Racing Louisville Academy

ECNL Girls · Ohio Valley GU16 · 6 teams · LouCity / Racing Youth Academy (all teams)

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5th

0-0-0 record · 0 played

0.00 points per game

+0 goal diff · 0–0

last 0

66% chance of top 4 · expected finish 3.5

+0.00 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sat Nov 21, 12:45 PM

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Racing Louisville Academy
5th · 0.00 PPG

Ohio Elite SA
4th · 0.00 PPG

Seven Hills School, Lower Field ↗ far trip

35% 18% 47%

windrawloss

●●●●○ Tough to win

Most likely score 2–2 (expected goals 2.4 for, 2.7 against · 1.24 expected points)

Season so far	Racing Louisville Academy	Ohio Elite SA
Position	5th	4th
Record (W-D-L)	0-0-0	0-0-0
Points per game	0.00	0.00
Goals for / game	0.0	0.0
Goals against / game	0.0	0.0
Clean sheets	0	0
Held scoreless	0	0
Form (recent first)	—	—
Biggest win	—	—
Worst loss	—	—
Model rating (net goals vs avg)	+0.00	+0.00
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)	+0.00	+0.00

Game plan

They struggle to score
Ohio Elite SA average 0.0 goals/game (league avg 2.5); blanked in 0 of 0.
A higher defensive line and an aggressive counter-press are low-risk here. Keep the back line connected to midfield so one long ball doesn't turn into a 1v1 — that is the only way this opponent scores.
Underdog — play free, stay organised
Model gives 35%; a draw (18%) would be a good result.
Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.
Away game
Kickoff 12:45 PM at Seven Hills School.
Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.
What a win does
Ohio Elite SA sit 4th on 0.00 PPG; we are on 0.00.
A point moves us above Ohio Elite SA on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.

If Saturday goes…

Where we'd sit after the Ohio Elite SA game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Racing Louisville Academy – Ohio Elite SA) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 0 other games that week (Mon Nov 16 – Sun Nov 22); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our result	Rivals don't play	Likely results	Every rival wins
– Draw · 1.00 PPG	2nd▲ up 3	2nd▲ up 3	2nd▲ up 3
Win 3.00 PPG	1st▲ up 4	1st▲ up 4	1st▲ up 4
Draw 1.00 PPG	2nd▲ up 3	2nd▲ up 3	2nd▲ up 3
Loss 0.00 PPG	6th▼ down 1	6th▼ down 1	6th▼ down 1

Can we move up this round? Yes. With a 2–2 draw we finish as high as 2nd if every rival drops points, whatever the rivals do.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

16% finish 1st

66% top 4

34% below the top 4

3.5 average finish

1st 16%
2nd 15%
3rd 17%
4th 18%
5th 18%
6th 16%

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 12 remaining known games (max 3.00 PPG if we win out).

#	Team	PPG	Proj.	To pass them
1	FC Alliance TN	0.00 (+0.00)	1st (1.46)	Already ahead
2	FC Pride Elite	0.00 (+0.00)	5th (1.44)	Already ahead
3	Indy Eleven	0.00 (+0.00)	3rd (1.44)	Already ahead
4	Ohio Elite SA	0.00 (+0.00)	6th (1.44)	Already ahead

The path

run-in difficulty +0.00 · 5th hardest of 6

Date	Opponent	Where	Difficulty	Win	Likely	Exp. pts	Run. PPG	Priority
Sat Nov 21 12:45 PM	Ohio Elite SA 4th · 0-0-0 · GD +0	Away far trip Seven Hills School	●●●●○ Tough	35%	2–2	1.24	1.24	Upside
Sun Dec 13 11:00 AM	FC Alliance TN 1st · 0-0-0 · GD +0	Away far trip Hardin Valley Academy Stadium · turf?	●●●●○ Tough	35%	2–2	1.24	1.24	Upside
Sun Dec 20 02:00 PM	Indy Eleven 3rd · 0-0-0 · GD +0	Home Lynn Family Sports Vision & Training Facility	●●●○○ Toss-up	47%	2–2	1.58	1.35	Swing game
Sun Feb 14 09:00 AM	Tennessee SC 6th · 0-0-0 · GD +0	Away far trip Bethesda Sports Park	●●●●○ Tough	35%	2–2	1.24	1.33	Upside
Sat Mar 6 11:00 AM	FC Alliance TN 1st · 0-0-0 · GD +0	Home Lynn Family Sports Vision & Training Facility	●●●○○ Toss-up	47%	2–2	1.58	1.38	Swing game
Sun Mar 7 11:00 AM	Tennessee SC 6th · 0-0-0 · GD +0	Home Lynn Family Sports Vision & Training Facility	●●●○○ Toss-up	47%	2–2	1.58	1.41	Swing game
Sat Mar 13 11:00 AM	WNY Flash	Home Thurman Hutchins	●●●○○ Toss-up	47%	2–2	1.58	1.43	Swing game
Sun Mar 14 10:15 AM	Pittsburgh Riverhounds	Home Thurman Hutchins	●●●○○ Toss-up	47%	2–2	1.58	1.45	Swing game
Sun Apr 11 01:00 PM	Ohio Elite SA 4th · 0-0-0 · GD +0	Home Lynn Family Sports Vision & Training Facility	●●●○○ Toss-up	47%	2–2	1.58	1.47	Swing game
Sat May 8 01:00 PM	FC Pride Elite 2nd · 0-0-0 · GD +0	Home Lynn Family Sports Vision & Training Facility	●●●○○ Toss-up	47%	2–2	1.58	1.48	Swing game
Sat May 8 TBD	FC Pride Elite 2nd · 0-0-0 · GD +0	Away	●●●●○ Tough	35%	2–2	1.24	1.46	Upside
Sun May 9 TBD	Indy Eleven 3rd · 0-0-0 · GD +0	Away	●●●●○ Tough	35%	2–2	1.24	1.44	Upside

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

Team

Pts

PPG

Form

SoS

Run-in

Top 4

Exp. finish

FC Alliance TN

0.00

—

+0.00

—

No games played yet.

Next: Sat Dec 12 vs Ohio Elite SA · Sun Dec 13 vs Racing Louisville Academy · Sat Jan 30 at Tennessee SC See all 14 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Dec 12	vs	Ohio Elite SA (4th)	2–2	47%
·	Sun Dec 13	vs	Racing Louisville Academy (5th)	2–2	47%
·	Sat Jan 30	at	Tennessee SC (6th)	2–2	35%
·	Sat Feb 27	vs	Internationals SC (—)	2–2	47%
·	Sun Feb 28	vs	Cleveland Force SC (—)	2–2	47%
·	Sat Mar 6	at	Racing Louisville Academy (5th)	2–2	35%
·	Sun Mar 7	at	Ohio Elite SA (4th)	2–2	35%
·	Sat Mar 13	vs	Ohio Premier (—)	2–2	47%
·	Sun Mar 14	vs	GTFC Impact (—)	2–2	47%
·	Sat Apr 10	at	FC Pride Elite (2nd)	2–2	35%
·	Sun Apr 11	at	Indy Eleven (3rd)	2–2	35%
·	Sat May 1	vs	Tennessee SC (6th)	2–2	47%
·	Sat May 15	vs	FC Pride Elite (2nd)	2–2	47%
·	Sun May 16	vs	Indy Eleven (3rd)	2–2	47%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

FC Pride Elite

0.00

—

+0.00

—

No games played yet.

Next: Sat Dec 12 at Indy Eleven · Sun Feb 21 at Tennessee SC · Sat Mar 6 vs Indy Eleven See all 12 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Dec 12	at	Indy Eleven (3rd)	2–2	35%
·	Sun Feb 21	at	Tennessee SC (6th)	2–2	35%
·	Sat Mar 6	vs	Indy Eleven (3rd)	2–2	47%
·	Sat Apr 10	vs	FC Alliance TN (1st)	2–2	47%
·	Sun Apr 11	vs	Tennessee SC (6th)	2–2	47%
·	Sat Apr 24	vs	Internationals SC (—)	2–2	47%
·	Sun Apr 25	vs	Cleveland Force SC (—)	2–2	47%
·	Sat May 1	at	Ohio Elite SA (4th)	2–2	35%
·	Sat May 8	at	Racing Louisville Academy (5th)	2–2	35%
·	Sat May 8	vs	Racing Louisville Academy (5th)	2–2	47%
·	Sun May 9	vs	Ohio Elite SA (4th)	2–2	47%
·	Sat May 15	at	FC Alliance TN (1st)	2–2	35%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Indy Eleven

0.00

—

+0.00

—

No games played yet.

Next: Sat Dec 12 vs FC Pride Elite · Sun Dec 20 at Racing Louisville Academy · Sat Feb 13 at Ohio Elite SA See all 12 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Dec 12	vs	FC Pride Elite (2nd)	2–2	47%
·	Sun Dec 20	at	Racing Louisville Academy (5th)	2–2	35%
·	Sat Feb 13	at	Ohio Elite SA (4th)	2–2	35%
·	Sat Mar 6	at	FC Pride Elite (2nd)	2–2	35%
·	Sat Apr 10	vs	Tennessee SC (6th)	2–2	47%
·	Sun Apr 11	vs	FC Alliance TN (1st)	2–2	47%
·	Sat Apr 24	vs	Cleveland Force SC (—)	2–2	47%
·	Sun Apr 25	vs	Internationals SC (—)	2–2	47%
·	Sat May 8	vs	Ohio Elite SA (4th)	2–2	47%
·	Sun May 9	vs	Racing Louisville Academy (5th)	2–2	47%
·	Sat May 15	at	Tennessee SC (6th)	2–2	35%
·	Sun May 16	at	FC Alliance TN (1st)	2–2	35%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Ohio Elite SA

0.00

—

+0.00

—

No games played yet.

Next: Sat Nov 21 vs Racing Louisville Academy · Sat Dec 12 at FC Alliance TN · Sun Dec 13 at Tennessee SC See all 12 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Nov 21	vs	Racing Louisville Academy (5th)	2–2	47%
·	Sat Dec 12	at	FC Alliance TN (1st)	2–2	35%
·	Sun Dec 13	at	Tennessee SC (6th)	2–2	35%
·	Sat Feb 13	vs	Indy Eleven (3rd)	2–2	47%
·	Sat Mar 6	vs	Tennessee SC (6th)	2–2	47%
·	Sun Mar 7	vs	FC Alliance TN (1st)	2–2	47%
·	Sat Mar 13	vs	Pittsburgh Riverhounds (—)	2–2	47%
·	Sun Mar 14	vs	WNY Flash (—)	2–2	47%
·	Sun Apr 11	at	Racing Louisville Academy (5th)	2–2	35%
·	Sat May 1	vs	FC Pride Elite (2nd)	2–2	47%
·	Sat May 8	at	Indy Eleven (3rd)	2–2	35%
·	Sun May 9	at	FC Pride Elite (2nd)	2–2	35%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Racing Louisville Academy

0.00

—

+0.00

—

No games played yet.

Next: Sat Nov 21 at Ohio Elite SA · Sun Dec 13 at FC Alliance TN · Sun Dec 20 vs Indy Eleven See all 12 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Nov 21	at	Ohio Elite SA (4th)	2–2	35%
·	Sun Dec 13	at	FC Alliance TN (1st)	2–2	35%
·	Sun Dec 20	vs	Indy Eleven (3rd)	2–2	47%
·	Sun Feb 14	at	Tennessee SC (6th)	2–2	35%
·	Sat Mar 6	vs	FC Alliance TN (1st)	2–2	47%
·	Sun Mar 7	vs	Tennessee SC (6th)	2–2	47%
·	Sat Mar 13	vs	WNY Flash (—)	2–2	47%
·	Sun Mar 14	vs	Pittsburgh Riverhounds (—)	2–2	47%
·	Sun Apr 11	vs	Ohio Elite SA (4th)	2–2	47%
·	Sat May 8	vs	FC Pride Elite (2nd)	2–2	47%
·	Sat May 8	at	FC Pride Elite (2nd)	2–2	35%
·	Sun May 9	at	Indy Eleven (3rd)	2–2	35%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Tennessee SC

0.00

—

+0.00

—

No games played yet.

Next: Sun Dec 13 vs Ohio Elite SA · Sat Jan 30 vs FC Alliance TN · Sun Feb 14 vs Racing Louisville Academy See all 14 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sun Dec 13	vs	Ohio Elite SA (4th)	2–2	47%
·	Sat Jan 30	vs	FC Alliance TN (1st)	2–2	47%
·	Sun Feb 14	vs	Racing Louisville Academy (5th)	2–2	47%
·	Sun Feb 21	vs	FC Pride Elite (2nd)	2–2	47%
·	Sat Feb 27	vs	Cleveland Force SC (—)	2–2	47%
·	Sun Feb 28	vs	Internationals SC (—)	2–2	47%
·	Sat Mar 6	at	Ohio Elite SA (4th)	2–2	35%
·	Sun Mar 7	at	Racing Louisville Academy (5th)	2–2	35%
·	Sat Mar 13	vs	GTFC Impact (—)	2–2	47%
·	Sun Mar 14	vs	Ohio Premier (—)	2–2	47%
·	Sat Apr 10	at	Indy Eleven (3rd)	2–2	35%
·	Sun Apr 11	at	FC Pride Elite (2nd)	2–2	35%
·	Sat May 1	at	FC Alliance TN (1st)	2–2	35%
·	Sat May 15	vs	Indy Eleven (3rd)	2–2	47%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.50 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.