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Kansas City Athletics

ECNL Boys · Heartland BU13 · 12 teams · KC Athletics (all teams)

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9th
2-1-4 record · 7 played
1.00 points per game
-6 goal diff · 7–13
LLWWLlast 5
0% chance of top 4 · expected finish 9.2
+0.19 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sat Oct 24, 12:00 PM

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Kansas City Athletics
9th · 1.00 PPG
at
Missouri Rush
10th · 0.67 PPG

Missouri Rush Sports Park, Field 3 ↗ far trip

windrawloss

●●●●● Very tough to win

Most likely score 1–1 (expected goals 1.1 for, 1.8 against · 0.92 expected points)

Season so farKansas City AthleticsMissouri Rush
Position9th10th
Record (W-D-L)2-1-41-1-4
Points per game1.000.67
Goals for / game1.01.7
Goals against / game1.91.7
Clean sheets01
Held scoreless22
Form (recent first)L W W L LL L L W L
Biggest win2–1 at Union KC Soccer Club6–0 vs Sporting Nebraska FC
Worst loss1–4 vs Sporting Iowa Central0–2 vs Sporting Iowa Central
Model rating (net goals vs avg)-0.56-0.01
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)+0.19+0.24

Common opponents: FC Wichita — we 1–2; they 2–3. VSA Rush — we 2–1; they 1–3. Sporting Iowa Central — we 1–4; they 0–2.

Game plan

  • Finishing wins the tight ones
    Held scoreless 2 time(s): 0–2 at Arkansas Comets FC, 0–2 at OK Energy FC.

    Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.

  • Underdog — play free, stay organised
    Model gives 23%; a draw (23%) would be a good result.

    Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.

  • Confidence is low on their side
    Missouri Rush have lost 3 straight (form: LWLLL).

    Teams on losing runs go quiet after conceding. An early goal usually ends the contest — start fast.

  • Away game
    Kickoff 12:00 PM at Missouri Rush Sports Park.

    Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.

  • What a win does
    VSA Rush sit 8th on 1.00 PPG; we are on 1.00.

    A point moves us above VSA Rush on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.

If Saturday goes…

Where we'd sit after the Missouri Rush game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Kansas City Athletics – Missouri Rush) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 2 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Draw · 1.00 PPG
9th— holds 10th▼ down 1 11th▼ down 2
Win
1.25 PPG
8th▲ up 1 8th▲ up 1 8th▲ up 1
Draw
1.00 PPG
9th— holds 10th▼ down 1 11th▼ down 2
Loss
0.88 PPG
10th▼ down 1 10th▼ down 1 11th▼ down 2

Can we move up this round? No. With a 1–1 draw we stay 9th even if every rival loses, and as low as 11th if every rival wins.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

0% finish 1st
0% top 4
100% below the top 4
9.2 average finish
  1. 1st
  2. 2nd
  3. 3rd
  4. 4th <1%
  5. 5th 1%
  6. 6th 4%
  7. 7th 6%
  8. 8th 15%
  9. 9th 25%
  10. 10th 33%
  11. 11th 16%
  12. 12th <1%

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 15 remaining known games (max 2.36 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 St. Louis Stars SC 2.67 (+1.67) 1st (2.45) 52 of 45 pts to pass their current pace, 47 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
2 Sporting Iowa Central 2.44 (+1.44) 2nd (2.14) 47 of 45 pts to pass their current pace, 41 for their projection
3 FC Wichita 2.00 (+1.00) 3rd (2.13) 37 of 45 pts to pass their current pace, 40 for their projection
4 OK Energy FC 1.78 (+0.78) 5th (1.56) 33 of 45 pts to pass their current pace, 28 for their projection
5 Kansas Rush 1.67 (+0.67) 7th (1.29) 30 of 45 pts to pass their current pace, 22 for their projection
6 Gretna Elite Academy 1.63 (+0.63) 4th (1.71) 29 of 45 pts to pass their current pace, 31 for their projection
7 Arkansas Comets FC 1.44 (+0.44) 6th (1.40) 25 of 45 pts to pass their current pace, 24 for their projection
8 VSA Rush 1.00 (+0.00) 9th (1.07) A point next game

How the results connect

29 chains · 9 teams

Paths of results that link Kansas City Athletics to Missouri Rush through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

5 favour us
8 even
16 favour them
-1.2 goals per chain on average. The results point their way.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
1–2 3–2 1–4 2–0 2–1 3–1 2–1 1–3 1–0 2–1 0–3 0–2 2–1 3–2 1–1 2–2 1–0 6–2 0–6 Kansas City Athleti… 9th FC Wichita 3rd Sporting Iowa Centr… 2nd VSA Rush 8th Union KC Soccer Club 11th OK Energy FC 4th Gretna Elite Academy 6th Sporting Nebraska FC 12th Missouri Rush 10th

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

12 chains

Position over the season

14 game days

1st 6th 12th Aug 29 Sep 19 Sep 27 Oct 6 Oct 17 Oct 18

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty -0.01 · 8th hardest of 12

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sat Oct 24
12:00 PM
Missouri Rush
10th · 1-1-4 · GD +0
Away far trip
Missouri Rush Sports Park
●●●●● Very tough
23%
1–1 0.92 0.99 Upside
Sun Oct 25
09:00 AM
St. Louis Stars SC
1st · 5-1-0 · GD +18
Away far trip
Sport 360 Soccer Zone
●●●●● Very tough
5%
0–3 0.24 0.91 Upside
Sat Oct 31
02:45 PM
Sporting Nebraska FC
12th · 0-1-7 · GD -37
Home
Paragon Star Soccer Complex
●○○○○ Favorable
79%
3–1 2.49 1.07 Bank it
Sun Nov 1
11:45 AM
Gretna Elite Academy
6th · 4-1-3 · GD +3
Home
Paragon Star Soccer Complex
●●●●● Very tough
23%
1–1 0.92 1.05 Upside
Sat Mar 6
TBD
FC Wichita
3rd · 5-1-2 · GD +18
Away
●●●●● Very tough
7%
0–3 0.32 0.99 Upside
Sat Mar 20
TBD
OK Energy FC
4th · 4-4-1 · GD +3
Home
●●●●○ Tough
26%
0–1 1.05 1.00 Upside
Sun Mar 21
TBD
Arkansas Comets FC
7th · 4-1-4 · GD +3
Home
●●●●○ Tough
28%
1–2 1.04 1.00 Upside
Sat Apr 3
TBD
Union KC Soccer Club
11th · 1-1-5 · GD -10
Away
●●●●○ Tough
39%
1–1 1.41 1.03 Upside
Sat Apr 17
TBD
Gretna Elite Academy
6th · 4-1-3 · GD +3
Away
●●●●● Very tough
17%
0–2 0.71 1.01 Upside
Sun Apr 18
TBD
Sporting Nebraska FC
12th · 0-1-7 · GD -37
Away
●●○○○ Lean win
71%
2–1 2.28 1.08 Bank it
Sun Apr 25
TBD
Kansas Rush
5th · 3-1-2 · GD -1
Away
●●●●○ Tough
27%
1–1 1.06 1.08 Upside
Sat May 1
TBD
St. Louis Stars SC
1st · 5-1-0 · GD +18
Home
●●●●● Very tough
7%
0–2 0.36 1.04 Upside
Sun May 2
TBD
Missouri Rush
10th · 1-1-4 · GD +0
Home
●●●●○ Tough
30%
1–1 1.16 1.05 Upside
Sat May 15
TBD
Sporting Iowa Central
2nd · 7-1-1 · GD +13
Away
●●●●● Very tough
10%
0–2 0.48 1.02 Upside
Sun May 16
09:00 AM
VSA Rush
8th · 3-0-6 · GD -4
Away far trip
VSA Timberline Soccer Complex
●●●●○ Tough
29%
1–1 1.09 1.02 Upside

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 St. Louis Stars SC 6510 213+18 162.67 WWWWW -0.04 -0.20 100% 1.2
2 Sporting Iowa Central 9711 196+13 222.44 LWDWW -0.22 +0.03 99% 2.5
3 FC Wichita 8512 2810+18 162.00 WLWDW -0.27 -0.09 99% 2.5
4 OK Energy FC 9441 129+3 161.78 DWDLD -0.23 +0.13 24% 5.3
5 Kansas Rush 6312 910-1 101.67 LWDWL -0.70 +0.27 4% 7.3
6 Gretna Elite Academy 8413 1411+3 131.63 WWLDW +0.54 -0.36 64% 4.4
7 Arkansas Comets FC 9414 2219+3 131.44 WWDLW -0.23 +0.13 8% 6.4
8 VSA Rush 9306 1519-4 91.00 WWLLL -0.08 +0.14 0% 8.8
9 Kansas City Athletics 7214 713-6 71.00 LLWWL +0.19 -0.01 0% 9.2
10 Missouri Rush 6114 1010+0 40.67 LWLLL +0.24 -0.08 2% 7.8
11 Union KC Soccer Club 7115 818-10 40.57 DLLLW +0.25 +0.01 0% 10.5
12 Sporting Nebraska FC 8017 643-37 10.13 DLLLL +0.54 +0.15 0% 12.0

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (1.81 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.