TableChase Clubs

World Class FC

ECNL Boys · North Atlantic BU13 · 12 teams · World Class FC (all teams)

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9th
1-0-4 record · 5 played
0.60 points per game
-6 goal diff · 4–10
LLLLWlast 5
0% chance of top 4 · expected finish 9.2
-0.60 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sat Oct 24, 01:00 PM

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World Class FC
9th · 0.60 PPG
vs
Maryland United FC
1st · 3.00 PPG

Orangetown Soccer Complex, Field 1 ↗

windrawloss

●●●●● Very tough to win

Most likely score 0–3 (expected goals 1.0 for, 3.2 against · 0.34 expected points)

Season so farWorld Class FCMaryland United FC
Position9th1st
Record (W-D-L)1-0-46-0-0
Points per game0.603.00
Goals for / game0.84.7
Goals against / game2.01.2
Clean sheets13
Held scoreless20
Form (recent first)W L L L LW W W W W
Biggest win2–0 vs Match Fit Surf7–0 at SJEB FC
Worst loss1–4 at SJEB FC—
Model rating (net goals vs avg)-0.81+2.09
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)-0.60-0.46

Common opponents: Delaware FC — we 0–2; they 3–0. SJEB FC — we 1–4; they 7–0. Potomac Soccer Association — we 0–2; they 5–2. Match Fit Surf — we 2–0; they 3–0.

Game plan

  • Respect their attack
    Maryland United FC score 4.7/game — well above the league's 2.3.

    Deny the easy goals first: compact shape between the lines, no fouls in shooting range, and a plan for their best outlet. Score first and make them chase.

  • Finishing wins the tight ones
    Held scoreless 2 time(s): 0–2 vs Delaware FC, 0–2 at Potomac Soccer Association.

    Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.

  • Underdog — play free, stay organised
    Model gives 8%; a draw (11%) would be a good result.

    Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.

  • They arrive in form
    Maryland United FC have won 6 straight.

    Don't let them settle: deny the first 10 minutes of rhythm with pressure on their first pass out of the back.

  • What a win does
    SJEB FC sit 8th on 1.00 PPG; we are on 0.60.

    A win moves us above SJEB FC on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.

If Saturday goes…

Where we'd sit after the Maryland United FC game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (World Class FC – Maryland United FC) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 8 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Loss · 0.50 PPG
9th— holds 9th— holds 11th▼ down 2
Win
1.00 PPG
8th▲ up 1 8th▲ up 1 10th▼ down 1
Draw
0.67 PPG
9th— holds 9th— holds 10th▼ down 1
Loss
0.50 PPG
9th— holds 9th— holds 11th▼ down 2

Can we move up this round? No. With a 0–3 loss we stay 9th even if every rival loses, and as low as 11th if every rival wins.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

0% finish 1st
0% top 4
100% below the top 4
9.2 average finish
  1. 1st
  2. 2nd
  3. 3rd
  4. 4th
  5. 5th <1%
  6. 6th 1%
  7. 7th 8%
  8. 8th 30%
  9. 9th 22%
  10. 10th 18%
  11. 11th 13%
  12. 12th 8%

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 17 remaining known games (max 2.45 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 Maryland United FC 3.00 (+2.40) 1st (2.50) 63 of 51 pts to pass their current pace, 53 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
2 Pipeline SC 2.57 (+1.97) 2nd (2.47) 54 of 51 pts to pass their current pace, 52 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
3 STA 2.25 (+1.65) 3rd (2.12) 47 of 51 pts to pass their current pace, 44 for their projection
4 Potomac Soccer Association 2.14 (+1.54) 4th (1.99) 45 of 51 pts to pass their current pace, 41 for their projection
5 PSA Monmouth 2.00 (+1.40) 7th (1.22) 41 of 51 pts to pass their current pace, 24 for their projection
6 Penn Fusion Soccer Academy 1.50 (+0.90) 5th (1.72) 30 of 51 pts to pass their current pace, 35 for their projection
7 Delaware FC 1.50 (+0.90) 6th (1.54) 30 of 51 pts to pass their current pace, 31 for their projection
8 SJEB FC 1.00 (+0.40) 9th (0.77) Win next game

How the results connect

13 chains · 8 teams

Paths of results that link World Class FC to Maryland United FC through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

0 favour us
13 favour them
-4.8 goals per chain on average. The results point their way.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
2–0 0–3 0–2 2–5 0–2 0–3 1–4 0–7 3–5 3–4 1–1 2–6 7–0 4–1 3–5 1–8 World Class FC 9th Match Fit Surf 11th Potomac Soccer Asso… 4th Delaware FC 7th SJEB FC 8th STA 3rd Baltimore Celtic 10th Maryland United FC 1st

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

12 chains

Position over the season

12 game days

1st 6th 12th Aug 29 Sep 12 Sep 19 Sep 26 Oct 3 Oct 17 Oct 18

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty +0.22 · 1st hardest of 12

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sat Oct 24
01:00 PM
Maryland United FC
1st · 6-0-0 · GD +21
Home
Orangetown Soccer Complex
●●●●● Very tough
8%
0–3 0.34 0.56 Upside
Sun Oct 25
10:30 AM
Philadelphia Ukrainian Nationals
12th · 0-0-4 · GD -7
Away far trip
Ukrainian AMerican Sports Center
●●●●○ Tough
36%
1–1 1.33 0.67 Upside
Sat Oct 31
12:30 PM
Baltimore Celtic
10th · 0-1-2 · GD -10
Away far trip
Glenelg Country School · turf
●●●●○ Tough
39%
1–1 1.38 0.76 Upside
Sun Nov 1
03:00 PM
Penn Fusion Soccer Academy
6th · 2-0-2 · GD +2
Home
Orangetown Soccer Complex
●●●●● Very tough
21%
1–2 0.84 0.77 Upside
Sat Nov 7
01:30 PM
Pipeline SC
2nd · 6-0-1 · GD +21
Home
Orangetown Soccer Complex
●●●●● Very tough
7%
0–2 0.33 0.72 Upside
Sat Nov 14
TBD
STA
3rd · 3-0-1 · GD +9
Away
●●●●● Very tough
9%
1–3 0.37 0.69 Upside
Sat Dec 12
11:00 AM
Philadelphia Ukrainian Nationals
12th · 0-0-4 · GD -7
Home
Orangetown Soccer Complex
●●●○○ Toss-up
44%
1–1 1.58 0.76 Swing game
Sat Feb 20
TBD
Match Fit Surf
11th · 0-1-6 · GD -16
Away
●●●●○ Tough
39%
1–1 1.41 0.81 Upside
Sat Mar 6
TBD
SJEB FC
8th · 2-0-4 · GD -20
Home
●●●○○ Toss-up
56%
2–1 1.86 0.89 Swing game
Sat Mar 13
TBD
Penn Fusion Soccer Academy
6th · 2-0-2 · GD +2
Away
●●●●● Very tough
15%
1–2 0.62 0.87 Upside
Sat Mar 20
TBD
PSA Monmouth
5th · 2-0-1 · GD -4
Home
●●●●○ Tough
37%
1–1 1.35 0.90 Upside
Sat Apr 17
TBD
Potomac Soccer Association
4th · 5-0-2 · GD +10
Home
●●●●● Very tough
15%
1–2 0.65 0.89 Upside
Sat Apr 24
TBD
Maryland United FC
1st · 6-0-0 · GD +21
Away
●●●●● Very tough
5%
0–3 0.22 0.85 Upside
Sat May 1
TBD
Baltimore Celtic
10th · 0-1-2 · GD -10
Home
●●●○○ Toss-up
48%
1–1 1.66 0.89 Swing game
Sat May 8
TBD
Pipeline SC
2nd · 6-0-1 · GD +21
Away
●●●●● Very tough
4%
0–3 0.22 0.86 Upside
Sat May 15
TBD
STA
3rd · 3-0-1 · GD +9
Home
●●●●● Very tough
13%
1–3 0.55 0.84 Upside
Sat May 22
09:00 AM
Delaware FC
7th · 3-0-3 · GD +0
Away far trip
Smith Estates
●●●●● Very tough
19%
1–2 0.76 0.84 Upside

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 Maryland United FC 6600 287+21 183.00 WWWWW -0.46 -0.16 100% 1.6
2 Pipeline SC 7601 254+21 182.57 WWLWW -0.12 -0.24 100% 1.7
3 STA 4301 189+9 92.25 WLWW +0.10 -0.23 91% 3.2
4 Potomac Soccer Association 7502 199+10 152.14 WWWWW -0.17 -0.14 80% 3.9
5 PSA Monmouth 3201 37-4 62.00 LWW -0.05 +0.01 1% 7.1
6 Penn Fusion Soccer Academy 4202 108+2 61.50 WWLL +0.45 -0.19 23% 5.1
7 Delaware FC 6303 1212+0 91.50 LLLWW +0.16 -0.15 6% 5.8
8 SJEB FC 6204 929-20 61.00 WWLLL +0.80 -0.08 0% 9.9
9 World Class FC 5104 410-6 30.60 LLLLW -0.60 +0.22 0% 9.2
10 Baltimore Celtic 3012 313-10 10.33 DLL +0.93 -0.04 0% 9.7
11 Match Fit Surf 7016 925-16 10.14 LLLLL +0.36 -0.05 0% 10.6
12 Philadelphia Ukrainian Nationals 4004 310-7 00.00 LLLL -0.36 +0.16 0% 10.2

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.26 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.