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Parkland Soccer Club

ECNL Boys · Florida BU17 · 11 teams · Parkland Soccer Club (all teams)

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4th
3-4-1 record · 8 played
1.63 points per game
+4 goal diff · 16–12
WWDLDlast 5
83% chance of top 4 · expected finish 4.1
+0.12 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sat Oct 31, 01:00 PM

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Parkland Soccer Club
4th · 1.63 PPG
vs
Sporting SA JAX
1st · 2.67 PPG

Terramar Park, Field D ↗

windrawloss

●●●●● Very tough to win

Most likely score 1–2 (expected goals 1.3 for, 2.0 against · 0.95 expected points)

Season so farParkland Soccer ClubSporting SA JAX
Position4th1st
Record (W-D-L)3-4-18-0-1
Points per game1.632.67
Goals for / game2.03.1
Goals against / game1.50.9
Clean sheets14
Held scoreless10
Form (recent first)D L D W WL W W W W
Biggest win5–2 vs Palm Beach United8–0 vs Fort Lauderdale United FC
Worst loss0–2 at Florida Premier FC1–3 vs Parkland Soccer Club
Model rating (net goals vs avg)+0.42+1.48
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)+0.12-0.19

Already played this season: Sun Oct 4 3–1 at Sporting SA JAX (W)

Common opponents: Florida Kraze Krush — we 2–2; they 1–0. Palm Beach United — we 5–2; they 4–1, 4–0. Athletic Club Florida — we 3–3; they 3–1. Florida Premier FC — we 0–2; they 1–0. Florida Premier FC South — we 1–1; they 4–2.

Game plan

  • Respect their attack
    Sporting SA JAX score 3.1/game — well above the league's 2.0.

    Deny the easy goals first: compact shape between the lines, no fouls in shooting range, and a plan for their best outlet. Score first and make them chase.

  • Hard to break down
    Sporting SA JAX concede only 0.9/game with 4 clean sheet(s).

    Patience and width: move the ball quickly side to side to pull the block apart, and treat set pieces as your best chance — rehearse two corner routines and a near-post free-kick delivery.

  • Finishing wins the tight ones
    Held scoreless 1 time(s): 0–2 at Florida Premier FC.

    Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.

  • Underdog — play free, stay organised
    Model gives 24%; a draw (22%) would be a good result.

    Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.

If Saturday goes…

Where we'd sit after the Sporting SA JAX game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Parkland Soccer Club – Sporting SA JAX) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 6 other games that week (Mon Oct 26 – Sun Nov 1); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Loss · 1.44 PPG
4th— holds 5th▼ down 1 6th▼ down 2
Win
1.78 PPG
4th— holds 4th— holds 4th— holds
Draw
1.56 PPG
4th— holds 4th— holds 5th▼ down 1
Loss
1.44 PPG
4th— holds 5th▼ down 1 6th▼ down 2

Can we move up this round? No. With a 1–2 loss we stay 4th even if every rival loses, and as low as 6th if every rival wins.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

0% finish 1st
83% top 4
17% below the top 4
4.1 average finish
  1. 1st <1%
  2. 2nd 1%
  3. 3rd 11%
  4. 4th 71%
  5. 5th 14%
  6. 6th 2%
  7. 7th 1%
  8. 8th
  9. 9th
  10. 10th
  11. 11th

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 12 remaining known games (max 2.45 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 Sporting SA JAX 2.67 (+1.04) 2nd (2.42) 41 of 36 pts to pass their current pace, 36 for their projection
2 Florida Premier FC 2.57 (+0.94) 1st (2.50) 39 of 36 pts to pass their current pace, 38 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
3 Florida Kraze Krush 2.17 (+0.54) 3rd (2.08) 31 of 36 pts to pass their current pace, 29 for their projection

How the results connect

28 chains · 9 teams

Paths of results that link Parkland Soccer Club to Sporting SA JAX through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

4 favour us
1 even
23 favour them
-2.4 goals per chain on average. The results point their way.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
3–1 5–2 1–4 0–4 2–2 0–1 1–1 2–4 3–3 1–3 0–2 0–1 1–0 2–2 1–1 2–1 4–2 4–2 2–2 Parkland Soccer Club 4th Palm Beach United 10th Florida Kraze Krush 3rd Florida Premier FC … 5th Athletic Club Flori… 11th Florida Premier FC 2nd Space Coast United 6th AC Florida West 9th Sporting SA JAX 1st

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

12 chains

Position over the season

16 game days

1st 6th 11th Aug 29 Sep 6 Sep 19 Sep 27 Oct 10 Oct 18

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty -0.22 · 10th hardest of 11

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sat Oct 31
01:00 PM
Sporting SA JAX
1st · 8-0-1 · GD +20
Home
Terramar Park
●●●●● Very tough
24%
1–2 0.95 1.55 Upside
Sun Nov 1
02:00 PM
Space Coast United
6th · 2-2-4 · GD -6
Home
Terramar Park
●●○○○ Lean win
63%
2–1 2.08 1.60 Swing game
Sun Feb 21
03:00 PM
Florida Kraze Krush
3rd · 4-1-1 · GD +10
Home
Terramar Park
●●●●○ Tough
30%
1–1 1.14 1.56 Upside
Sat Feb 27
03:00 PM
Doral Soccer Club
8th · 2-0-5 · GD -7
Home
Terramar Park
●●○○○ Lean win
63%
2–1 2.08 1.60 Swing game
Sun Feb 28
01:00 PM
AC Florida West
9th · 1-1-3 · GD -9
Home
Terramar Park
●●○○○ Lean win
72%
2–1 2.31 1.66 Bank it
Sat Mar 13
03:00 PM
Fort Lauderdale United FC
7th · 2-0-4 · GD -12
Home
Terramar Park
●●○○○ Lean win
73%
2–1 2.35 1.71 Bank it
Sun Mar 14
07:00 PM
Doral Soccer Club
8th · 2-0-5 · GD -7
Away far trip
Divine Savior Academy
●●●○○ Toss-up
54%
2–1 1.82 1.71 Swing game
Sat Mar 20
11:00 AM
Athletic Club Florida
11th · 0-1-5 · GD -11
Away
Mullins Park · turf
●●○○○ Lean win
62%
2–1 2.04 1.73 Swing game
Sun Apr 4
TBD
Palm Beach United
10th · 1-1-4 · GD -10
Away
●●○○○ Lean win
62%
2–1 2.02 1.75 Swing game
Sat Apr 10
04:00 PM
Florida Premier FC
2nd · 6-0-1 · GD +23
Home
Terramar Park
●●●●● Very tough
19%
1–2 0.74 1.70 Upside
Sun Apr 11
11:00 AM
Florida Premier FC South
5th · 2-2-2 · GD -2
Home
Terramar Park
●●●○○ Toss-up
55%
2–1 1.85 1.70 Swing game
Sun Apr 18
11:00 AM
Fort Lauderdale United FC
7th · 2-0-4 · GD -12
Away far trip
Miami Dolphins Training Facility @ NOVA Southeaste
●●○○○ Lean win
65%
2–1 2.13 1.72 Swing game

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 Sporting SA JAX 9801 288+20 242.67 WWWWL -0.19 -0.17 100% 1.8
2 Florida Premier FC 7601 296+23 182.57 LWWWW -0.20 -0.29 100% 1.4
3 Florida Kraze Krush 6411 155+10 132.17 LWWWW -0.23 -0.14 99% 2.9
4 Parkland Soccer Club 8341 1612+4 131.63 WWDLD +0.12 -0.22 83% 4.1
5 Florida Premier FC South 6222 1113-2 81.33 LDLWD +0.31 -0.17 16% 5.3
6 Space Coast United 8224 1319-6 81.00 DLLWL -0.03 +0.09 1% 7.5
7 Fort Lauderdale United FC 6204 618-12 61.00 LWLLW +0.27 -0.02 0% 8.7
8 Doral Soccer Club 7205 1118-7 60.86 LLLWL +0.17 -0.05 1% 7.2
9 AC Florida West 5113 514-9 40.80 LLWDL -0.02 +0.07 0% 9.2
10 Palm Beach United 6114 1121-10 40.67 LWLLL +0.25 -0.03 0% 8.4
11 Athletic Club Florida 6015 718-11 10.17 LLLDL +0.36 -0.05 0% 9.5

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.02 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.