World Class FC
ECNL Boys · North Atlantic BU13 · 12 teams · World Class FC (all teams)
Next game — Sat Oct 24, 01:00 PM
Orangetown Soccer Complex, Field 1 ↗
●●●●● Very tough to win
Most likely score 0–3 (expected goals 1.0 for, 3.2 against · 0.34 expected points)
| Season so far | World Class FC | Maryland United FC |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 9th | 1st |
| Record (W-D-L) | 1-0-4 | 6-0-0 |
| Points per game | 0.60 | 3.00 |
| Goals for / game | 0.8 | 4.7 |
| Goals against / game | 2.0 | 1.2 |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 3 |
| Held scoreless | 2 | 0 |
| Form (recent first) | W L L L L | W W W W W |
| Biggest win | 2–0 vs Match Fit Surf | 7–0 at SJEB FC |
| Worst loss | 1–4 at SJEB FC | — |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | -0.81 | +2.09 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | -0.60 | -0.46 |
Common opponents: Delaware FC — we 0–2; they 3–0. SJEB FC — we 1–4; they 7–0. Potomac Soccer Association — we 0–2; they 5–2. Match Fit Surf — we 2–0; they 3–0.
Game plan
-
Respect their attack
Maryland United FC score 4.7/game — well above the league's 2.3.Deny the easy goals first: compact shape between the lines, no fouls in shooting range, and a plan for their best outlet. Score first and make them chase.
-
Finishing wins the tight ones
Held scoreless 2 time(s): 0–2 vs Delaware FC, 0–2 at Potomac Soccer Association.Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.
-
Underdog — play free, stay organised
Model gives 8%; a draw (11%) would be a good result.Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.
-
They arrive in form
Maryland United FC have won 6 straight.Don't let them settle: deny the first 10 minutes of rhythm with pressure on their first pass out of the back.
-
What a win does
SJEB FC sit 8th on 1.00 PPG; we are on 0.60.A win moves us above SJEB FC on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.
If Saturday goes…
Where we'd sit after the Maryland United FC game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (World Class FC – Maryland United FC) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 8 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.
| Our result | Rivals don't play | Likely results | Every rival wins |
|---|---|---|---|
| – Loss · 0.50 PPG |
9th— holds | 9th— holds | 11th▼ down 2 |
| Win 1.00 PPG |
8th▲ up 1 | 8th▲ up 1 | 10th▼ down 1 |
| Draw 0.67 PPG |
9th— holds | 9th— holds | 10th▼ down 1 |
| Loss 0.50 PPG |
9th— holds | 9th— holds | 11th▼ down 2 |
Can we move up this round? No. With a 0–3 loss we stay 9th even if every rival loses, and as low as 11th if every rival wins.
Where we finish
2,000 simulated seasons
- 1st
- 2nd
- 3rd
- 4th
- 5th <1%
- 6th 1%
- 7th 8%
- 8th 30%
- 9th 22%
- 10th 18%
- 11th 13%
- 12th 8%
Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.
Climbing the table
What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 17 remaining known games (max 2.45 PPG if we win out).
| # | Team | PPG | Proj. | To pass them |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Maryland United FC | 3.00 (+2.40) | 1st (2.50) | 63 of 51 pts to pass their current pace, 53 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule |
| 2 | Pipeline SC | 2.57 (+1.97) | 2nd (2.47) | 54 of 51 pts to pass their current pace, 52 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule |
| 3 | STA | 2.25 (+1.65) | 3rd (2.12) | 47 of 51 pts to pass their current pace, 44 for their projection |
| 4 | Potomac Soccer Association | 2.14 (+1.54) | 4th (1.99) | 45 of 51 pts to pass their current pace, 41 for their projection |
| 5 | PSA Monmouth | 2.00 (+1.40) | 7th (1.22) | 41 of 51 pts to pass their current pace, 24 for their projection |
| 6 | Penn Fusion Soccer Academy | 1.50 (+0.90) | 5th (1.72) | 30 of 51 pts to pass their current pace, 35 for their projection |
| 7 | Delaware FC | 1.50 (+0.90) | 6th (1.54) | 30 of 51 pts to pass their current pace, 31 for their projection |
| 8 | SJEB FC | 1.00 (+0.40) | 9th (0.77) | Win next game |
How the results connect
13 chains · 8 teams
Paths of results that link World Class FC to Maryland United FC through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.
Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.
Step through the chains with the arrows, or tap one on the map.
Position over the season
12 game days
The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.
The path
run-in difficulty +0.22 · 1st hardest of 12
| Date | Opponent | Where | Difficulty | Win | Likely | Exp. pts | Run. PPG | Priority |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat Oct 24 01:00 PM |
Maryland United FC 1st · 6-0-0 · GD +21 |
Home Orangetown Soccer Complex |
●●●●● Very tough | 8% |
0–3 | 0.34 | 0.56 | Upside |
| Sun Oct 25 10:30 AM |
Philadelphia Ukrainian Nationals 12th · 0-0-4 · GD -7 |
Away far trip
Ukrainian AMerican Sports Center |
●●●●○ Tough | 36% |
1–1 | 1.33 | 0.67 | Upside |
| Sat Oct 31 12:30 PM |
Baltimore Celtic 10th · 0-1-2 · GD -10 |
Away far trip
Glenelg Country School · turf |
●●●●○ Tough | 39% |
1–1 | 1.38 | 0.76 | Upside |
| Sun Nov 1 03:00 PM |
Penn Fusion Soccer Academy 6th · 2-0-2 · GD +2 |
Home Orangetown Soccer Complex |
●●●●● Very tough | 21% |
1–2 | 0.84 | 0.77 | Upside |
| Sat Nov 7 01:30 PM |
Pipeline SC 2nd · 6-0-1 · GD +21 |
Home Orangetown Soccer Complex |
●●●●● Very tough | 7% |
0–2 | 0.33 | 0.72 | Upside |
| Sat Nov 14 TBD |
STA 3rd · 3-0-1 · GD +9 |
Away |
●●●●● Very tough | 9% |
1–3 | 0.37 | 0.69 | Upside |
| Sat Dec 12 11:00 AM |
Philadelphia Ukrainian Nationals 12th · 0-0-4 · GD -7 |
Home Orangetown Soccer Complex |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 44% |
1–1 | 1.58 | 0.76 | Swing game |
| Sat Feb 20 TBD |
Match Fit Surf 11th · 0-1-6 · GD -16 |
Away |
●●●●○ Tough | 39% |
1–1 | 1.41 | 0.81 | Upside |
| Sat Mar 6 TBD |
SJEB FC 8th · 2-0-4 · GD -20 |
Home |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 56% |
2–1 | 1.86 | 0.89 | Swing game |
| Sat Mar 13 TBD |
Penn Fusion Soccer Academy 6th · 2-0-2 · GD +2 |
Away |
●●●●● Very tough | 15% |
1–2 | 0.62 | 0.87 | Upside |
| Sat Mar 20 TBD |
PSA Monmouth 5th · 2-0-1 · GD -4 |
Home |
●●●●○ Tough | 37% |
1–1 | 1.35 | 0.90 | Upside |
| Sat Apr 17 TBD |
Potomac Soccer Association 4th · 5-0-2 · GD +10 |
Home |
●●●●● Very tough | 15% |
1–2 | 0.65 | 0.89 | Upside |
| Sat Apr 24 TBD |
Maryland United FC 1st · 6-0-0 · GD +21 |
Away |
●●●●● Very tough | 5% |
0–3 | 0.22 | 0.85 | Upside |
| Sat May 1 TBD |
Baltimore Celtic 10th · 0-1-2 · GD -10 |
Home |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 48% |
1–1 | 1.66 | 0.89 | Swing game |
| Sat May 8 TBD |
Pipeline SC 2nd · 6-0-1 · GD +21 |
Away |
●●●●● Very tough | 4% |
0–3 | 0.22 | 0.86 | Upside |
| Sat May 15 TBD |
STA 3rd · 3-0-1 · GD +9 |
Home |
●●●●● Very tough | 13% |
1–3 | 0.55 | 0.84 | Upside |
| Sat May 22 09:00 AM |
Delaware FC 7th · 3-0-3 · GD +0 |
Away far trip
Smith Estates |
●●●●● Very tough | 19% |
1–2 | 0.76 | 0.84 | Upside |
"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.
Standings
| # | Team | GP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | Form | SoS | Run-in | Top 4 | Exp. finish | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Maryland United FC | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 28 | 7 | +21 | 18 | 3.00 | WWWWW | -0.46 | -0.16 | 100% | 1.6 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at World Class FC · Sun Oct 25 at PSA Monmouth · Sat Oct 31 at Pipeline SC See all 16 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2 | Pipeline SC | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 25 | 4 | +21 | 18 | 2.57 | WWLWW | -0.12 | -0.24 | 100% | 1.7 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at Match Fit Surf · Sat Oct 31 vs Maryland United FC · Sat Nov 7 at World Class FC See all 15 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 3 | STA | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 9 | +9 | 9 | 2.25 | WLWW | +0.10 | -0.23 | 91% | 3.2 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at PSA Monmouth · Sun Oct 25 vs Delaware FC · Sun Nov 1 vs Philadelphia Ukrainian Nationals See all 18 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 4 | Potomac Soccer Association | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 9 | +10 | 15 | 2.14 | WWWWW | -0.17 | -0.14 | 80% | 3.9 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at Baltimore Celtic · Sat Nov 7 at Delaware FC · Sun Nov 8 at STA See all 15 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 5 | PSA Monmouth | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 7 | -4 | 6 | 2.00 | LWW | -0.05 | +0.01 | 1% | 7.1 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs STA · Sun Oct 25 vs Maryland United FC · Sat Nov 7 at Penn Fusion Soccer Academy See all 19 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 6 | Penn Fusion Soccer Academy | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 8 | +2 | 6 | 1.50 | WWLL | +0.45 | -0.19 | 23% | 5.1 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at Philadelphia Ukrainian Nationals · Sun Oct 25 vs Baltimore Celtic · Sat Oct 31 vs SJEB FC See all 18 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 7 | Delaware FC | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 12 | +0 | 9 | 1.50 | LLLWW | +0.16 | -0.15 | 6% | 5.8 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs SJEB FC · Sun Oct 25 at STA · Sat Nov 7 vs Potomac Soccer Association See all 16 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 8 | SJEB FC | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 29 | -20 | 6 | 1.00 | WWLLL | +0.80 | -0.08 | 0% | 9.9 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at Delaware FC · Sat Oct 31 at Penn Fusion Soccer Academy · Sat Nov 7 at Match Fit Surf See all 16 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 9 | World Class FC | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 10 | -6 | 3 | 0.60 | LLLLW | -0.60 | +0.22 | 0% | 9.2 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs Maryland United FC · Sun Oct 25 at Philadelphia Ukrainian Nationals · Sat Oct 31 at Baltimore Celtic See all 17 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 10 | Baltimore Celtic | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 13 | -10 | 1 | 0.33 | DLL | +0.93 | -0.04 | 0% | 9.7 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs Potomac Soccer Association · Sun Oct 25 at Penn Fusion Soccer Academy · Sat Oct 31 vs World Class FC See all 19 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 11 | Match Fit Surf | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 9 | 25 | -16 | 1 | 0.14 | LLLLL | +0.36 | -0.05 | 0% | 10.6 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs Pipeline SC · Sat Nov 7 vs SJEB FC · Sat Nov 14 at PSA Monmouth See all 15 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 12 | Philadelphia Ukrainian Nationals | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 10 | -7 | 0 | 0.00 | LLLL | -0.36 | +0.16 | 0% | 10.2 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs Penn Fusion Soccer Academy · Sun Oct 25 vs World Class FC · Sun Nov 1 at STA See all 18 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.
How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.26 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.