Sporting SA JAX
ECNL Boys · Florida BU18/19 · 11 teams · Sporting SA (all teams)
Next game — Sat Oct 24, 12:00 PM
Divine Savior Academy, DSA 1 ↗ far trip
●●●●○ Tough to win
Most likely score 2–2 (expected goals 2.4 for, 2.3 against · 1.43 expected points)
| Season so far | Sporting SA JAX | Doral Soccer Club |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 6th | 5th |
| Record (W-D-L) | 4-2-3 | 4-1-3 |
| Points per game | 1.56 | 1.63 |
| Goals for / game | 2.4 | 2.6 |
| Goals against / game | 2.0 | 2.4 |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 1 |
| Held scoreless | 0 | 1 |
| Form (recent first) | W W W L D | L W L D W |
| Biggest win | 5–0 vs Athletic Club Florida | 5–0 vs AC Florida West |
| Worst loss | 2–5 vs Florida Premier FC | 1–4 at Florida Premier FC |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | +0.46 | +0.14 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | +0.43 | -0.22 |
Common opponents: Fort Lauderdale United FC — we 1–3, 3–3; they 4–4. Palm Beach United — we 1–2, 3–3; they 3–6. Florida Kraze Krush — we 3–2; they 3–2, 0–1. Florida Premier FC — we 2–5; they 1–4. Florida Premier FC South — we 1–0; they 2–1. Athletic Club Florida — we 5–0; they 3–1.
Game plan
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Underdog — play free, stay organised
Model gives 41%; a draw (19%) would be a good result.Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.
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Away game
Kickoff 12:00 PM at Divine Savior Academy.Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.
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What a win does
Doral Soccer Club sit 5th on 1.63 PPG; we are on 1.56.A point moves us above Doral Soccer Club on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.
If Saturday goes…
Where we'd sit after the Doral Soccer Club game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Sporting SA JAX – Doral Soccer Club) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 5 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.
| Our result | Rivals don't play | Likely results | Every rival wins |
|---|---|---|---|
| – Draw · 1.50 PPG |
6th— holds | 5th▲ up 1 | 6th— holds |
| Win 1.70 PPG |
4th▲ up 2 | 4th▲ up 2 | 5th▲ up 1 |
| Draw 1.50 PPG |
6th— holds | 5th▲ up 1 | 6th— holds |
| Loss 1.40 PPG |
6th— holds | 6th— holds | 8th▼ down 2 |
Can we move up this round? Yes. With a 2–2 draw we finish as high as 4th if every rival drops points, and as low as 6th if every rival wins.
Where we finish
2,000 simulated seasons
- 1st
- 2nd 2%
- 3rd 14%
- 4th 41%
- 5th 23%
- 6th 13%
- 7th 6%
- 8th 2%
- 9th <1%
- 10th
- 11th
Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.
Climbing the table
What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 11 remaining known games (max 2.35 PPG if we win out).
| # | Team | PPG | Proj. | To pass them |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Florida Premier FC | 2.57 (+1.01) | 1st (2.46) | 38 of 33 pts to pass their current pace, 36 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule |
| 2 | Fort Lauderdale United FC | 2.14 (+0.58) | 3rd (2.02) | 29 of 33 pts to pass their current pace, 27 for their projection |
| 3 | Parkland Soccer Club | 2.00 (+0.44) | 2nd (2.04) | 26 of 33 pts to pass their current pace, 27 for their projection |
| 4 | Palm Beach United | 1.67 (+0.11) | 8th (1.31) | A point next game |
| 5 | Doral Soccer Club | 1.63 (+0.07) | 5th (1.52) | A point next game |
How the results connect
32 chains · 9 teams
Paths of results that link Sporting SA JAX to Doral Soccer Club through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.
Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.
Step through the chains with the arrows, or tap one on the map.
Position over the season
15 game days
The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.
The path
run-in difficulty -0.49 · 11th hardest of 11
| Date | Opponent | Where | Difficulty | Win | Likely | Exp. pts | Run. PPG | Priority |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat Oct 24 12:00 PM |
Doral Soccer Club 5th · 4-1-3 · GD +2 |
Away far trip
Divine Savior Academy |
●●●●○ Tough | 41% |
2–2 | 1.43 | 1.54 | Upside |
| Sun Oct 25 11:00 AM |
AC Florida West 11th · 0-0-6 · GD -35 |
Away far trip
JetBlue Park |
●○○○○ Favorable | 93% |
4–0 | 2.83 | 1.66 | Bank it |
| Sat Oct 31 05:00 PM |
Parkland Soccer Club 3rd · 5-1-2 · GD +16 |
Away far trip
Terramar Park |
●●●●● Very tough | 20% |
1–2 | 0.78 | 1.59 | Upside |
| Sun Nov 1 01:00 PM |
Athletic Club Florida 9th · 2-0-5 · GD -15 |
Away far trip
Southeast Park |
●●○○○ Lean win | 69% |
3–1 | 2.21 | 1.63 | Swing game |
| Sun Feb 28 12:00 PM |
Space Coast United 10th · 2-1-6 · GD -7 |
Away far trip
SCU - Viera Regional Park Soccer Fields |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 52% |
1–1 | 1.77 | 1.64 | Swing game |
| Sat Mar 6 12:00 PM |
AC Florida West 11th · 0-0-6 · GD -35 |
Home Veterans Park |
●○○○○ Favorable | 96% |
5–0 | 2.90 | 1.73 | Bank it |
| Sun Mar 7 01:00 PM |
Doral Soccer Club 5th · 4-1-3 · GD +2 |
Home Veterans Park |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 52% |
2–2 | 1.75 | 1.73 | Swing game |
| Sat Apr 3 02:00 PM |
Space Coast United 10th · 2-1-6 · GD -7 |
Home Veterans Park |
●●○○○ Lean win | 61% |
2–1 | 2.03 | 1.75 | Swing game |
| Sat Apr 24 12:00 PM |
Florida Premier FC 1st · 6-0-1 · GD +26 |
Away far trip
Starkey Ranch District Park |
●●●●● Very tough | 12% |
1–3 | 0.47 | 1.68 | Upside |
| Sun Apr 25 09:00 AM |
Florida Premier FC South 7th · 3-0-4 · GD +1 |
Away far trip
Lakewood Ranch Park |
●●●●○ Tough | 42% |
1–1 | 1.47 | 1.67 | Upside |
| Sat May 15 02:00 PM |
Florida Kraze Krush 8th · 2-1-3 · GD +0 |
Home Veterans Park |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 49% |
2–1 | 1.68 | 1.67 | Swing game |
"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.
Standings
| # | Team | GP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | Form | SoS | Run-in | Top 4 | Exp. finish | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| 1 | Florida Premier FC | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 33 | 7 | +26 | 18 | 2.57 | WWWLW | -0.44 | -0.14 | 100% | 1.1 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 10 at Florida Kraze Krush · Sat Oct 31 at Fort Lauderdale United FC · Sun Nov 1 at Palm Beach United See all 13 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 2 | Fort Lauderdale United FC | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 24 | 9 | +15 | 15 | 2.14 | DWDDW | -0.56 | +0.01 | 95% | 2.7 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs Palm Beach United · Sun Oct 25 vs Athletic Club Florida · Sat Oct 31 vs Florida Premier FC See all 13 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 3 | Parkland Soccer Club | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 25 | 9 | +16 | 16 | 2.00 | DLLWW | -0.34 | -0.01 | 98% | 2.6 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 31 vs Sporting SA JAX · Sun Nov 1 vs Space Coast United · Sun Feb 21 vs Florida Kraze Krush See all 12 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 4 | Palm Beach United | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 20 | -7 | 10 | 1.67 | WWDLW | +0.25 | -0.05 | 4% | 7.2 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 3 vs Florida Kraze Krush · Sat Oct 24 at Fort Lauderdale United FC · Sat Oct 31 vs Florida Premier FC South See all 14 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 5 | Doral Soccer Club | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 21 | 19 | +2 | 13 | 1.63 | WDLWL | -0.22 | +0.06 | 24% | 5.6 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs Sporting SA JAX · Sun Oct 25 vs Space Coast United · Sat Feb 27 at Parkland Soccer Club See all 12 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 6 | Sporting SA JAX | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 22 | 18 | +4 | 14 | 1.56 | DLWWW | +0.43 | -0.49 | 56% | 4.6 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at Doral Soccer Club · Sun Oct 25 at AC Florida West · Sat Oct 31 at Parkland Soccer Club See all 11 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 7 | Florida Premier FC South | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 12 | +1 | 9 | 1.29 | WLLWL | -0.13 | +0.04 | 7% | 6.7 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 at Florida Kraze Krush · Sat Oct 31 at Palm Beach United · Sun Nov 1 at Fort Lauderdale United FC See all 13 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 8 | Florida Kraze Krush | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 10 | +0 | 7 | 1.17 | LDLWW | +0.44 | -0.27 | 16% | 6.0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 3 at Palm Beach United · Sat Oct 10 vs Florida Premier FC · Sun Oct 25 vs Florida Premier FC South See all 14 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 9 | Athletic Club Florida | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 9 | 24 | -15 | 6 | 0.86 | LLWLL | +0.11 | +0.15 | 0% | 9.7 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 at Fort Lauderdale United FC · Sat Oct 31 vs Space Coast United · Sun Nov 1 vs Sporting SA JAX See all 13 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 10 | Space Coast United | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 7 | 0.78 | LLDWL | +0.43 | -0.32 | 0% | 8.8 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at AC Florida West · Sun Oct 25 at Doral Soccer Club · Sat Oct 31 at Athletic Club Florida See all 11 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 11 | AC Florida West | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 36 | -35 | 0 | 0.00 | LLLLL | +0.64 | +0.20 | 0% | 11.0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs Space Coast United · Sun Oct 25 vs Sporting SA JAX · Sat Nov 7 at Palm Beach United See all 14 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.
How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.26 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.