ALBION SC Dallas (2)

Elite Academy League · Texas U12 · 5 teams · ALBION SC Dallas (all teams)

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3rd

2-0-1 record · 3 played

2.00 points per game

+5 goal diff · 13–8

WLWlast 3

100% chance of top 4 · expected finish 2.9

-0.85 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Fri Oct 23, 07:30 PM

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ALBION SC Dallas (2)
3rd · 2.00 PPG

ALBION SC Dallas (1)
2nd · 3.00 PPG

Beacon Park, Field #7A ↗

17% 12% 72%

windrawloss

●●●●● Very tough to win

Most likely score 2–4 (expected goals 2.6 for, 4.7 against · 0.62 expected points)

Season so far	ALBION SC Dallas (2)	ALBION SC Dallas (1)
Position	3rd	2nd
Record (W-D-L)	2-0-1	2-0-0
Points per game	2.00	3.00
Goals for / game	4.3	7.5
Goals against / game	2.7	0.5
Clean sheets	1	1
Held scoreless	1	0
Form (recent first)	W L W	W W
Biggest win	8–0 at Steel United TX (STL)	9–1 vs Steel United TX (STL)
Worst loss	0–6 vs BVBIA DFW	—
Model rating (net goals vs avg)	+0.63	+2.24
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)	-0.85	-2.50

Common opponents: ALBION SC Dallas — we 5–2; they 6–0. Steel United TX (STL) — we 8–0; they 9–1.

Game plan

Respect their attack
ALBION SC Dallas (1) score 7.5/game — well above the league's 3.4.
Deny the easy goals first: compact shape between the lines, no fouls in shooting range, and a plan for their best outlet. Score first and make them chase.
Hard to break down
ALBION SC Dallas (1) concede only 0.5/game with 1 clean sheet(s).
Patience and width: move the ball quickly side to side to pull the block apart, and treat set pieces as your best chance — rehearse two corner routines and a near-post free-kick delivery.
Finishing wins the tight ones
Held scoreless 1 time(s): 0–6 vs BVBIA DFW.
Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.
Underdog — play free, stay organised
Model gives 17%; a draw (12%) would be a good result.
Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.
Away game
Kickoff 07:30 PM at Beacon Park.
Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.

If Friday goes…

Where we'd sit after the ALBION SC Dallas (1) game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (ALBION SC Dallas (2) – ALBION SC Dallas (1)) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 2 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our result	Rivals don't play	Likely results	Every rival wins
– Loss · 1.50 PPG	3rd— holds	3rd— holds	3rd— holds
Win 2.25 PPG	2nd▲ up 1	3rd— holds	3rd— holds
Draw 1.75 PPG	3rd— holds	3rd— holds	3rd— holds
Loss 1.50 PPG	3rd— holds	3rd— holds	3rd— holds

Can we move up this round? No. With a 2–4 loss we stay 3rd even if every rival loses, whatever the rivals do.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

1% finish 1st

100% top 4

0% below the top 4

2.9 average finish

1st 1%
2nd 9%
3rd 90%
4th <1%
5th

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 5 remaining known games (max 2.63 PPG if we win out).

#	Team	PPG	Proj.	To pass them
1	BVBIA DFW	3.00 (+1.00)	1st (2.52)	18 of 15 pts to pass their current pace, 15 for their projection
2	ALBION SC Dallas (1)	3.00 (+1.00)	2nd (2.31)	18 of 15 pts to pass their current pace, 13 for their projection

How the results connect

4 chains · 5 teams

Paths of results that link ALBION SC Dallas (2) to ALBION SC Dallas (1) through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

0 favour us

1 even

3 favour them

-4.8 goals per chain on average. The results point their way.

won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

4 chains

Position over the season

5 game days

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty +0.37 · 1st hardest of 5

Date	Opponent	Where	Difficulty	Win	Likely	Exp. pts	Run. PPG	Priority
Fri Oct 23 07:30 PM	ALBION SC Dallas (1) 2nd · 2-0-0 · GD +14	Away Beacon Park	●●●●● Very tough	17%	2–4	0.62	1.65	Upside
Fri Oct 30 07:30 PM	ALBION SC Dallas 4th · 0-0-3 · GD -17	Away Beacon Park	●○○○○ Favorable	78%	4–2	2.43	1.81	Bank it
Fri Nov 13 07:30 PM	ALBION SC Dallas (1) 2nd · 2-0-0 · GD +14	Home Beacon Park	●●●●○ Tough	26%	2–4	0.93	1.66	Upside
Sun Nov 15 01:00 PM	Steel United TX (STL) 5th · 0-0-3 · GD -18	Home Beacon Park	●○○○○ Favorable	88%	5–1	2.71	1.81	Bank it
Sun Apr 25 08:00 AM	BVBIA DFW 1st · 3-0-0 · GD +16	Away Beacon Soccer Park	●●●●● Very tough	14%	2–4	0.55	1.65	Upside

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

Team

Pts

PPG

Form

SoS

Run-in

Top 4

Exp. finish

BVBIA DFW

+16

3.00

WWW

-1.51

+0.02

100%

1.4

W	Sat Oct 3	vs	ALBION SC Dallas (4th)	9–1
W	Sat Oct 3	at	Steel United TX (STL) (5th)	3–1
W	Fri Sep 18	at	ALBION SC Dallas (2) (3rd)	6–0

Next: Sat Nov 7 vs ALBION SC Dallas (1) · Sun Nov 22 vs Steel United TX (STL) · Sat Apr 10 at ALBION SC Dallas (1) See all 5 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Nov 7	vs	ALBION SC Dallas (1) (2nd)	3–2	53%
·	Sun Nov 22	vs	Steel United TX (STL) (5th)	6–1	96%
·	Sat Apr 10	at	ALBION SC Dallas (1) (2nd)	3–3	40%
·	Sat Apr 24	at	ALBION SC Dallas (4th)	5–1	92%
·	Sun Apr 25	vs	ALBION SC Dallas (2) (3rd)	4–2	74%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

ALBION SC Dallas (1)

+14

3.00

-2.50

+0.16

100%

1.7

W	Sun Aug 30	at	ALBION SC Dallas (4th)	6–0
W	Sat Aug 29	vs	Steel United TX (STL) (5th)	9–1

Next: Fri Oct 16 vs ALBION SC Dallas · Fri Oct 23 vs ALBION SC Dallas (2) · Sat Oct 24 at Steel United TX (STL) See all 6 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Fri Oct 16 (no score yet)	vs	ALBION SC Dallas (4th)	7–1	95%
·	Fri Oct 23	vs	ALBION SC Dallas (2) (3rd)	4–2	72%
·	Sat Oct 24	at	Steel United TX (STL) (5th)	6–1	93%
·	Sat Nov 7	at	BVBIA DFW (1st)	2–3	32%
·	Fri Nov 13	at	ALBION SC Dallas (2) (3rd)	4–2	60%
·	Sat Apr 10	vs	BVBIA DFW (1st)	3–3	44%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

ALBION SC Dallas (2)

2.00

WLW

-0.85

+0.37

100%

2.9

W	Sat Sep 26	at	Steel United TX (STL) (5th)	8–0
L	Fri Sep 18	vs	BVBIA DFW (1st)	0–6
W	Sat Aug 29	vs	ALBION SC Dallas (4th)	5–2

Next: Fri Oct 23 at ALBION SC Dallas (1) · Fri Oct 30 at ALBION SC Dallas · Fri Nov 13 vs ALBION SC Dallas (1) See all 5 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Fri Oct 23	at	ALBION SC Dallas (1) (2nd)	2–4	17%
·	Fri Oct 30	at	ALBION SC Dallas (4th)	4–2	78%
·	Fri Nov 13	vs	ALBION SC Dallas (1) (2nd)	2–4	26%
·	Sun Nov 15	vs	Steel United TX (STL) (5th)	5–1	88%
·	Sun Apr 25	at	BVBIA DFW (1st)	2–4	14%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

ALBION SC Dallas

-17

0.00

LLL

+1.78

+0.00

61%

4.4

L	Sat Oct 3	at	BVBIA DFW (1st)	1–9
L	Sun Aug 30	vs	ALBION SC Dallas (1) (2nd)	0–6
L	Sat Aug 29	at	ALBION SC Dallas (2) (3rd)	2–5

Next: Fri Oct 16 at ALBION SC Dallas (1) · Fri Oct 23 vs Steel United TX (STL) · Fri Oct 30 vs ALBION SC Dallas (2) See all 5 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Fri Oct 16 (no score yet)	at	ALBION SC Dallas (1) (2nd)	1–7	2%
·	Fri Oct 23	vs	Steel United TX (STL) (5th)	3–2	53%
·	Fri Oct 30	vs	ALBION SC Dallas (2) (3rd)	2–4	12%
·	Sat Nov 14	at	Steel United TX (STL) (5th)	3–3	40%
·	Sat Apr 24	vs	BVBIA DFW (1st)	1–5	3%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Steel United TX (STL)

-18

0.00

LLL

+1.72

+0.09

39%

4.6

L	Sat Oct 3	vs	BVBIA DFW (1st)	1–3
L	Sat Sep 26	vs	ALBION SC Dallas (2) (3rd)	0–8
L	Sat Aug 29	at	ALBION SC Dallas (1) (2nd)	1–9

Next: Fri Oct 23 at ALBION SC Dallas · Sat Oct 24 vs ALBION SC Dallas (1) · Sat Nov 14 vs ALBION SC Dallas See all 5 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Fri Oct 23	at	ALBION SC Dallas (4th)	2–3	31%
·	Sat Oct 24	vs	ALBION SC Dallas (1) (2nd)	1–6	3%
·	Sat Nov 14	vs	ALBION SC Dallas (4th)	3–3	44%
·	Sun Nov 15	at	ALBION SC Dallas (2) (3rd)	1–5	6%
·	Sun Nov 22	at	BVBIA DFW (1st)	1–6	1%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (3.44 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.