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Parkland Soccer Club

ECNL Boys · Florida BU18/19 · 11 teams · Parkland Soccer Club (all teams)

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3rd
5-1-2 record · 8 played
2.00 points per game
+16 goal diff · 25–9
DLLWWlast 5
97% chance of top 4 · expected finish 2.5
-0.34 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sat Oct 31, 05:00 PM

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Parkland Soccer Club
3rd · 2.00 PPG
vs
Sporting SA JAX
6th · 1.56 PPG

Terramar Park, Field D ↗

windrawloss

●●○○○ Lean win to win

Most likely score 2–1 (expected goals 2.6 for, 1.5 against · 2.04 expected points)

Season so farParkland Soccer ClubSporting SA JAX
Position3rd6th
Record (W-D-L)5-1-24-2-3
Points per game2.001.56
Goals for / game3.12.4
Goals against / game1.12.0
Clean sheets23
Held scoreless10
Form (recent first)W W L L DW W W L D
Biggest win9–0 vs Palm Beach United5–0 vs Athletic Club Florida
Worst loss0–3 at Sporting SA JAX2–5 vs Florida Premier FC
Model rating (net goals vs avg)+1.35+0.46
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)-0.34+0.43

Already played this season: Sun Oct 4 0–3 at Sporting SA JAX (L)

Common opponents: Florida Kraze Krush — we 3–1; they 3–2. Palm Beach United — we 9–0; they 1–2, 3–3. Athletic Club Florida — we 1–2; they 5–0. Florida Premier FC — we 1–0; they 2–5. Florida Premier FC South — we 4–1; they 1–0.

Game plan

  • Finishing wins the tight ones
    Held scoreless 1 time(s): 0–3 at Sporting SA JAX.

    Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.

  • Swing game — small margins
    Win 62% / draw 18% / loss 20%.

    Games like this are decided by one set piece or one transition. Prioritise the strongest XI for the full game, be disciplined with fouls near the box, and have a clear late-game plan for both "protect the lead" and "chase".

  • They arrive in form
    Sporting SA JAX have won 3 straight.

    Don't let them settle: deny the first 10 minutes of rhythm with pressure on their first pass out of the back.

If Saturday goes…

Where we'd sit after the Sporting SA JAX game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Parkland Soccer Club – Sporting SA JAX) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 6 other games that week (Mon Oct 26 – Sun Nov 1); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Win · 2.11 PPG
3rd— holds 2nd▲ up 1 3rd— holds
Win
2.11 PPG
3rd— holds 2nd▲ up 1 3rd— holds
Draw
1.89 PPG
3rd— holds 3rd— holds 4th▼ down 1
Loss
1.78 PPG
3rd— holds 4th▼ down 1 5th▼ down 2

Can we move up this round? Yes. With a 2–1 win we finish as high as 1st if every rival drops points, and as low as 3rd if every rival wins.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

6% finish 1st
97% top 4
3% below the top 4
2.5 average finish
  1. 1st 6%
  2. 2nd 47%
  3. 3rd 36%
  4. 4th 8%
  5. 5th 2%
  6. 6th 1%
  7. 7th <1%
  8. 8th
  9. 9th
  10. 10th
  11. 11th

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 12 remaining known games (max 2.60 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 Florida Premier FC 2.57 (+0.57) 1st (2.46) 36 of 36 pts to pass their current pace, 34 for their projection
2 Fort Lauderdale United FC 2.14 (+0.14) 3rd (2.02) 27 of 36 pts to pass their current pace, 25 for their projection

How the results connect

32 chains · 9 teams

Paths of results that link Parkland Soccer Club to Sporting SA JAX through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

14 favour us
3 even
15 favour them
+0.2 goals per chain on average. The results call it close.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
0–3 3–1 2–3 4–1 0–1 1–0 5–2 1–2 0–5 9–0 3–3 2–1 1–1 1–2 0–2 3–1 1–4 4–1 3–2 Parkland Soccer Club 3rd Florida Kraze Krush 8th Florida Premier FC … 7th Florida Premier FC 1st Athletic Club Flori… 9th Palm Beach United 4th Space Coast United 10th Fort Lauderdale Uni… 2nd Sporting SA JAX 6th

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

12 chains

Position over the season

15 game days

1st 6th 11th Aug 29 Sep 6 Sep 20 Oct 3 Oct 11 Oct 18

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty -0.01 · 6th hardest of 11

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sat Oct 31
05:00 PM
Sporting SA JAX
6th · 4-2-3 · GD +4
Home
Terramar Park
●●○○○ Lean win
62%
2–1 2.04 2.00 Swing game
Sun Nov 1
12:00 PM
Space Coast United
10th · 2-1-6 · GD -7
Home
Terramar Park
●●○○○ Lean win
74%
2–0 2.37 2.04 Bank it
Sun Feb 21
03:00 PM
Florida Kraze Krush
8th · 2-1-3 · GD +0
Home
Terramar Park
●●○○○ Lean win
64%
2–1 2.11 2.05 Swing game
Sat Feb 27
11:00 AM
Doral Soccer Club
5th · 4-1-3 · GD +2
Home
Terramar Park
●●○○○ Lean win
69%
3–1 2.23 2.06 Swing game
Sun Feb 28
01:00 PM
AC Florida West
11th · 0-0-6 · GD -35
Home
Terramar Park
●○○○○ Favorable
98%
6–0 2.96 2.13 Bank it
Sat Mar 13
05:00 PM
Fort Lauderdale United FC
2nd · 4-3-0 · GD +15
Home
Terramar Park
●●●○○ Toss-up
48%
2–1 1.64 2.10 Swing game
Sun Mar 14
05:00 PM
Doral Soccer Club
5th · 4-1-3 · GD +2
Away far trip
Divine Savior Academy
●●○○○ Lean win
59%
2–1 1.96 2.09 Swing game
Sat Mar 20
01:00 PM
Athletic Club Florida
9th · 2-0-5 · GD -15
Away
Mullins Park · turf
●○○○○ Favorable
82%
3–1 2.56 2.12 Bank it
Sun Apr 4
TBD
Palm Beach United
4th · 3-1-2 · GD -7
Away
●●○○○ Lean win
73%
3–1 2.32 2.13 Bank it
Sat Apr 10
02:00 PM
Florida Premier FC
1st · 6-0-1 · GD +26
Home
Terramar Park
●●●●○ Tough
33%
1–2 1.18 2.08 Upside
Sun Apr 11
09:00 AM
Florida Premier FC South
7th · 3-0-4 · GD +1
Home
Terramar Park
●●○○○ Lean win
67%
2–1 2.19 2.08 Swing game
Sun Apr 18
01:00 PM
Fort Lauderdale United FC
2nd · 4-3-0 · GD +15
Away far trip
Miami Dolphins Training Facility @ NOVA Southeaste
●●●●○ Tough
38%
2–2 1.33 2.04 Upside

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 Florida Premier FC 7601 337+26 182.57 WWWLW -0.44 -0.14 100% 1.1
2 Fort Lauderdale United FC 7430 249+15 152.14 DWDDW -0.56 +0.01 96% 2.7
3 Parkland Soccer Club 8512 259+16 162.00 DLLWW -0.34 -0.01 97% 2.5
4 Palm Beach United 6312 1320-7 101.67 WWDLW +0.25 -0.05 3% 7.1
5 Doral Soccer Club 8413 2119+2 131.63 WDLWL -0.22 +0.06 24% 5.6
6 Sporting SA JAX 9423 2218+4 141.56 DLWWW +0.43 -0.49 56% 4.6
7 Florida Premier FC South 7304 1312+1 91.29 WLLWL -0.13 +0.04 7% 6.8
8 Florida Kraze Krush 6213 1010+0 71.17 LDLWW +0.44 -0.27 16% 6.0
9 Athletic Club Florida 7205 924-15 60.86 LLWLL +0.11 +0.15 0% 9.7
10 Space Coast United 9216 1017-7 70.78 LLDWL +0.43 -0.32 0% 8.8
11 AC Florida West 6006 136-35 00.00 LLLLL +0.64 +0.20 0% 11.0

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.26 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.