Preview · Saturday, Oct 31, TBD
Bay Area Surf vs Mustang SC
Venue TBD
Forecast
34%
25%
41%
Bay Area Surf windrawMustang SC win
Most likely score 1–1 (expected goals 1.3 home, 1.5 away)
| Season so far | Bay Area Surf | Mustang SC |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 3rd | 2nd |
| Record (W-D-L) | 5-0-2 | 8-0-1 |
| Points per game | 2.14 | 2.67 |
| Goals for / game | 2.4 | 2.2 |
| Goals against / game | 1.1 | 0.7 |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 4 |
| Held scoreless | 1 | 0 |
| Form (recent first) | W W W L L | W W W W L |
| Biggest win | 6–0 vs COSC | 4–0 vs Stanislaus Surf |
| Worst loss | 0–4 at San Juan SC | 1–2 at Marin FC |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | +0.88 | +1.06 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | -0.10 | -0.27 |
Already met this season: Sep 12 1–2 (away for Bay Area Surf)
Common opponents: Marin FC — Bay Area Surf 3–1; Mustang SC 1–2. Santa Rosa United — Bay Area Surf 2–0; Mustang SC 1–0. Stanislaus Surf — Bay Area Surf 3–0; Mustang SC 4–0. Davis Legacy — Bay Area Surf 2–1; Mustang SC 4–1.
What's at stake
| Bay Area Surf | Mustang SC | |
|---|---|---|
| Position now | 3rd | 2nd |
| Games left | 15 | 12 |
| Chance of top 4 | 54% | 98% |
| Chance of 1st | 0% | 14% |
| Average finish | 4.3 | 2.3 |
How the results connect
43 chains
20 favour Bay Area Surf, 19 favour Mustang SC, 4 even; average margin +0.2 goals toward Bay Area Surf.
- -1Bay Area Surf lost to Mustang SC 1–2
- -1Bay Area Surf beat Stanislaus Surf 3–0 → Stanislaus Surf lost to Mustang SC 0–4
- +1Bay Area Surf beat Santa Rosa United 2–0 → Santa Rosa United lost to Mustang SC 0–1
- -2Bay Area Surf beat Davis Legacy 2–1 → Davis Legacy lost to Mustang SC 1–4
- +3Bay Area Surf beat Marin FC 3–1 → Marin FC beat Mustang SC 2–1
- 0Bay Area Surf beat Davis Legacy 2–1 → Davis Legacy drew with MVLA 0–0 → MVLA lost to Mustang SC 1–2
Full picture: Bay Area Surf · Mustang SC · Northern Cal GU13 standings