FC Stars Blue

ECNL Girls · New England GU18/19 · 9 teams · FC Stars (all teams)

Scores refresh automatically every 2 hours · last pulled 9 hours ago.

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3rd

0-0-0 record · 0 played

0.00 points per game

+0 goal diff · 0–0

last 0

44% chance of top 4 · expected finish 5.0

+0.00 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sat Dec 12, TBD

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FC Stars Blue
3rd · 0.00 PPG

FSA FC
5th · 0.00 PPG

Venue TBD

47% 18% 35%

windrawloss

●●●○○ Toss-up to win

Most likely score 2–2 (expected goals 2.7 for, 2.4 against · 1.58 expected points)

Season so far	FC Stars Blue	FSA FC
Position	3rd	5th
Record (W-D-L)	0-0-0	0-0-0
Points per game	0.00	0.00
Goals for / game	0.0	0.0
Goals against / game	0.0	0.0
Clean sheets	0	0
Held scoreless	0	0
Form (recent first)	—	—
Biggest win	—	—
Worst loss	—	—
Model rating (net goals vs avg)	+0.00	+0.00
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)	+0.00	+0.00

Game plan

They struggle to score
FSA FC average 0.0 goals/game (league avg 2.5); blanked in 0 of 0.
A higher defensive line and an aggressive counter-press are low-risk here. Keep the back line connected to midfield so one long ball doesn't turn into a 1v1 — that is the only way this opponent scores.
Swing game — small margins
Win 47% / draw 18% / loss 35%.
Games like this are decided by one set piece or one transition. Prioritise the strongest XI for the full game, be disciplined with fouls near the box, and have a clear late-game plan for both "protect the lead" and "chase".
What a win does
East Meadow Soccer Club sit 2nd on 0.00 PPG; we are on 0.00.
A point moves us above East Meadow Soccer Club on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.

If Saturday goes…

Where we'd sit after the FSA FC game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (FC Stars Blue – FSA FC) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 3 other games that week (Mon Dec 7 – Sun Dec 13); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our result	Rivals don't play	Likely results	Every rival wins
– Draw · 1.00 PPG	1st▲ up 2	4th▼ down 1	6th▼ down 3
Win 3.00 PPG	1st▲ up 2	1st▲ up 2	3rd— holds
Draw 1.00 PPG	1st▲ up 2	6th▼ down 3	6th▼ down 3
Loss 0.00 PPG	9th▼ down 6	9th▼ down 6	9th▼ down 6

Can we move up this round? Yes. With a 2–2 draw we finish as high as 1st if every rival drops points, and as low as 6th if every rival wins.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

12% finish 1st

44% top 4

56% below the top 4

5.0 average finish

1st 12%
2nd 10%
3rd 11%
4th 11%
5th 11%
6th 11%
7th 12%
8th 12%
9th 10%

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 12 remaining known games (max 3.00 PPG if we win out).

#	Team	PPG	Proj.	To pass them
1	Connecticut FC United	0.00 (+0.00)	1st (1.42)	Already ahead
2	East Meadow Soccer Club	0.00 (+0.00)	8th (1.39)	Already ahead

The path

run-in difficulty +0.00 · 3rd hardest of 9

Date	Opponent	Where	Difficulty	Win	Likely	Exp. pts	Run. PPG	Priority
Sat Dec 12 TBD	FSA FC 5th · 0-0-0 · GD +0	Home	●●●○○ Toss-up	47%	2–2	1.58	1.58	Swing game
Sun Dec 13 03:00 PM	Scorpions SC 6th · 0-0-0 · GD +0	Home FC Stars Soccer Complex	●●●○○ Toss-up	47%	2–2	1.58	1.58	Swing game
Sat Feb 27 TBD	FC Stars White 4th · 0-0-0 · GD +0	Home	●●●○○ Toss-up	47%	2–2	1.58	1.58	Swing game
Sat Mar 6 TBD	Scorpions SC 6th · 0-0-0 · GD +0	Away	●●●●○ Tough	35%	2–2	1.24	1.49	Upside
Sun Mar 7 TBD	Select 7th · 0-0-0 · GD +0	Away	●●●●○ Tough	35%	2–2	1.24	1.44	Upside
Sat Mar 13 TBD	FC Stars White 4th · 0-0-0 · GD +0	Away	●●●●○ Tough	35%	2–2	1.24	1.41	Upside
Sat Mar 20 TBD	SUSA FC 8th · 0-0-0 · GD +0	Home	●●●○○ Toss-up	47%	2–2	1.58	1.43	Swing game
Sun Mar 21 TBD	East Meadow Soccer Club 2nd · 0-0-0 · GD +0	Home	●●●○○ Toss-up	47%	2–2	1.58	1.45	Swing game
Sun Apr 11 TBD	Select 7th · 0-0-0 · GD +0	Home	●●●○○ Toss-up	47%	2–2	1.58	1.47	Swing game
Sun Apr 25 04:30 PM	FSA FC 5th · 0-0-0 · GD +0	Away far trip FSA-Farmington Sports Arena	●●●●○ Tough	35%	2–2	1.24	1.44	Upside
Sat May 1 TBD	World Class FC 9th · 0-0-0 · GD +0	Away	●●●●○ Tough	35%	2–2	1.24	1.42	Upside
Sun May 2 TBD	Connecticut FC United 1st · 0-0-0 · GD +0	Away	●●●●○ Tough	35%	2–2	1.24	1.41	Upside

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

Team

Pts

PPG

Form

SoS

Run-in

Top 4

Exp. finish

Connecticut FC United

0.00

—

+0.00

—

No games played yet.

Next: Sat Dec 12 vs World Class FC · Sat Mar 6 at SUSA FC · Sun Mar 7 at East Meadow Soccer Club See all 11 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Dec 12	vs	World Class FC (9th)	2–2	47%
·	Sat Mar 6	at	SUSA FC (8th)	2–2	35%
·	Sun Mar 7	at	East Meadow Soccer Club (2nd)	2–2	35%
·	Sat Apr 10	vs	SUSA FC (8th)	2–2	47%
·	Sat Apr 24	vs	East Meadow Soccer Club (2nd)	2–2	47%
·	Sun Apr 25	at	World Class FC (9th)	2–2	35%
·	Sat May 1	vs	FC Stars White (4th)	2–2	47%
·	Sun May 2	vs	FC Stars Blue (3rd)	2–2	47%
·	Sat May 8	vs	FSA FC (5th)	2–2	47%
·	Sat May 15	at	Scorpions SC (6th)	2–2	35%
·	Sun May 16	at	Select (7th)	2–2	35%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

East Meadow Soccer Club

0.00

—

+0.00

—

No games played yet.

Next: Sat Dec 19 at World Class FC · Sun Dec 20 at FSA FC · Sun Mar 7 vs Connecticut FC United See all 11 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Dec 19	at	World Class FC (9th)	2–2	35%
·	Sun Dec 20	at	FSA FC (5th)	2–2	35%
·	Sun Mar 7	vs	Connecticut FC United (1st)	2–2	47%
·	Sat Mar 20	at	FC Stars White (4th)	2–2	35%
·	Sun Mar 21	at	FC Stars Blue (3rd)	2–2	35%
·	Sat Apr 10	vs	World Class FC (9th)	2–2	47%
·	Sun Apr 11	at	SUSA FC (8th)	2–2	35%
·	Sat Apr 17	vs	Scorpions SC (6th)	2–2	47%
·	Sun Apr 18	vs	Select (7th)	2–2	47%
·	Sat Apr 24	at	Connecticut FC United (1st)	2–2	35%
·	Sat May 1	vs	SUSA FC (8th)	2–2	47%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

FC Stars Blue

0.00

—

+0.00

—

No games played yet.

Next: Sat Dec 12 vs FSA FC · Sun Dec 13 vs Scorpions SC · Sat Feb 27 vs FC Stars White See all 12 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Dec 12	vs	FSA FC (5th)	2–2	47%
·	Sun Dec 13	vs	Scorpions SC (6th)	2–2	47%
·	Sat Feb 27	vs	FC Stars White (4th)	2–2	47%
·	Sat Mar 6	at	Scorpions SC (6th)	2–2	35%
·	Sun Mar 7	at	Select (7th)	2–2	35%
·	Sat Mar 13	at	FC Stars White (4th)	2–2	35%
·	Sat Mar 20	vs	SUSA FC (8th)	2–2	47%
·	Sun Mar 21	vs	East Meadow Soccer Club (2nd)	2–2	47%
·	Sun Apr 11	vs	Select (7th)	2–2	47%
·	Sun Apr 25	at	FSA FC (5th)	2–2	35%
·	Sat May 1	at	World Class FC (9th)	2–2	35%
·	Sun May 2	at	Connecticut FC United (1st)	2–2	35%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

FC Stars White

0.00

—

+0.00

—

No games played yet.

Next: Sat Dec 12 vs Scorpions SC · Sun Dec 13 vs FSA FC · Sat Dec 19 vs Select See all 12 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Dec 12	vs	Scorpions SC (6th)	2–2	47%
·	Sun Dec 13	vs	FSA FC (5th)	2–2	47%
·	Sat Dec 19	vs	Select (7th)	2–2	47%
·	Sat Feb 27	at	FC Stars Blue (3rd)	2–2	35%
·	Sat Mar 6	at	Select (7th)	2–2	35%
·	Sun Mar 7	at	Scorpions SC (6th)	2–2	35%
·	Sat Mar 13	vs	FC Stars Blue (3rd)	2–2	47%
·	Sat Mar 20	vs	East Meadow Soccer Club (2nd)	2–2	47%
·	Sun Mar 21	vs	SUSA FC (8th)	2–2	47%
·	Sat May 1	at	Connecticut FC United (1st)	2–2	35%
·	Sun May 2	at	World Class FC (9th)	2–2	35%
·	Sat May 15	at	FSA FC (5th)	2–2	35%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

FSA FC

0.00

—

+0.00

—

No games played yet.

Next: Sat Dec 12 at FC Stars Blue · Sun Dec 13 at FC Stars White · Sat Dec 19 vs SUSA FC See all 12 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Dec 12	at	FC Stars Blue (3rd)	2–2	35%
·	Sun Dec 13	at	FC Stars White (4th)	2–2	35%
·	Sat Dec 19	vs	SUSA FC (8th)	2–2	47%
·	Sun Dec 20	vs	East Meadow Soccer Club (2nd)	2–2	47%
·	Sat Mar 13	vs	Select (7th)	2–2	47%
·	Sat Mar 27	at	Select (7th)	2–2	35%
·	Sat Apr 3	at	World Class FC (9th)	2–2	35%
·	Sun Apr 11	at	Scorpions SC (6th)	2–2	35%
·	Sun Apr 25	vs	FC Stars Blue (3rd)	2–2	47%
·	Sat May 1	vs	Scorpions SC (6th)	2–2	47%
·	Sat May 8	at	Connecticut FC United (1st)	2–2	35%
·	Sat May 15	vs	FC Stars White (4th)	2–2	47%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Scorpions SC

0.00

—

+0.00

—

No games played yet.

Next: Sun Dec 6 at Select · Sat Dec 12 at FC Stars White · Sun Dec 13 at FC Stars Blue See all 12 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sun Dec 6	at	Select (7th)	2–2	35%
·	Sat Dec 12	at	FC Stars White (4th)	2–2	35%
·	Sun Dec 13	at	FC Stars Blue (3rd)	2–2	35%
·	Sat Mar 6	vs	FC Stars Blue (3rd)	2–2	47%
·	Sun Mar 7	vs	FC Stars White (4th)	2–2	47%
·	Sun Apr 11	vs	FSA FC (5th)	2–2	47%
·	Sat Apr 17	at	East Meadow Soccer Club (2nd)	2–2	35%
·	Sun Apr 18	at	SUSA FC (8th)	2–2	35%
·	Wed Apr 21	vs	Select (7th)	2–2	47%
·	Sat May 1	at	FSA FC (5th)	2–2	35%
·	Sat May 15	vs	Connecticut FC United (1st)	2–2	47%
·	Sun May 16	vs	World Class FC (9th)	2–2	47%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Select

0.00

—

+0.00

—

No games played yet.

Next: Sun Dec 6 vs Scorpions SC · Sat Dec 19 at FC Stars White · Sat Mar 6 vs FC Stars White See all 12 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sun Dec 6	vs	Scorpions SC (6th)	2–2	47%
·	Sat Dec 19	at	FC Stars White (4th)	2–2	35%
·	Sat Mar 6	vs	FC Stars White (4th)	2–2	47%
·	Sun Mar 7	vs	FC Stars Blue (3rd)	2–2	47%
·	Sat Mar 13	at	FSA FC (5th)	2–2	35%
·	Sat Mar 27	vs	FSA FC (5th)	2–2	47%
·	Sun Apr 11	at	FC Stars Blue (3rd)	2–2	35%
·	Sat Apr 17	at	SUSA FC (8th)	2–2	35%
·	Sun Apr 18	at	East Meadow Soccer Club (2nd)	2–2	35%
·	Wed Apr 21	at	Scorpions SC (6th)	2–2	35%
·	Sat May 15	vs	World Class FC (9th)	2–2	47%
·	Sun May 16	vs	Connecticut FC United (1st)	2–2	47%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

SUSA FC

0.00

—

+0.00

—

No games played yet.

Next: Sat Dec 19 at FSA FC · Sun Dec 20 at World Class FC · Sat Mar 6 vs Connecticut FC United See all 11 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Dec 19	at	FSA FC (5th)	2–2	35%
·	Sun Dec 20	at	World Class FC (9th)	2–2	35%
·	Sat Mar 6	vs	Connecticut FC United (1st)	2–2	47%
·	Sat Mar 20	at	FC Stars Blue (3rd)	2–2	35%
·	Sun Mar 21	at	FC Stars White (4th)	2–2	35%
·	Sat Apr 10	at	Connecticut FC United (1st)	2–2	35%
·	Sun Apr 11	vs	East Meadow Soccer Club (2nd)	2–2	47%
·	Sat Apr 17	vs	Select (7th)	2–2	47%
·	Sun Apr 18	vs	Scorpions SC (6th)	2–2	47%
·	Sat Apr 24	vs	World Class FC (9th)	2–2	47%
·	Sat May 1	at	East Meadow Soccer Club (2nd)	2–2	35%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

World Class FC

0.00

—

+0.00

—

No games played yet.

Next: Sat Dec 12 at Connecticut FC United · Sat Dec 19 vs East Meadow Soccer Club · Sun Dec 20 vs SUSA FC See all 11 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Dec 12	at	Connecticut FC United (1st)	2–2	35%
·	Sat Dec 19	vs	East Meadow Soccer Club (2nd)	2–2	47%
·	Sun Dec 20	vs	SUSA FC (8th)	2–2	47%
·	Sat Apr 3	vs	FSA FC (5th)	2–2	47%
·	Sat Apr 10	at	East Meadow Soccer Club (2nd)	2–2	35%
·	Sat Apr 24	at	SUSA FC (8th)	2–2	35%
·	Sun Apr 25	vs	Connecticut FC United (1st)	2–2	47%
·	Sat May 1	vs	FC Stars Blue (3rd)	2–2	47%
·	Sun May 2	vs	FC Stars White (4th)	2–2	47%
·	Sat May 15	at	Select (7th)	2–2	35%
·	Sun May 16	at	Scorpions SC (6th)	2–2	35%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.50 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.