% 11.5
12 Jacksonville FC 10217 816-8 70.70 LLWDW +0.16 -0.20 0% 11.9
13 Alabama FC 8125 1116-5 50.63 LLLDL -0.30 +0.46 0% 12.9
14 Tampa Bay United 8125 425-21 50.63 DLWLL +0.34 -0.10 0% 14.0
15 Team Boca 8017 1122-11 10.13 LLLLL +0.29 -0.23 0% 14.0
16 Seminole United 100010 346-43 00.00 LLLLL +0.26 +0.20 0% 16.0

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (1.82 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.