Sporting SA JAX
ECNL Boys · Florida BU17 · 11 teams · Sporting SA (all teams)
Next game — Sat Oct 24, 02:00 PM
Divine Savior Academy, DSA 1 ↗ far trip
●●○○○ Lean win to win
Most likely score 2–1 (expected goals 2.9 for, 1.1 against · 2.36 expected points)
| Season so far | Sporting SA JAX | Doral Soccer Club |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 1st | 8th |
| Record (W-D-L) | 8-0-1 | 2-0-5 |
| Points per game | 2.67 | 0.86 |
| Goals for / game | 3.1 | 1.6 |
| Goals against / game | 0.9 | 2.6 |
| Clean sheets | 4 | 1 |
| Held scoreless | 0 | 1 |
| Form (recent first) | L W W W W | L W L L L |
| Biggest win | 8–0 vs Fort Lauderdale United FC | 3–0 vs Athletic Club Florida |
| Worst loss | 1–3 vs Parkland Soccer Club | 1–7 at Florida Premier FC |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | +1.48 | -0.57 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | -0.19 | +0.17 |
Common opponents: Fort Lauderdale United FC — we 8–0, 2–1; they 1–2. Palm Beach United — we 4–1, 4–0; they 4–2. Florida Kraze Krush — we 1–0; they 1–3, 0–2. Florida Premier FC — we 1–0; they 1–7. Florida Premier FC South — we 4–2; they 1–2. Athletic Club Florida — we 3–1; they 3–0.
Game plan
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Expected win — the trap is complacency
Model gives a 74% chance; likely score 2–1.Treat the first 15 minutes like a final: score early, then the game manages itself. This is the ideal game to give rotation players real minutes in the second half without risking points.
-
Away game
Kickoff 02:00 PM at Divine Savior Academy.Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.
If Saturday goes…
Where we'd sit after the Doral Soccer Club game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Sporting SA JAX – Doral Soccer Club) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 5 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.
| Our result | Rivals don't play | Likely results | Every rival wins |
|---|---|---|---|
| – Win · 2.70 PPG |
1st— holds | 1st— holds | 1st— holds |
| Win 2.70 PPG |
1st— holds | 1st— holds | 1st— holds |
| Draw 2.50 PPG |
2nd▼ down 1 | 2nd▼ down 1 | 2nd▼ down 1 |
| Loss 2.40 PPG |
2nd▼ down 1 | 2nd▼ down 1 | 2nd▼ down 1 |
Can we move up this round? No. With a 2–1 win we stay 1st even if every rival loses, whatever the rivals do.
Where we finish
2,000 simulated seasons
- 1st 35%
- 2nd 54%
- 3rd 11%
- 4th 1%
- 5th <1%
- 6th
- 7th
- 8th
- 9th
- 10th
- 11th
Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.
Climbing the table
Top of the table. The job is to stay there: see the path below for where points are most at risk.
How the results connect
24 chains · 9 teams
Paths of results that link Sporting SA JAX to Doral Soccer Club through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.
Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.
Step through the chains with the arrows, or tap one on the map.
Position over the season
16 game days
The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.
The path
run-in difficulty -0.17 · 9th hardest of 11
| Date | Opponent | Where | Difficulty | Win | Likely | Exp. pts | Run. PPG | Priority |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat Oct 24 02:00 PM |
Doral Soccer Club 8th · 2-0-5 · GD -7 |
Away far trip
Divine Savior Academy |
●●○○○ Lean win | 74% |
2–1 | 2.36 | 2.64 | Bank it |
| Sun Oct 25 09:00 AM |
AC Florida West 9th · 1-1-3 · GD -9 |
Away far trip
JetBlue Park |
●○○○○ Favorable | 81% |
3–0 | 2.54 | 2.63 | Bank it |
| Sat Oct 31 01:00 PM |
Parkland Soccer Club 4th · 3-4-1 · GD +4 |
Away far trip
Terramar Park |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 54% |
2–1 | 1.84 | 2.56 | Swing game |
| Sun Nov 1 11:00 AM |
Athletic Club Florida 11th · 0-1-5 · GD -11 |
Away far trip
Southeast Park |
●○○○○ Favorable | 80% |
3–0 | 2.53 | 2.56 | Bank it |
| Sun Feb 28 10:00 AM |
Space Coast United 6th · 2-2-4 · GD -6 |
Away far trip
SCU - Viera Regional Park Soccer Fields |
●●○○○ Lean win | 74% |
2–1 | 2.37 | 2.55 | Bank it |
| Sat Mar 6 04:00 PM |
AC Florida West 9th · 1-1-3 · GD -9 |
Home Veterans Park |
●○○○○ Favorable | 87% |
3–0 | 2.69 | 2.56 | Bank it |
| Sun Mar 7 11:00 AM |
Doral Soccer Club 8th · 2-0-5 · GD -7 |
Home Veterans Park |
●○○○○ Favorable | 82% |
3–0 | 2.56 | 2.56 | Bank it |
| Sat Apr 3 12:00 PM |
Space Coast United 6th · 2-2-4 · GD -6 |
Home Veterans Park |
●○○○○ Favorable | 81% |
3–0 | 2.56 | 2.56 | Bank it |
| Sat Apr 24 04:00 PM |
Florida Premier FC 2nd · 6-0-1 · GD +23 |
Away far trip
Starkey Ranch District Park |
●●●●○ Tough | 28% |
1–2 | 1.04 | 2.47 | Upside |
| Sun Apr 25 01:00 PM |
Florida Premier FC South 5th · 2-2-2 · GD -2 |
Away far trip
Lakewood Ranch Park |
●●○○○ Lean win | 67% |
2–1 | 2.17 | 2.46 | Swing game |
| Sat May 15 12:00 PM |
Florida Kraze Krush 3rd · 4-1-1 · GD +10 |
Home Veterans Park |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 49% |
1–1 | 1.71 | 2.42 | Swing game |
"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.
Standings
| # | Team | GP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | Form | SoS | Run-in | Top 4 | Exp. finish | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| 1 | Sporting SA JAX | 9 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 28 | 8 | +20 | 24 | 2.67 | WWWWL | -0.19 | -0.17 | 100% | 1.8 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at Doral Soccer Club · Sun Oct 25 at AC Florida West · Sat Oct 31 at Parkland Soccer Club See all 11 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 2 | Florida Premier FC | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 29 | 6 | +23 | 18 | 2.57 | LWWWW | -0.20 | -0.29 | 100% | 1.4 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 10 at Florida Kraze Krush · Sat Oct 31 at Fort Lauderdale United FC · Sun Nov 1 at Palm Beach United See all 13 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 3 | Florida Kraze Krush | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 5 | +10 | 13 | 2.17 | LWWWW | -0.23 | -0.14 | 98% | 2.9 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 3 at Palm Beach United · Sat Oct 10 vs Florida Premier FC · Sun Oct 25 vs Florida Premier FC South See all 14 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 4 | Parkland Soccer Club | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 16 | 12 | +4 | 13 | 1.63 | WWDLD | +0.12 | -0.22 | 82% | 4.1 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 31 vs Sporting SA JAX · Sun Nov 1 vs Space Coast United · Sun Feb 21 vs Florida Kraze Krush See all 12 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 5 | Florida Premier FC South | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 13 | -2 | 8 | 1.33 | LDLWD | +0.31 | -0.17 | 18% | 5.2 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 17 vs Athletic Club Florida · Sun Oct 25 at Florida Kraze Krush · Sat Oct 31 at Palm Beach United See all 14 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 6 | Space Coast United | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 19 | -6 | 8 | 1.00 | DLLWL | -0.03 | +0.09 | 1% | 7.4 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at AC Florida West · Sun Oct 25 at Doral Soccer Club · Sat Oct 31 at Athletic Club Florida See all 12 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 7 | Fort Lauderdale United FC | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 18 | -12 | 6 | 1.00 | LWLLW | +0.27 | -0.02 | 0% | 8.6 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs Palm Beach United · Sun Oct 25 vs Athletic Club Florida · Sat Oct 31 vs Florida Premier FC See all 14 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 8 | Doral Soccer Club | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 11 | 18 | -7 | 6 | 0.86 | LLLWL | +0.17 | -0.05 | 1% | 7.2 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 17 vs AC Florida West · Sat Oct 24 vs Sporting SA JAX · Sun Oct 25 vs Space Coast United See all 13 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 9 | AC Florida West | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 14 | -9 | 4 | 0.80 | LLWDL | -0.02 | +0.07 | 0% | 9.2 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 17 at Doral Soccer Club · Sat Oct 24 vs Space Coast United · Sun Oct 25 vs Sporting SA JAX See all 15 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 10 | Palm Beach United | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 21 | -10 | 4 | 0.67 | LWLLL | +0.25 | -0.03 | 0% | 8.4 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 3 vs Florida Kraze Krush · Sat Oct 24 at Fort Lauderdale United FC · Sat Oct 31 vs Florida Premier FC South See all 14 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 11 | Athletic Club Florida | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 18 | -11 | 1 | 0.17 | LLLDL | +0.36 | -0.05 | 0% | 9.6 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 17 at Florida Premier FC South · Sun Oct 25 at Fort Lauderdale United FC · Sat Oct 31 vs Space Coast United See all 14 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.
How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.02 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.