Fort Lauderdale United FC
ECNL Boys · Florida BU18/19 · 11 teams · Fort Lauderdale United FC (all teams)
Next game — Sat Oct 24, 01:00 PM
Miami Dolphins Training Facility @ NOVA Southeaste, Field 1 ↗
●○○○○ Favorable to win
Most likely score 4–1 (expected goals 4.4 for, 1.7 against · 2.54 expected points)
| Season so far | Fort Lauderdale United FC | Palm Beach United |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 2nd | 4th |
| Record (W-D-L) | 4-3-0 | 3-1-2 |
| Points per game | 2.14 | 1.67 |
| Goals for / game | 3.4 | 2.2 |
| Goals against / game | 1.3 | 3.3 |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 0 |
| Held scoreless | 0 | 2 |
| Form (recent first) | W D D W D | W L D W W |
| Biggest win | 8–0 at AC Florida West | 6–3 vs Doral Soccer Club |
| Worst loss | — | 0–9 at Parkland Soccer Club |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | +1.35 | -0.66 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | -0.56 | +0.25 |
Common opponents: Sporting SA JAX — we 3–1, 3–3; they 2–1, 3–3. Space Coast United — we 3–0, 2–0; they 0–3, 2–1. Doral Soccer Club — we 4–4; they 6–3.
Game plan
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Expected win — the trap is complacency
Model gives a 82% chance; likely score 4–1.Treat the first 15 minutes like a final: score early, then the game manages itself. This is the ideal game to give rotation players real minutes in the second half without risking points.
If Saturday goes…
Where we'd sit after the Palm Beach United game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Fort Lauderdale United FC – Palm Beach United) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 4 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.
| Our result | Rivals don't play | Likely results | Every rival wins |
|---|---|---|---|
| – Win · 2.25 PPG |
2nd— holds | 2nd— holds | 2nd— holds |
| Win 2.25 PPG |
2nd— holds | 2nd— holds | 2nd— holds |
| Draw 2.00 PPG |
3rd▼ down 1 | 3rd▼ down 1 | 3rd▼ down 1 |
| Loss 1.88 PPG |
3rd▼ down 1 | 3rd▼ down 1 | 3rd▼ down 1 |
Can we move up this round? No. With a 4–1 win we stay 2nd even if every rival loses, whatever the rivals do.
Where we finish
2,000 simulated seasons
- 1st 7%
- 2nd 41%
- 3rd 42%
- 4th 8%
- 5th 2%
- 6th 1%
- 7th <1%
- 8th
- 9th
- 10th
- 11th
Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.
Climbing the table
What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 13 remaining known games (max 2.70 PPG if we win out).
| # | Team | PPG | Proj. | To pass them |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Florida Premier FC | 2.57 (+0.43) | 1st (2.46) | 37 of 39 pts to pass their current pace, 35 for their projection |
How the results connect
26 chains · 6 teams
Paths of results that link Fort Lauderdale United FC to Palm Beach United through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.
Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.
Step through the chains with the arrows, or tap one on the map.
Position over the season
16 game days
The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.
The path
run-in difficulty +0.01 · 5th hardest of 11
| Date | Opponent | Where | Difficulty | Win | Likely | Exp. pts | Run. PPG | Priority |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat Oct 24 01:00 PM |
Palm Beach United 4th · 3-1-2 · GD -7 |
Home Miami Dolphins Training Facility @ NOVA Southeaste |
●○○○○ Favorable | 82% |
4–1 | 2.54 | 2.19 | Bank it |
| Sun Oct 25 11:00 AM |
Athletic Club Florida 9th · 2-0-5 · GD -15 |
Home Miami Dolphins Training Facility @ NOVA Southeaste |
●○○○○ Favorable | 88% |
4–1 | 2.72 | 2.25 | Bank it |
| Sat Oct 31 11:00 AM |
Florida Premier FC 1st · 6-0-1 · GD +26 |
Home Miami Dolphins Training Facility @ NOVA Southeaste |
●●●●○ Tough | 30% |
2–2 | 1.09 | 2.13 | Upside |
| Sun Nov 1 11:00 AM |
Florida Premier FC South 7th · 3-0-4 · GD +1 |
Home Miami Dolphins Training Facility @ NOVA Southeaste |
●●○○○ Lean win | 67% |
2–1 | 2.17 | 2.14 | Swing game |
| Sat Mar 13 05:00 PM |
Parkland Soccer Club 3rd · 5-1-2 · GD +16 |
Away far trip
Terramar Park |
●●●●○ Tough | 32% |
1–2 | 1.17 | 2.06 | Upside |
| Sun Mar 14 09:00 AM |
AC Florida West 11th · 0-0-6 · GD -35 |
Home Miami Dolphins Training Facility @ NOVA Southeaste |
●○○○○ Favorable | 99% |
6–0 | 2.97 | 2.13 | Bank it |
| Sat Mar 20 12:00 PM |
Florida Premier FC 1st · 6-0-1 · GD +26 |
Away far trip
Starkey Ranch District Park |
●●●●● Very tough | 21% |
1–3 | 0.80 | 2.03 | Upside |
| Sun Mar 21 09:00 AM |
Florida Premier FC South 7th · 3-0-4 · GD +1 |
Away far trip
Lakewood Ranch Park |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 57% |
2–1 | 1.90 | 2.02 | Swing game |
| Sat Apr 3 TBD |
Palm Beach United 4th · 3-1-2 · GD -7 |
Away |
●●○○○ Lean win | 72% |
3–1 | 2.30 | 2.04 | Bank it |
| Sun Apr 4 12:00 PM |
Athletic Club Florida 9th · 2-0-5 · GD -15 |
Away Nob Hill Soccer Park |
●○○○○ Favorable | 82% |
3–1 | 2.56 | 2.07 | Bank it |
| Sat Apr 17 01:00 PM |
Doral Soccer Club 5th · 4-2-3 · GD +2 |
Away far trip
Divine Savior Academy |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 58% |
2–1 | 1.90 | 2.06 | Swing game |
| Sun Apr 18 01:00 PM |
Parkland Soccer Club 3rd · 5-1-2 · GD +16 |
Home Miami Dolphins Training Facility @ NOVA Southeaste |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 42% |
2–2 | 1.47 | 2.03 | Swing game |
| Sun Apr 25 09:00 AM |
Florida Kraze Krush 8th · 2-1-3 · GD +0 |
Away far trip
Central Winds |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 54% |
2–1 | 1.82 | 2.02 | Swing game |
"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.
Standings
| # | Team | GP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | Form | SoS | Run-in | Top 4 | Exp. finish | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| 1 | Florida Premier FC | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 33 | 7 | +26 | 18 | 2.57 | WWWLW | -0.44 | -0.14 | 100% | 1.1 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 10 at Florida Kraze Krush · Sat Oct 31 at Fort Lauderdale United FC · Sun Nov 1 at Palm Beach United See all 13 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 2 | Fort Lauderdale United FC | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 24 | 9 | +15 | 15 | 2.14 | DWDDW | -0.56 | +0.01 | 97% | 2.6 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs Palm Beach United · Sun Oct 25 vs Athletic Club Florida · Sat Oct 31 vs Florida Premier FC See all 13 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 3 | Parkland Soccer Club | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 25 | 9 | +16 | 16 | 2.00 | DLLWW | -0.35 | -0.01 | 97% | 2.6 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 31 vs Sporting SA JAX · Sun Nov 1 vs Space Coast United · Sun Feb 21 vs Florida Kraze Krush See all 12 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 4 | Palm Beach United | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 20 | -7 | 10 | 1.67 | WWDLW | +0.25 | -0.05 | 6% | 7.0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 3 vs Florida Kraze Krush · Sat Oct 24 at Fort Lauderdale United FC · Sat Oct 31 vs Florida Premier FC South See all 14 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 5 | Doral Soccer Club | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 23 | 21 | +2 | 14 | 1.56 | DLWLD | -0.14 | +0.02 | 24% | 5.7 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 vs Space Coast United · Sat Feb 27 at Parkland Soccer Club · Sun Feb 28 at Athletic Club Florida See all 11 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 6 | Sporting SA JAX | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 24 | 20 | +4 | 15 | 1.50 | LWWWD | +0.40 | -0.55 | 50% | 4.7 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 at AC Florida West · Sat Oct 31 at Parkland Soccer Club · Sun Nov 1 at Athletic Club Florida See all 10 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 7 | Florida Premier FC South | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 12 | +1 | 9 | 1.29 | WLLWL | -0.13 | +0.04 | 9% | 6.8 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 at Florida Kraze Krush · Sat Oct 31 at Palm Beach United · Sun Nov 1 at Fort Lauderdale United FC See all 13 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 8 | Florida Kraze Krush | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 10 | +0 | 7 | 1.17 | LDLWW | +0.44 | -0.27 | 18% | 6.0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 3 at Palm Beach United · Sat Oct 10 vs Florida Premier FC · Sun Oct 25 vs Florida Premier FC South See all 14 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 9 | Athletic Club Florida | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 9 | 24 | -15 | 6 | 0.86 | LLWLL | +0.11 | +0.15 | 0% | 9.7 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 at Fort Lauderdale United FC · Sat Oct 31 vs Space Coast United · Sun Nov 1 vs Sporting SA JAX See all 13 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 10 | Space Coast United | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 7 | 0.78 | LLDWL | +0.43 | -0.32 | 0% | 8.8 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at AC Florida West · Sun Oct 25 at Doral Soccer Club · Sat Oct 31 at Athletic Club Florida See all 11 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 11 | AC Florida West | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 36 | -35 | 0 | 0.00 | LLLLL | +0.63 | +0.19 | 0% | 11.0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs Space Coast United · Sun Oct 25 vs Sporting SA JAX · Sat Nov 7 at Palm Beach United See all 14 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.
How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.26 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.