ECNL Boys · 2026-27 · Mon Sep 28 – Sun Oct 4
Week 4 in Mid-Atlantic BU16: what changed
6 games · 8 goals
Week 4 in Mid-Atlantic BU16 (Sep 28 to Oct 4): 6 games, 8 goals. Fairfax Virginia Union climbed 4 places to 4th. VDA slipped 2 places to 8th. Skyline Elite took over at the top from Charlotte SA Academy. The biggest upset was Beach FC 1–0 Arlington Soccer Association, a result the model gave a 19% chance.
Results
Mon Sep 28 – Sun Oct 4
Sat Oct 3
- Beach FC (11th) 1–0 (7th) Arlington Soccer Association
- VDA (10th) 0–1 (2nd) Skyline Elite
- Richmond United (3rd) 0–1 (9th) Fairfax Virginia Union
Sun Oct 4
Movers
table position and finish odds, before and after the week
| Team | Before | After | Change | Top 4 odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fairfax Virginia Union | 8th | 4th | ▲4 | — |
| VDA | 6th | 8th | ▼2 | — |
| Skyline Elite | 2nd | 1st | ▲1 | — |
| Richmond United | 5th | 6th | ▼1 | — |
| Arlington Soccer Association | 4th | 5th | ▼1 | — |
| Charlotte SA Academy | 1st | 2nd | ▼1 | — |
Positions are the table re-sorted after the last game of each week. Odds come from the nightly forecast snapshot nearest each end of the week; a dash means no snapshot exists yet.
Upsets
winner's odds under 30%
-
Beach FC 1–0 Arlington Soccer Association 19% likelySat Oct 3 · model favoured Arlington Soccer Association
-
Richmond United 0–1 Fairfax Virginia Union 20% likelySat Oct 3 · model favoured Richmond United
How likely each result was by today's ratings.