TableChase Clubs

ALBION SC Dallas (2)

Elite Academy League · Texas U17 · 9 teams · ALBION SC Dallas (all teams)

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8th
0-0-0 record · 0 played
0.00 points per game
+0 goal diff · 0–0
last 0
46% chance of top 4 · expected finish 4.8
+0.00 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sat Mar 6, 12:00 AM

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ALBION SC Dallas (2)
8th · 0.00 PPG
at
BTX SC
3rd · 2.25 PPG

Venue TBD

windrawloss

●●●●● Very tough to win

Most likely score 2–3 (expected goals 2.1 for, 3.8 against · 0.67 expected points)

Season so farALBION SC Dallas (2)BTX SC
Position8th3rd
Record (W-D-L)0-0-03-0-1
Points per game0.002.25
Goals for / game0.03.8
Goals against / game0.01.3
Clean sheets01
Held scoreless00
Form (recent first)—L W W W
Biggest win—7–0 at PSG Academy DFW
Worst loss—2–3 at BVBIA DFW
Model rating (net goals vs avg)+0.00+1.31
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)+0.00-0.78

Game plan

  • Hard to break down
    BTX SC concede only 1.2/game with 1 clean sheet(s).

    Patience and width: move the ball quickly side to side to pull the block apart, and treat set pieces as your best chance — rehearse two corner routines and a near-post free-kick delivery.

  • Underdog — play free, stay organised
    Model gives 18%; a draw (13%) would be a good result.

    Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.

  • Away game
    Kickoff 12:00 AM at .

    Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.

  • What a win does
    PSG Academy DFW sit 7th on 0.83 PPG; we are on 0.00.

    A point moves us above PSG Academy DFW on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.

If Saturday goes…

Where we'd sit after the BTX SC game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (ALBION SC Dallas (2) – BTX SC) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 0 other games that week (Mon Mar 1 – Sun Mar 7); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Loss · 0.00 PPG
8th— holds 8th— holds 8th— holds
Win
3.00 PPG
2nd▲ up 6 2nd▲ up 6 2nd▲ up 6
Draw
1.00 PPG
7th▲ up 1 7th▲ up 1 7th▲ up 1
Loss
0.00 PPG
8th— holds 8th— holds 8th— holds

Can we move up this round? No. With a 2–3 loss we stay 8th even if every rival loses, whatever the rivals do.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

0% finish 1st
46% top 4
54% below the top 4
4.8 average finish
  1. 1st
  2. 2nd 1%
  3. 3rd 6%
  4. 4th 39%
  5. 5th 29%
  6. 6th 16%
  7. 7th 7%
  8. 8th 2%
  9. 9th

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 14 remaining known games (max 3.00 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 Atletico Dallas 3.00 (+3.00) 1st (2.76) Win next game
2 BVBIA DFW 2.50 (+2.50) 2nd (2.41) A point next game
3 BTX SC 2.25 (+2.25) 3rd (1.99) A point next game
4 CF10 Houston FC 1.75 (+1.75) 5th (1.44) A point next game
5 Steel United TX 1.57 (+1.57) 6th (1.22) A point next game
6 ALBION SC Dallas 1.17 (+1.17) 7th (0.87) A point next game
7 PSG Academy DFW 0.83 (+0.83) 8th (0.85) Already ahead

Position over the season

10 game days

Not enough game days yet to draw a line.

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty +0.09 · 7th hardest of 9

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sat Mar 6
12:00 AM
BTX SC
3rd · 3-0-1 · GD +10
Away
●●●●● Very tough
18%
2–3 0.67 0.67 Upside
Sun Apr 11
12:00 AM
PSG Academy DFW
7th · 1-2-3 · GD -11
Away
TBD
●●●○○ Toss-up
55%
3–3 1.81 1.24 Swing game
Sun Apr 25
11:00 AM
BVBIA DFW
2nd · 5-0-1 · GD +23
Away
Beacon Soccer Park
●●●●● Very tough
9%
1–4 0.35 0.94 Upside
Tue May 25
07:30 AM
Atletico Dallas
1st · 3-0-0 · GD +26
Home
TBD
●●●●● Very tough
6%
1–5 0.25 0.77 Upside
Tue May 25
08:00 AM
ALBION SC Dallas
6th · 2-1-3 · GD -8
Away
TBD
●●●○○ Toss-up
54%
3–2 1.80 0.98 Swing game
Tue May 25
08:00 AM
CF10 Houston FC
4th · 2-1-1 · GD +2
Home
TBD
●●●○○ Toss-up
47%
3–3 1.57 1.08 Swing game
Tue May 25
08:00 AM
Atletico Dallas
1st · 3-0-0 · GD +26
Away
TBD
●●●●● Very tough
3%
1–6 0.14 0.94 Upside
Tue May 25
08:00 AM
ALBION SC Dallas (1)
9th · 0-0-8 · GD -40
Home
TBD
●○○○○ Favorable
92%
5–1 2.80 1.17 Bank it
Tue May 25
10:00 AM
ALBION SC Dallas (1)
9th · 0-0-8 · GD -40
Away
TBD
●○○○○ Favorable
86%
4–1 2.66 1.34 Bank it
Tue May 25
10:00 AM
ALBION SC Dallas
6th · 2-1-3 · GD -8
Home
TBD
●●○○○ Lean win
66%
3–2 2.12 1.42 Swing game
Tue May 25
10:00 AM
PSG Academy DFW
7th · 1-2-3 · GD -11
Home
TBD
●●○○○ Lean win
68%
4–2 2.17 1.49 Swing game
Tue May 25
10:00 AM
BVBIA DFW
2nd · 5-0-1 · GD +23
Home
TBD
●●●●● Very tough
15%
2–4 0.57 1.41 Upside
Tue May 25
10:00 AM
Steel United TX
5th · 3-2-2 · GD -2
Away
TBD
●●●○○ Toss-up
42%
3–3 1.43 1.41 Swing game
Tue May 25
12:00 PM
Steel United TX
5th · 3-2-2 · GD -2
Home
TBD
●●●○○ Toss-up
56%
4–3 1.82 1.44 Swing game

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 Atletico Dallas 3300 260+26 93.00 WWW -0.62 -0.28 100% 1.1
2 BVBIA DFW 6501 318+23 152.50 LWWWW +0.43 -0.49 100% 2.0
3 BTX SC 4301 155+10 92.25 WWWL -0.78 +0.33 97% 3.1
4 CF10 Houston FC 4211 1513+2 71.75 WWLD -0.79 +0.55 42% 4.8
5 Steel United TX 7322 2426-2 111.57 DDLLW -0.52 +0.91 14% 5.7
6 ALBION SC Dallas 6213 1018-8 71.17 DLLLW -0.64 +0.88 1% 7.2
7 PSG Academy DFW 6123 1627-11 50.83 LWDLD -0.09 +0.60 0% 7.3
8 ALBION SC Dallas (2) 0000 00+0 00.00 — +0.09 ——
9 ALBION SC Dallas (1) 8008 747-40 00.00 LLLLL +0.15 +1.13 0% 9.0

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (3.31 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.