Preview · Saturday, Oct 24, 10:40 AM
Bay Area Surf vs MVLA
Forecast
Most likely score 1–2 (expected goals 1.7 home, 2.2 away)
| Season so far | Bay Area Surf | MVLA |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 3rd | 5th |
| Record (W-D-L) | 5-0-2 | 6-1-3 |
| Points per game | 2.14 | 1.90 |
| Goals for / game | 2.4 | 3.6 |
| Goals against / game | 1.1 | 1.0 |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 3 |
| Held scoreless | 1 | 1 |
| Form (recent first) | W W W L L | L W L W W |
| Biggest win | 6–0 vs COSC | 8–0 vs Pleasanton RAGE |
| Worst loss | 0–4 at San Juan SC | 1–2 at Mustang SC |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | +0.88 | +1.87 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | -0.10 | -0.26 |
Common opponents: Marin FC — Bay Area Surf 3–1; MVLA 2–1. Santa Rosa United — Bay Area Surf 2–0; MVLA 7–0. Mustang SC — Bay Area Surf 1–2; MVLA 1–2. San Juan SC — Bay Area Surf 0–4; MVLA 1–2. Stanislaus Surf — Bay Area Surf 3–0; MVLA 6–1. Davis Legacy — Bay Area Surf 2–1; MVLA 0–0. COSC — Bay Area Surf 6–0; MVLA 4–1.
What's at stake
| Bay Area Surf | MVLA | |
|---|---|---|
| Position now | 3rd | 5th |
| Games left | 15 | 11 |
| Chance of top 4 | 55% | 80% |
| Chance of 1st | 0% | 1% |
| Average finish | 4.4 | 3.5 |
How the results connect
59 chains
20 favour Bay Area Surf, 32 favour MVLA, 7 even; average margin -1.2 goals toward Bay Area Surf.
- 0Bay Area Surf lost to Mustang SC 1–2 → Mustang SC beat MVLA 2–1
- +1Bay Area Surf beat Davis Legacy 2–1 → Davis Legacy drew with MVLA 0–0
- +1Bay Area Surf beat Marin FC 3–1 → Marin FC lost to MVLA 1–2
- -2Bay Area Surf beat Stanislaus Surf 3–0 → Stanislaus Surf lost to MVLA 1–6
- +3Bay Area Surf beat COSC 6–0 → COSC lost to MVLA 1–4
- -3Bay Area Surf lost to San Juan SC 0–4 → San Juan SC beat MVLA 2–1
Full picture: Bay Area Surf · MVLA · Northern Cal GU13 standings