FC1 Academy
Elite Academy League National · Mid-America U13 · 13 teams · FC1 Academy (all teams)
Next game — Wed Dec 30, 12:00 AM
TBD, TBD ↗
●●●●○ Tough to win
Most likely score 1–2 (expected goals 1.7 for, 2.3 against · 1.04 expected points)
| Season so far | FC1 Academy | JaHBat |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 11th | 3rd |
| Record (W-D-L) | 0-0-0 | 1-0-0 |
| Points per game | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| Goals for / game | 0.0 | 4.0 |
| Goals against / game | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 1 |
| Held scoreless | 0 | 0 |
| Form (recent first) | — | W |
| Biggest win | — | 4–0 vs Forward Madison |
| Worst loss | — | — |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | +0.00 | +0.87 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | +0.00 | -0.87 |
Game plan
-
Respect their attack
JaHBat score 4.0/game — well above the league's 2.0.Deny the easy goals first: compact shape between the lines, no fouls in shooting range, and a plan for their best outlet. Score first and make them chase.
-
Underdog — play free, stay organised
Model gives 28%; a draw (20%) would be a good result.Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.
-
What a win does
Chicago Rush sit 10th on 0.00 PPG; we are on 0.00.A point moves us above Chicago Rush on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.
If Wednesday goes…
Where we'd sit after the JaHBat game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (FC1 Academy – JaHBat) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 1 other games that week (Mon Dec 28 – Sun Jan 3); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.
| Our result | Rivals don't play | Likely results | Every rival wins |
|---|---|---|---|
| – Loss · 0.00 PPG |
11th— holds | 11th— holds | 12th▼ down 1 |
| Win 3.00 PPG |
4th▲ up 7 | 4th▲ up 7 | 4th▲ up 7 |
| Draw 1.00 PPG |
7th▲ up 4 | 7th▲ up 4 | 8th▲ up 3 |
| Loss 0.00 PPG |
11th— holds | 11th— holds | 12th▼ down 1 |
Can we move up this round? No. With a 1–2 loss we stay 11th even if every rival loses, and as low as 12th if every rival wins.
Where we finish
2,000 simulated seasons
- 1st
- 2nd <1%
- 3rd 4%
- 4th 13%
- 5th 11%
- 6th
- 7th
- 8th 2%
- 9th 10%
- 10th 7%
- 11th 2%
- 12th 14%
- 13th 37%
Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.
Climbing the table
What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 1 remaining known games (max 3.00 PPG if we win out).
| # | Team | PPG | Proj. | To pass them |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chicago Empire FC | 3.00 (+3.00) | 1st (3.00) | Win next game |
| 2 | FC Stars | 3.00 (+3.00) | 2nd (3.00) | Win next game |
| 3 | JaHBat | 3.00 (+3.00) | 4th (2.43) | Win next game |
| 4 | Orland Park Sting FC | 3.00 (+3.00) | 3rd (3.00) | Win next game |
| 5 | USA of Indiana | 1.67 (+1.67) | 6th (1.71) | A point next game |
| 6 | Chicago KICS Youth Soccer Club | 1.50 (+1.50) | 7th (1.50) | A point next game |
| 7 | Croatian Eagles SC | 1.00 (+1.00) | 8th (1.32) | A point next game |
| 8 | Hoosier FC | 0.75 (+0.75) | 10th (0.86) | Already ahead |
| 9 | Indy Premier SC | 0.33 (+0.33) | 13th (0.72) | Already ahead |
| 10 | Chicago Rush | 0.00 (+0.00) | 5th (2.16) | Already ahead |
Position over the season
8 game days
Not enough game days yet to draw a line.
The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.
The path
run-in difficulty +0.87 · 1st hardest of 9
| Date | Opponent | Where | Difficulty | Win | Likely | Exp. pts | Run. PPG | Priority |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wed Dec 30 12:00 AM |
JaHBat 3rd · 1-0-0 · GD +4 |
Home TBD |
●●●●○ Tough | 28% |
1–2 | 1.04 | 1.04 | Upside |
"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.
Standings
| # | Team | GP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | Form | SoS | Run-in | Top 4 | Exp. finish | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chicago Empire FC | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 1 | +11 | 6 | 3.00 | WW | -0.76 | — | 100% | 1.1 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2 | FC Stars | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | +5 | 3 | 3.00 | W | -1.12 | — | 100% | 2.5 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 3 | JaHBat | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | +4 | 3 | 3.00 | W | -0.87 | -0.56 | 50% | 4.1 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Tue Dec 29 vs North Shore United Soccer Club · Wed Dec 30 at FC1 Academy See all 2 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 4 | Orland Park Sting FC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | +2 | 3 | 3.00 | W | -0.60 | — | 86% | 3.8 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 5 | USA of Indiana | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | +1 | 5 | 1.67 | DWD | -0.85 | -0.79 | 1% | 6.5 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Apr 11 at Indy Premier SC · Sun Apr 25 vs Hoosier FC See all 2 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 6 | Chicago KICS Youth Soccer Club | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | +1 | 3 | 1.50 | LW | -0.62 | — | 0% | 7.1 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 7 | Croatian Eagles SC | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 3 | 1.00 | LWL | +0.90 | -1.04 | 0% | 8.4 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Nov 7 at North Shore United Soccer Club · Sun Apr 25 vs Forward Madison · Sat May 15 at North Shore United Soccer Club See all 3 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 8 | Hoosier FC | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 11 | -7 | 3 | 0.75 | DDDL | +0.37 | -0.30 | 0% | 10.4 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Mar 6 vs Indy Premier SC · Sun Apr 25 at USA of Indiana See all 2 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 9 | Indy Premier SC | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 1 | 0.33 | DLL | -0.26 | -0.46 | 0% | 10.7 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Mar 6 at Hoosier FC · Sun Apr 11 vs USA of Indiana See all 2 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 10 | Chicago Rush | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 | 0.00 | — | -1.12 | — | — | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|
No games played yet. Next: Sat Nov 14 vs North Shore United Soccer Club See all 1 future matchup ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 11 | FC1 Academy | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 | 0.00 | — | +0.87 | — | — | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|
No games played yet. Next: Wed Dec 30 vs JaHBat See all 1 future matchup ▸ |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 12 | Forward Madison | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | -4 | 0 | 0.00 | L | +0.87 | -0.86 | 0% | 10.3 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Apr 10 at North Shore United Soccer Club · Sun Apr 25 at Croatian Eagles SC See all 2 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 13 | North Shore United Soccer Club | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | -5 | 0 | 0.00 | L | +1.12 | -0.24 | 0% | 10.3 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Nov 7 vs Croatian Eagles SC · Sat Nov 14 at Chicago Rush · Tue Dec 29 at JaHBat See all 5 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.
How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (1.99 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.