Connecticut FC United
ECNL Girls · New England GU14 · 9 teams · Connecticut FC (all teams)
Next game — Sat Oct 24, 12:20 PM
The SUSA Orlin & Cohen Sports Complex, field 2 ↗ far trip
●●●●● Very tough to win
Most likely score 0–1 (expected goals 0.8 for, 1.7 against · 0.77 expected points)
| Season so far | Connecticut FC United | SUSA FC |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 1st | 3rd |
| Record (W-D-L) | 1-0-0 | 4-0-1 |
| Points per game | 3.00 | 2.40 |
| Goals for / game | 3.0 | 1.8 |
| Goals against / game | 1.0 | 0.2 |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 4 |
| Held scoreless | 0 | 1 |
| Form (recent first) | W | W W W W L |
| Biggest win | 3–1 vs World Class FC | 3–0 at Scorpions SC |
| Worst loss | — | 0–1 at World Class FC |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | +0.40 | +0.96 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | -0.53 | -0.22 |
Common opponents: World Class FC — we 3–1; they 0–1.
Game plan
-
Hard to break down
SUSA FC concede only 0.2/game with 4 clean sheet(s).Patience and width: move the ball quickly side to side to pull the block apart, and treat set pieces as your best chance — rehearse two corner routines and a near-post free-kick delivery.
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Underdog — play free, stay organised
Model gives 18%; a draw (24%) would be a good result.Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.
-
They arrive in form
SUSA FC have won 4 straight.Don't let them settle: deny the first 10 minutes of rhythm with pressure on their first pass out of the back.
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Away game
Kickoff 12:20 PM at The SUSA Orlin & Cohen Sports Complex.Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.
If Saturday goes…
Where we'd sit after the SUSA FC game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Connecticut FC United – SUSA FC) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 3 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.
| Our result | Rivals don't play | Likely results | Every rival wins |
|---|---|---|---|
| – Loss · 1.50 PPG |
5th▼ down 4 | 4th▼ down 3 | 6th▼ down 5 |
| Win 3.00 PPG |
1st— holds | 1st— holds | 1st— holds |
| Draw 2.00 PPG |
4th▼ down 3 | 4th▼ down 3 | 5th▼ down 4 |
| Loss 1.50 PPG |
5th▼ down 4 | 4th▼ down 3 | 6th▼ down 5 |
Can we move up this round? No. With a 0–1 loss we fall to at least 4th even if every rival loses, and as low as 6th if every rival wins.
Where we finish
2,000 simulated seasons
- 1st 3%
- 2nd 8%
- 3rd 16%
- 4th 39%
- 5th 22%
- 6th 11%
- 7th 2%
- 8th
- 9th
Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.
Climbing the table
Top of the table. The job is to stay there: see the path below for where points are most at risk.
How the results connect
1 chain · 3 teams
Paths of results that link Connecticut FC United to SUSA FC through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.
Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.
Step through the chains with the arrows, or tap one on the map.
Position over the season
9 game days
The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.
The path
run-in difficulty +0.01 · 7th hardest of 9
| Date | Opponent | Where | Difficulty | Win | Likely | Exp. pts | Run. PPG | Priority |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat Oct 24 12:20 PM |
SUSA FC 3rd · 4-0-1 · GD +8 |
Away far trip
The SUSA Orlin & Cohen Sports Complex |
●●●●● Very tough | 18% |
0–1 | 0.77 | 1.88 | Upside |
| Sun Oct 25 11:00 AM |
East Meadow Soccer Club 6th · 2-1-2 · GD +2 |
Away far trip
East Meadow Field of Dreams · turf |
●●●●○ Tough | 39% |
1–1 | 1.40 | 1.72 | Upside |
| Sat Oct 31 09:30 AM |
FSA FC 5th · 2-0-1 · GD -1 |
Away far trip
FSA-Farmington Sports Arena |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 46% |
1–1 | 1.61 | 1.69 | Swing game |
| Sat Nov 7 TBD |
FC Stars White 9th · 0-1-5 · GD -12 |
Home |
●○○○○ Favorable | 78% |
2–0 | 2.48 | 1.85 | Bank it |
| Sun Nov 8 TBD |
FC Stars Blue 2nd · 4-0-1 · GD +8 |
Home |
●●●●○ Tough | 32% |
1–1 | 1.18 | 1.74 | Upside |
| Sat Nov 14 10:00 AM |
Scorpions SC 8th · 1-0-4 · GD -13 |
Away far trip
Norton High School |
●●○○○ Lean win | 75% |
2–1 | 2.39 | 1.83 | Bank it |
| Sun Nov 15 09:00 AM |
Select 4th · 3-0-1 · GD +10 |
Away far trip
Whitman Hanson High School |
●●●●● Very tough | 21% |
1–2 | 0.82 | 1.70 | Upside |
| Sat Mar 20 TBD |
Scorpions SC 8th · 1-0-4 · GD -13 |
Home |
●○○○○ Favorable | 82% |
3–0 | 2.57 | 1.80 | Bank it |
| Sun Mar 21 TBD |
Select 4th · 3-0-1 · GD +10 |
Home |
●●●●○ Tough | 29% |
1–2 | 1.08 | 1.73 | Upside |
| Sat Apr 10 TBD |
SUSA FC 3rd · 4-0-1 · GD +8 |
Home |
●●●●● Very tough | 23% |
0–1 | 0.96 | 1.66 | Upside |
| Sat Apr 17 TBD |
FC Stars Blue 2nd · 4-0-1 · GD +8 |
Away |
●●●●● Very tough | 24% |
1–2 | 0.93 | 1.60 | Upside |
| Sun Apr 18 TBD |
FC Stars White 9th · 0-1-5 · GD -12 |
Away |
●●○○○ Lean win | 71% |
2–0 | 2.29 | 1.65 | Bank it |
| Sat Apr 24 TBD |
East Meadow Soccer Club 6th · 2-1-2 · GD +2 |
Home |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 49% |
2–1 | 1.68 | 1.65 | Swing game |
| Sun Apr 25 TBD |
World Class FC 7th · 1-0-3 · GD -4 |
Away |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 55% |
1–1 | 1.86 | 1.67 | Swing game |
| Sat May 22 TBD |
FSA FC 5th · 2-0-1 · GD -1 |
Home |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 55% |
1–1 | 1.86 | 1.68 | Swing game |
"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.
Standings
| # | Team | GP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | Form | SoS | Run-in | Top 4 | Exp. finish | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Connecticut FC United | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | +2 | 3 | 3.00 | W | -0.53 | +0.01 | 65% | 4.1 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at SUSA FC · Sun Oct 25 at East Meadow Soccer Club · Sat Oct 31 at FSA FC See all 15 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 2 | FC Stars Blue | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 4 | +8 | 12 | 2.40 | WWLWW | -0.35 | +0.04 | 97% | 2.4 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs Select · Sat Nov 7 at World Class FC · Sun Nov 8 at Connecticut FC United See all 11 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 3 | SUSA FC | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 1 | +8 | 12 | 2.40 | LWWWW | -0.22 | -0.03 | 98% | 2.0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs Connecticut FC United · Sun Oct 25 vs FSA FC · Sun Nov 1 vs East Meadow Soccer Club See all 11 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 4 | Select | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 4 | +10 | 9 | 2.25 | WWLW | -0.33 | -0.03 | 97% | 2.2 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at FC Stars Blue · Sat Oct 31 at Scorpions SC · Sat Nov 14 vs World Class FC See all 12 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 5 | FSA FC | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 6 | 2.00 | LWW | -0.31 | +0.13 | 18% | 5.4 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at East Meadow Soccer Club · Sun Oct 25 at SUSA FC · Sat Oct 31 vs Connecticut FC United See all 13 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 6 | East Meadow Soccer Club | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 8 | +2 | 7 | 1.40 | WDLWL | -0.22 | +0.11 | 24% | 5.2 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs FSA FC · Sun Oct 25 vs Connecticut FC United · Sun Nov 1 at SUSA FC See all 11 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 7 | World Class FC | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 7 | -4 | 3 | 0.75 | WLLL | +0.32 | +0.01 | 1% | 6.9 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Nov 7 vs FC Stars Blue · Sun Nov 8 vs FC Stars White · Sat Nov 14 at Select See all 12 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 8 | Scorpions SC | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 16 | -13 | 3 | 0.60 | WLLLL | +0.43 | +0.13 | 0% | 8.2 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 31 vs Select · Sat Nov 14 vs Connecticut FC United · Sun Nov 15 vs World Class FC See all 11 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 9 | FC Stars White | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 15 | -12 | 1 | 0.17 | LLDLL | +0.28 | +0.13 | 0% | 8.6 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Nov 7 at Connecticut FC United · Sun Nov 8 at World Class FC · Sat Feb 27 at FC Stars Blue See all 10 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.
How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (1.55 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.