ECNL Girls · 2026-27 · Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25
Week 10 in Northern Cal GU13: what changed
12 games · 33 goals
Week 10 in Northern Cal GU13 (Oct 19 to Oct 25): 12 games, 33 goals. MVLA climbed 2 places to 3rd. Davis Legacy slipped 2 places to 6th. San Juan SC lead on 2.82 points per game. The biggest upset was Pleasanton RAGE 2–3 Force, a result the model gave a 28% chance. Next week's game to watch: Bay Area Surf vs Mustang SC on Saturday.
Results
Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25
Sat Oct 24
- Marin FC (7th) 0–1 (5th) Placer United
- Santa Rosa United (8th) 2–0 (12th) Stanislaus Surf
- Davis Legacy (6th) 1–2 (1st) San Juan SC
- Bay Area Surf (4th) 1–3 (3rd) MVLA
- Pleasanton RAGE (10th) 2–3 (9th) Force
- Mustang SC (2nd) 2–0 (11th) COSC
Sun Oct 25
Movers
table position and finish odds, before and after the week
| Team | Before | After | Change | Top 4 odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MVLA | 5th | 3rd | ▲2 | — |
| Davis Legacy | 4th | 6th | ▼2 | — |
| Bay Area Surf | 3rd | 4th | ▼1 | — |
| Placer United | 6th | 5th | ▲1 | — |
| Force | 10th | 9th | ▲1 | — |
| Pleasanton RAGE | 9th | 10th | ▼1 | — |
Positions are the table re-sorted after the last game of each week. Odds come from the nightly forecast snapshot nearest each end of the week; a dash means no snapshot exists yet.
Upsets
winner's odds under 30%
-
Pleasanton RAGE 2–3 Force 28% likelySat Oct 24 · model favoured Pleasanton RAGE
How likely each result was by today's ratings.
Next week: games that matter
Mon Oct 26 – Sun Nov 1
-
Bay Area Surf (4th) vs Mustang SC (2nd) Sat Oct 3126% · 25% · 49% — KEY GAME toss-up, zone race on the line
-
Placer United (5th) vs Davis Legacy (6th) Sat Oct 3141% · 29% · 30% — KEY GAME toss-up, both still chasing the zone, neighbours in the table
-
Force (9th) vs COSC (11th) Sat Oct 3152% · 22% · 26% — KEY GAME form check
-
Marin FC (7th) vs MVLA (3rd) Sat Oct 3119% · 20% · 61% — KEY GAME form check
-
19% · 20% · 60% — KEY GAME form check