CF10 Houston FC
Elite Academy League · Texas U17 · 9 teams · CF10 Houston FC (all teams)
Next game — Sat Nov 7, 03:15 PM
Sporti in San Antonio, Field 2 ↗
●●●○○ Toss-up to win
Most likely score 3–3 (expected goals 3.8 for, 3.6 against · 1.48 expected points)
| Season so far | CF10 Houston FC | Steel United TX |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 4th | 5th |
| Record (W-D-L) | 2-1-1 | 3-2-2 |
| Points per game | 1.75 | 1.57 |
| Goals for / game | 3.8 | 3.4 |
| Goals against / game | 3.3 | 3.7 |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 1 |
| Held scoreless | 0 | 1 |
| Form (recent first) | D L W W | W L L D D |
| Biggest win | 4–1 at ALBION SC Dallas | 11–1 vs ALBION SC Dallas (1) |
| Worst loss | 3–5 at BVBIA DFW | 0–11 at Atletico Dallas |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | +0.11 | -0.46 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | -0.79 | -0.52 |
Common opponents: ALBION SC Dallas — we 4–1; they 2–2. ALBION SC Dallas (1) — we 3–2; they 3–0, 11–1. BVBIA DFW — we 3–5; they 2–8. PSG Academy DFW — we 5–5; they 3–1, 3–3.
Game plan
-
Swing game — small margins
Win 44% / draw 15% / loss 41%.Games like this are decided by one set piece or one transition. Prioritise the strongest XI for the full game, be disciplined with fouls near the box, and have a clear late-game plan for both "protect the lead" and "chase".
-
Away game
Kickoff 03:15 PM at Sporti in San Antonio.Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.
If Saturday goes…
Where we'd sit after the Steel United TX game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (CF10 Houston FC – Steel United TX) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 4 other games that week (Mon Nov 2 – Sun Nov 8); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.
| Our result | Rivals don't play | Likely results | Every rival wins |
|---|---|---|---|
| – Draw · 1.60 PPG |
4th— holds | 4th— holds | 5th▼ down 1 |
| Win 2.00 PPG |
4th— holds | 4th— holds | 4th— holds |
| Draw 1.60 PPG |
4th— holds | 4th— holds | 5th▼ down 1 |
| Loss 1.40 PPG |
5th▼ down 1 | 5th▼ down 1 | 6th▼ down 2 |
Can we move up this round? Yes. With a 3–3 draw we finish as high as 3rd if every rival drops points, and as low as 5th if every rival wins.
Where we finish
2,000 simulated seasons
- 1st
- 2nd <1%
- 3rd 6%
- 4th 35%
- 5th 37%
- 6th 17%
- 7th 4%
- 8th 1%
- 9th
Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.
Climbing the table
What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 11 remaining known games (max 2.67 PPG if we win out).
| # | Team | PPG | Proj. | To pass them |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atletico Dallas | 3.00 (+1.25) | 1st (2.76) | 38 of 33 pts to pass their current pace, 35 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule |
| 2 | BVBIA DFW | 2.50 (+0.75) | 2nd (2.41) | 31 of 33 pts to pass their current pace, 30 for their projection |
| 3 | BTX SC | 2.25 (+0.50) | 3rd (1.99) | 27 of 33 pts to pass their current pace, 23 for their projection |
How the results connect
23 chains · 7 teams
Paths of results that link CF10 Houston FC to Steel United TX through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.
Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.
Step through the chains with the arrows, or tap one on the map.
Position over the season
10 game days
The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.
The path
run-in difficulty +0.55 · 5th hardest of 9
| Date | Opponent | Where | Difficulty | Win | Likely | Exp. pts | Run. PPG | Priority |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat Nov 7 03:15 PM |
Steel United TX 5th · 3-2-2 · GD -2 |
Away Sporti in San Antonio |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 44% |
3–3 | 1.48 | 1.70 | Swing game |
| Sun Nov 8 12:30 PM |
Atletico Dallas 1st · 3-0-0 · GD +26 |
Away Sporti in San Antonio |
●●●●● Very tough | 3% |
1–6 | 0.14 | 1.44 | Upside |
| Sat Mar 20 12:00 AM |
BTX SC 3rd · 3-0-1 · GD +10 |
Away TBD |
●●●●● Very tough | 19% |
2–3 | 0.69 | 1.33 | Upside |
| Sat Mar 20 12:00 AM |
BTX SC 3rd · 3-0-1 · GD +10 |
Home TBD |
●●●●○ Tough | 28% |
2–3 | 1.00 | 1.29 | Upside |
| Sat Apr 3 12:00 AM |
ALBION SC Dallas (1) 9th · 0-0-8 · GD -40 |
Home TBD |
●○○○○ Favorable | 93% |
5–1 | 2.83 | 1.46 | Bank it |
| Sun Apr 4 12:00 AM |
ALBION SC Dallas 6th · 2-1-3 · GD -8 |
Home TBD |
●●○○○ Lean win | 68% |
3–2 | 2.17 | 1.53 | Swing game |
| Sat Apr 10 12:00 AM |
Steel United TX 5th · 3-2-2 · GD -2 |
Home TBD |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 58% |
4–3 | 1.88 | 1.56 | Swing game |
| Sun Apr 11 12:00 AM |
Atletico Dallas 1st · 3-0-0 · GD +26 |
Home TBD |
●●●●● Very tough | 6% |
1–5 | 0.26 | 1.45 | Upside |
| Sat May 1 12:00 AM |
BVBIA DFW 2nd · 5-0-1 · GD +23 |
Home TBD |
●●●●● Very tough | 16% |
2–4 | 0.59 | 1.39 | Upside |
| Sun May 2 12:00 AM |
PSG Academy DFW 7th · 1-2-3 · GD -11 |
Home TBD |
●●○○○ Lean win | 70% |
4–2 | 2.22 | 1.45 | Bank it |
| Tue May 25 08:00 AM |
ALBION SC Dallas (2) 8th · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Away TBD |
●●●●○ Tough | 37% |
3–3 | 1.28 | 1.44 | Upside |
"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.
Standings
| # | Team | GP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | Form | SoS | Run-in | Top 4 | Exp. finish | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| 1 | Atletico Dallas | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 26 | 0 | +26 | 9 | 3.00 | WWW | -0.62 | -0.28 | 100% | 1.1 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Nov 7 vs BTX SC · Sun Nov 8 vs CF10 Houston FC · Sat Nov 14 vs PSG Academy DFW See all 13 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 2 | BVBIA DFW | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 31 | 8 | +23 | 15 | 2.50 | LWWWW | +0.43 | -0.49 | 100% | 2.0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Nov 7 vs ALBION SC Dallas (1) · Sun Nov 15 vs PSG Academy DFW · Sun Nov 22 vs Steel United TX See all 10 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 3 | BTX SC | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 5 | +10 | 9 | 2.25 | WWWL | -0.78 | +0.33 | 97% | 3.1 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Nov 7 at Atletico Dallas · Sun Nov 8 at Steel United TX · Sat Mar 6 vs ALBION SC Dallas (2) See all 11 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 4 | CF10 Houston FC | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 13 | +2 | 7 | 1.75 | WWLD | -0.79 | +0.55 | 42% | 4.8 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Nov 7 at Steel United TX · Sun Nov 8 at Atletico Dallas · Sat Mar 20 at BTX SC See all 11 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 5 | Steel United TX | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 24 | 26 | -2 | 11 | 1.57 | DDLLW | -0.52 | +0.91 | 14% | 5.7 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Nov 7 vs CF10 Houston FC · Sun Nov 8 vs BTX SC · Sat Nov 14 vs ALBION SC Dallas See all 9 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 6 | ALBION SC Dallas | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 18 | -8 | 7 | 1.17 | DLLLW | -0.64 | +0.88 | 1% | 7.2 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Nov 7 at PSG Academy DFW · Sat Nov 14 at Steel United TX · Sun Nov 15 vs Atletico Dallas See all 10 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 7 | PSG Academy DFW | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 27 | -11 | 5 | 0.83 | LWDLD | -0.09 | +0.60 | 0% | 7.3 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Nov 7 vs ALBION SC Dallas · Sat Nov 14 at Atletico Dallas · Sun Nov 15 at BVBIA DFW See all 10 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 8 | ALBION SC Dallas (2) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 | 0.00 | — | +0.09 | — | — | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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No games played yet. Next: Sat Mar 6 at BTX SC · Sun Apr 11 at PSG Academy DFW · Sun Apr 25 at BVBIA DFW See all 14 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 9 | ALBION SC Dallas (1) | 8 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 7 | 47 | -40 | 0 | 0.00 | LLLLL | +0.15 | +1.13 | 0% | 9.0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Nov 7 at BVBIA DFW · Sat Apr 3 at CF10 Houston FC · Sun Apr 4 at BTX SC See all 8 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.
How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (3.31 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.