TableChase Clubs

Fort Lauderdale United FC

ECNL Boys · Florida BU17 · 11 teams · Fort Lauderdale United FC (all teams)

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9th
2-0-5 record · 7 played
0.86 points per game
-13 goal diff · 7–20
WLLWLlast 5
0% chance of top 4 · expected finish 9.3
+0.07 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sun Oct 25, 01:00 PM

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Fort Lauderdale United FC
9th · 0.86 PPG
vs
Athletic Club Florida
11th · 0.17 PPG

Miami Dolphins Training Facility @ NOVA Southeaste, Field 1 ↗

windrawloss

●●●●○ Tough to win

Most likely score 1–1 (expected goals 1.8 for, 1.8 against · 1.37 expected points)

Season so farFort Lauderdale United FCAthletic Club Florida
Position9th11th
Record (W-D-L)2-0-50-1-5
Points per game0.860.17
Goals for / game1.01.2
Goals against / game2.93.0
Clean sheets00
Held scoreless22
Form (recent first)L W L L WL D L L L
Biggest win2–1 vs Doral Soccer Club—
Worst loss0–8 at Sporting SA JAX0–3 at Doral Soccer Club
Model rating (net goals vs avg)-1.20-1.00
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)+0.07+0.36

Common opponents: Sporting SA JAX — we 0–8, 1–2; they 1–3. Space Coast United — we 1–3; they 0–3. Doral Soccer Club — we 2–1; they 0–3. AC Florida West — we 2–1; they 1–2.

Game plan

  • Finishing wins the tight ones
    Held scoreless 2 time(s): 0–8 at Sporting SA JAX, 0–3 vs Florida Kraze Krush.

    Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.

  • Underdog — play free, stay organised
    Model gives 39%; a draw (22%) would be a good result.

    Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.

  • What a win does
    Doral Soccer Club sit 8th on 0.86 PPG; we are on 0.86.

    A point moves us above Doral Soccer Club on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.

If Sunday goes…

Where we'd sit after the Athletic Club Florida game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Fort Lauderdale United FC – Athletic Club Florida) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 4 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Draw · 0.88 PPG
8th▲ up 1 8th▲ up 1 10th▼ down 1
Win
1.13 PPG
7th▲ up 2 7th▲ up 2 8th▲ up 1
Draw
0.88 PPG
8th▲ up 1 8th▲ up 1 10th▼ down 1
Loss
0.75 PPG
9th— holds 9th— holds 10th▼ down 1

Can we move up this round? Yes. With a 1–1 draw we finish as high as 8th if every rival drops points, and as low as 10th if every rival wins.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

0% finish 1st
0% top 4
100% below the top 4
9.3 average finish
  1. 1st
  2. 2nd
  3. 3rd
  4. 4th
  5. 5th 1%
  6. 6th 3%
  7. 7th 6%
  8. 8th 13%
  9. 9th 30%
  10. 10th 31%
  11. 11th 17%

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 13 remaining known games (max 2.25 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 Sporting SA JAX 2.67 (+1.81) 2nd (2.42) 48 of 39 pts to pass their current pace, 43 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
2 Florida Premier FC 2.57 (+1.71) 1st (2.49) 46 of 39 pts to pass their current pace, 44 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
3 Florida Kraze Krush 2.17 (+1.31) 3rd (2.08) 38 of 39 pts to pass their current pace, 36 for their projection
4 Parkland Soccer Club 1.63 (+0.77) 4th (1.72) 27 of 39 pts to pass their current pace, 29 for their projection
5 Florida Premier FC South 1.33 (+0.47) 5th (1.40) 21 of 39 pts to pass their current pace, 23 for their projection
6 Space Coast United 1.22 (+0.36) 6th (1.21) 19 of 39 pts to pass their current pace, 19 for their projection
7 Palm Beach United 1.00 (+0.14) 8th (1.06) A point next game
8 Doral Soccer Club 0.86 (+0.00) 7th (1.07) Already ahead

How the results connect

27 chains · 9 teams

Paths of results that link Fort Lauderdale United FC to Athletic Club Florida through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

12 favour us
2 even
13 favour them
-0.9 goals per chain on average. The results point their way.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
1–2 3–1 1–3 3–0 2–1 2–1 2–1 3–0 0–8 1–2 2–4 1–5 1–1 3–3 2–2 1–4 0–3 0–1 3–1 Fort Lauderdale Uni… 9th Sporting SA JAX 1st Space Coast United 6th AC Florida West 10th Doral Soccer Club 8th Palm Beach United 7th Florida Kraze Krush 3rd Parkland Soccer Club 4th Athletic Club Flori… 11th

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

12 chains

Position over the season

17 game days

1st 6th 11th Aug 29 Sep 6 Sep 19 Sep 27 Oct 10 Oct 18 Oct 24

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty +0.07 · 3rd hardest of 11

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sun Oct 25
01:00 PM
Athletic Club Florida
11th · 0-1-5 · GD -11
Home
Miami Dolphins Training Facility @ NOVA Southeaste
●●●●○ Tough
39%
1–1 1.37 0.92 Upside
Sat Oct 31
01:00 PM
Florida Premier FC
2nd · 6-0-1 · GD +23
Home
Miami Dolphins Training Facility @ NOVA Southeaste
●●●●● Very tough
4%
0–4 0.18 0.84 Upside
Sun Nov 1
01:00 PM
Florida Premier FC South
5th · 2-2-2 · GD -2
Home
Miami Dolphins Training Facility @ NOVA Southeaste
●●●●● Very tough
24%
1–2 0.91 0.85 Upside
Sat Feb 27
03:00 PM
Space Coast United
6th · 3-2-4 · GD -2
Home
Miami Dolphins Training Facility @ NOVA Southeaste
●●●●○ Tough
25%
1–2 0.96 0.86 Upside
Sat Mar 13
03:00 PM
Parkland Soccer Club
4th · 3-4-1 · GD +4
Away far trip
Terramar Park
●●●●● Very tough
11%
0–2 0.49 0.83 Upside
Sun Mar 14
11:00 AM
AC Florida West
10th · 1-1-4 · GD -13
Home
Miami Dolphins Training Facility @ NOVA Southeaste
●●●○○ Toss-up
47%
1–1 1.63 0.89 Swing game
Sat Mar 20
02:00 PM
Florida Premier FC
2nd · 6-0-1 · GD +23
Away far trip
Starkey Ranch District Park
●●●●● Very tough
2%
0–4 0.11 0.83 Upside
Sun Mar 21
11:00 AM
Florida Premier FC South
5th · 2-2-2 · GD -2
Away far trip
Lakewood Ranch Park
●●●●● Very tough
17%
1–2 0.68 0.82 Upside
Sat Apr 3
TBD
Palm Beach United
7th · 2-1-4 · GD -9
Away
●●●●● Very tough
25%
1–2 0.92 0.83 Upside
Sun Apr 4
02:00 PM
Athletic Club Florida
11th · 0-1-5 · GD -11
Away
Nob Hill Soccer Park
●●●●○ Tough
30%
1–2 1.10 0.84 Upside
Sat Apr 17
11:00 AM
Doral Soccer Club
8th · 2-0-5 · GD -7
Away far trip
Divine Savior Academy
●●●●● Very tough
23%
1–2 0.87 0.85 Upside
Sun Apr 18
11:00 AM
Parkland Soccer Club
4th · 3-4-1 · GD +4
Home
Miami Dolphins Training Facility @ NOVA Southeaste
●●●●● Very tough
16%
1–2 0.67 0.84 Upside
Sun Apr 25
11:00 AM
Florida Kraze Krush
3rd · 4-1-1 · GD +10
Away far trip
Central Winds
●●●●● Very tough
6%
0–3 0.29 0.81 Upside

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 Sporting SA JAX 9801 288+20 242.67 WWWWL -0.15 -0.18 100% 1.8
2 Florida Premier FC 7601 296+23 182.57 LWWWW -0.19 -0.26 100% 1.5
3 Florida Kraze Krush 6411 155+10 132.17 LWWWW -0.16 -0.14 99% 2.9
4 Parkland Soccer Club 8341 1612+4 131.63 WWDLD +0.15 -0.20 81% 4.1
5 Florida Premier FC South 6222 1113-2 81.33 LDLWD +0.31 -0.15 14% 5.4
6 Space Coast United 9324 1820-2 111.22 LLWLW -0.17 +0.16 3% 6.4
7 Palm Beach United 7214 1322-9 71.00 WLLLW +0.10 -0.01 1% 7.5
8 Doral Soccer Club 7205 1118-7 60.86 LLLWL +0.19 -0.04 1% 7.4
9 Fort Lauderdale United FC 7205 720-13 60.86 WLLWL +0.07 +0.07 0% 9.3
10 AC Florida West 6114 619-13 40.67 LWDLL -0.07 +0.17 0% 10.2
11 Athletic Club Florida 6015 718-11 10.17 LLLDL +0.36 -0.02 0% 9.5

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.02 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.