East Meadow Soccer Club
ECNL Girls · New England GU14 · 9 teams · East Meadow Soccer Club (all teams)
Next game — Sat Oct 24, 09:00 AM
East Meadow Field of Dreams, South Turf ↗ · turf
●●●○○ Toss-up to win
Most likely score 1–1 (expected goals 1.8 for, 1.3 against · 1.73 expected points)
| Season so far | East Meadow Soccer Club | FSA FC |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 6th | 5th |
| Record (W-D-L) | 2-1-2 | 2-0-1 |
| Points per game | 1.40 | 2.00 |
| Goals for / game | 2.0 | 1.0 |
| Goals against / game | 1.6 | 1.3 |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 1 |
| Held scoreless | 0 | 1 |
| Form (recent first) | L W L D W | W W L |
| Biggest win | 2–0 at World Class FC | 1–0 at FC Stars White |
| Worst loss | 1–2 vs FC Stars Blue | 0–3 at FC Stars Blue |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | +0.18 | -0.17 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | -0.22 | -0.31 |
Common opponents: World Class FC — we 2–0; they 2–1. FC Stars White — we 2–2; they 1–0. FC Stars Blue — we 1–2; they 0–3.
Game plan
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Swing game — small margins
Win 50% / draw 23% / loss 27%.Games like this are decided by one set piece or one transition. Prioritise the strongest XI for the full game, be disciplined with fouls near the box, and have a clear late-game plan for both "protect the lead" and "chase".
-
Early kickoff
Game time 09:00 AM.Light breakfast 2+ hours before, longer warm-up, and a loud start — early games are won by whoever is awake at the whistle.
If Saturday goes…
Where we'd sit after the FSA FC game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (East Meadow Soccer Club – FSA FC) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 3 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.
| Our result | Rivals don't play | Likely results | Every rival wins |
|---|---|---|---|
| – Draw · 1.33 PPG |
6th— holds | 6th— holds | 6th— holds |
| Win 1.67 PPG |
5th▲ up 1 | 4th▲ up 2 | 6th— holds |
| Draw 1.33 PPG |
6th— holds | 6th— holds | 6th— holds |
| Loss 1.17 PPG |
6th— holds | 6th— holds | 6th— holds |
Can we move up this round? No. With a 1–1 draw we stay 6th even if every rival loses, whatever the rivals do.
Where we finish
2,000 simulated seasons
- 1st <1%
- 2nd 1%
- 3rd 5%
- 4th 18%
- 5th 37%
- 6th 30%
- 7th 8%
- 8th <1%
- 9th
Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.
Climbing the table
What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 11 remaining known games (max 2.50 PPG if we win out).
| # | Team | PPG | Proj. | To pass them |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Connecticut FC United | 3.00 (+1.60) | 4th (1.68) | 41 of 33 pts to pass their current pace, 20 for their projection |
| 2 | FC Stars Blue | 2.40 (+1.00) | 3rd (2.05) | 32 of 33 pts to pass their current pace, 26 for their projection |
| 3 | SUSA FC | 2.40 (+1.00) | 1st (2.16) | 32 of 33 pts to pass their current pace, 28 for their projection |
| 4 | Select | 2.25 (+0.85) | 2nd (2.07) | 29 of 33 pts to pass their current pace, 27 for their projection |
| 5 | FSA FC | 2.00 (+0.60) | 6th (1.37) | 25 of 33 pts to pass their current pace, 15 for their projection |
How the results connect
8 chains · 7 teams
Paths of results that link East Meadow Soccer Club to FSA FC through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.
Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.
Step through the chains with the arrows, or tap one on the map.
Position over the season
9 game days
The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.
The path
run-in difficulty +0.11 · 4th hardest of 9
| Date | Opponent | Where | Difficulty | Win | Likely | Exp. pts | Run. PPG | Priority |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat Oct 24 09:00 AM |
FSA FC 5th · 2-0-1 · GD -1 |
Home East Meadow Field of Dreams · turf |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 50% |
1–1 | 1.73 | 1.46 | Swing game |
| Sun Oct 25 11:00 AM |
Connecticut FC United 1st · 1-0-0 · GD +2 |
Home East Meadow Field of Dreams · turf |
●●●●○ Tough | 39% |
1–1 | 1.38 | 1.45 | Upside |
| Sun Nov 1 TBD |
SUSA FC 3rd · 4-0-1 · GD +8 |
Away |
●●●●● Very tough | 15% |
0–1 | 0.67 | 1.35 | Upside |
| Sat Nov 14 10:30 AM |
FSA FC 5th · 2-0-1 · GD -1 |
Away far trip
FSA-Farmington Sports Arena |
●●●●○ Tough | 41% |
1–1 | 1.48 | 1.36 | Upside |
| Sat Mar 20 TBD |
FC Stars White 9th · 0-1-5 · GD -12 |
Away |
●●○○○ Lean win | 67% |
2–0 | 2.19 | 1.45 | Swing game |
| Sun Mar 21 TBD |
FC Stars Blue 2nd · 4-0-1 · GD +8 |
Away |
●●●●● Very tough | 20% |
1–2 | 0.81 | 1.39 | Upside |
| Sat Apr 10 08:00 AM |
World Class FC 7th · 1-0-3 · GD -4 |
Home East Meadow Field of Dreams · turf |
●●○○○ Lean win | 59% |
2–1 | 1.98 | 1.44 | Swing game |
| Sat Apr 17 08:00 AM |
Scorpions SC 8th · 1-0-4 · GD -13 |
Home East Meadow Field of Dreams · turf |
●○○○○ Favorable | 79% |
3–0 | 2.48 | 1.52 | Bank it |
| Sun Apr 18 08:00 AM |
Select 4th · 3-0-1 · GD +10 |
Home East Meadow Field of Dreams · turf |
●●●●● Very tough | 25% |
1–2 | 0.93 | 1.48 | Upside |
| Sat Apr 24 TBD |
Connecticut FC United 1st · 1-0-0 · GD +2 |
Away |
●●●●○ Tough | 30% |
1–2 | 1.11 | 1.45 | Upside |
| Sat May 1 08:00 AM |
SUSA FC 3rd · 4-0-1 · GD +8 |
Home East Meadow Field of Dreams · turf |
●●●●● Very tough | 20% |
0–1 | 0.86 | 1.41 | Upside |
"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.
Standings
| # | Team | GP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | Form | SoS | Run-in | Top 4 | Exp. finish | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Connecticut FC United | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | +2 | 3 | 3.00 | W | -0.53 | +0.01 | 65% | 4.1 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at SUSA FC · Sun Oct 25 at East Meadow Soccer Club · Sat Oct 31 at FSA FC See all 15 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 2 | FC Stars Blue | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 4 | +8 | 12 | 2.40 | WWLWW | -0.35 | +0.04 | 97% | 2.4 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs Select · Sat Nov 7 at World Class FC · Sun Nov 8 at Connecticut FC United See all 11 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 3 | SUSA FC | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 1 | +8 | 12 | 2.40 | LWWWW | -0.22 | -0.03 | 98% | 2.0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs Connecticut FC United · Sun Oct 25 vs FSA FC · Sun Nov 1 vs East Meadow Soccer Club See all 11 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 4 | Select | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 4 | +10 | 9 | 2.25 | WWLW | -0.33 | -0.03 | 97% | 2.2 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at FC Stars Blue · Sat Oct 31 at Scorpions SC · Sat Nov 14 vs World Class FC See all 12 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 5 | FSA FC | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 6 | 2.00 | LWW | -0.31 | +0.13 | 18% | 5.4 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at East Meadow Soccer Club · Sun Oct 25 at SUSA FC · Sat Oct 31 vs Connecticut FC United See all 13 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 6 | East Meadow Soccer Club | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 8 | +2 | 7 | 1.40 | WDLWL | -0.22 | +0.11 | 24% | 5.2 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs FSA FC · Sun Oct 25 vs Connecticut FC United · Sun Nov 1 at SUSA FC See all 11 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 7 | World Class FC | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 7 | -4 | 3 | 0.75 | WLLL | +0.32 | +0.01 | 1% | 6.9 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Nov 7 vs FC Stars Blue · Sun Nov 8 vs FC Stars White · Sat Nov 14 at Select See all 12 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 8 | Scorpions SC | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 16 | -13 | 3 | 0.60 | WLLLL | +0.43 | +0.13 | 0% | 8.2 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 31 vs Select · Sat Nov 14 vs Connecticut FC United · Sun Nov 15 vs World Class FC See all 11 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 9 | FC Stars White | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 15 | -12 | 1 | 0.17 | LLDLL | +0.28 | +0.13 | 0% | 8.6 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Nov 7 at Connecticut FC United · Sun Nov 8 at World Class FC · Sat Feb 27 at FC Stars Blue See all 10 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.
How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (1.55 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.