TableChase Clubs

Inter Utah SC

Elite Academy League · Southwest Desert U15 · 19 teams · Inter Utah SC (all teams)

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2nd
4-0-1 record · 5 played
2.40 points per game
+7 goal diff · 13–6
LWWWWlast 5
84% chance of top 4 · expected finish 2.8
-0.12 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sat Oct 24, 09:30 AM

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Inter Utah SC
2nd · 2.40 PPG
vs
AZ SandSharks
6th · 0.67 PPG

Lone Peak High School, Soccer Field ↗

windrawloss

●●○○○ Lean win to win

Most likely score 2–1 (expected goals 2.4 for, 1.3 against · 2.03 expected points)

Season so farInter Utah SCAZ SandSharks
Position2nd6th
Record (W-D-L)4-0-11-1-4
Points per game2.400.67
Goals for / game2.62.0
Goals against / game1.21.8
Clean sheets12
Held scoreless13
Form (recent first)W W W W LL D L L L
Biggest win3–0 vs Utah Athletic9–0 at BVBIA Arizona
Worst loss0–1 vs ALBION SC Utah0–3 vs El Paso Surf
Model rating (net goals vs avg)+0.84-0.06
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)-0.12-0.44

Common opponents: ALBION SC Utah — we 0–1, 3–2; they 2–3. Utah Athletic — we 3–0; they 0–0. BVBIA Arizona — we 4–1; they 9–0, 0–3. El Paso Surf — we 3–2; they 0–3, 1–2.

Game plan

  • Finishing wins the tight ones
    Held scoreless 1 time(s): 0–1 vs ALBION SC Utah.

    Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.

  • Swing game — small margins
    Win 61% / draw 19% / loss 20%.

    Games like this are decided by one set piece or one transition. Prioritise the strongest XI for the full game, be disciplined with fouls near the box, and have a clear late-game plan for both "protect the lead" and "chase".

  • Early kickoff
    Game time 09:30 AM.

    Light breakfast 2+ hours before, longer warm-up, and a loud start — early games are won by whoever is awake at the whistle.

If Saturday goes…

Where we'd sit after the AZ SandSharks game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Inter Utah SC – AZ SandSharks) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 4 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Win · 2.50 PPG
2nd— holds 2nd— holds 2nd— holds
Win
2.50 PPG
2nd— holds 2nd— holds 2nd— holds
Draw
2.17 PPG
2nd— holds 2nd— holds 2nd— holds
Loss
2.00 PPG
3rd▼ down 1 3rd▼ down 1 3rd▼ down 1

Can we move up this round? Yes. With a 2–1 win we finish as high as 1st if every rival drops points, and as low as 2nd if every rival wins.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

28% finish 1st
84% top 4
16% below the top 4
2.8 average finish
  1. 1st 28%
  2. 2nd 27%
  3. 3rd 19%
  4. 4th 11%
  5. 5th 7%
  6. 6th 4%
  7. 7th 2%
  8. 8th 2%
  9. 9th 1%
  10. 10th 1%
  11. 11th <1%
  12. 12th <1%
  13. 13th <1%
  14. 14th <1%
  15. 15th
  16. 16th <1%
  17. 17th
  18. 18th
  19. 19th

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 8 remaining known games (max 2.77 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 Utah Athletic (North) 3.00 (+0.60) 1st (2.17) 27 of 24 pts to pass their current pace, 17 for their projection

How the results connect

18 chains · 6 teams

Paths of results that link Inter Utah SC to AZ SandSharks through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

10 favour us
2 even
6 favour them
+1.7 goals per chain on average. The results point our way.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
0–1 3–2 3–2 2–1 3–2 3–0 0–0 3–0 4–1 0–9 3–0 1–7 7–0 0–6 Inter Utah SC 2nd ALBION SC Utah 3rd El Paso Surf 4th Utah Athletic 7th BVBIA Arizona 5th AZ SandSharks 6th

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

12 chains

Position over the season

10 game days

1st 10th 19th Sep 12 Sep 19 Oct 3 Oct 10 Oct 17 Oct 18

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty -0.19 · 16th hardest of 19

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sat Oct 24
09:30 AM
AZ SandSharks
6th · 1-1-4 · GD +1
Home
Lone Peak High School
●●○○○ Lean win
61%
2–1 2.03 2.34 Swing game
Sun Oct 25
11:00 AM
BVBIA Arizona
5th · 2-0-3 · GD -10
Home
Lone Peak High School
●○○○○ Favorable
83%
4–1 2.59 2.37 Bank it
Sat Nov 14
07:00 PM
Utah Athletic
7th · 0-1-3 · GD -15
Away
Lakeside Sports Complex
●○○○○ Favorable
84%
3–0 2.63 2.41 Bank it
Sat Nov 21
12:00 PM
Utah Athletic (North)
1st · 2-0-0 · GD +4
Away
Murray Park Turf Fields · turf
●●●●○ Tough
30%
1–1 1.13 2.27 Upside
Sat Jan 30
12:00 PM
BVBIA Las Vegas
11th · 0-0-0 · GD +0
Away
Chaparral Highschool · turf?
●●●○○ Toss-up
52%
2–1 1.75 2.21 Swing game
Sun Jan 31
09:00 AM
Villarreal Las Vegas Academy
19th · 0-0-0 · GD +0
Away
TBD
●●●○○ Toss-up
52%
2–1 1.75 2.17 Swing game
Sun Feb 28
01:00 PM
Utah Athletic (North)
1st · 2-0-0 · GD +4
Home
Lone Peak High School
●●●●○ Tough
38%
1–1 1.38 2.11 Upside
Sun Feb 28
12:00 AM
Villarreal Las Vegas Academy
19th · 0-0-0 · GD +0
Home
TBD
●●○○○ Lean win
62%
2–1 2.03 2.10 Swing game

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 Utah Athletic (North) 2200 40+4 63.00 WW +0.75 -0.23 88% 2.5
2 Inter Utah SC 5401 136+7 122.40 LWWWW -0.12 -0.19 84% 2.8
3 ALBION SC Utah 6402 198+11 122.00 LLWWW -0.19 -0.11 79% 3.2
4 El Paso Surf 4202 75+2 61.50 WWLL +0.45 -0.34 34% 6.3
5 BVBIA Arizona 5203 1121-10 61.20 LWWLL +0.02 +0.19 0% 16.7
6 AZ SandSharks 6114 1211+1 40.67 LLLDL -0.44 +0.13 1% 14.3
7 Utah Athletic 4013 116-15 10.25 LLDL +0.19 +0.47 0% 18.9
8 ALBION SC Boulder County 0000 00+0 00.00 — -0.05 ——
9 ALBION SC Denver 0000 00+0 00.00 — +0.01 ——
10 ALBION SC Las Vegas 0000 00+0 00.00 — -0.22 ——
11 BVBIA Las Vegas 0000 00+0 00.00 — -0.10 ——
12 City SC NOCO 0000 00+0 00.00 — +0.00 ——
13 Colorado Elevation FC 0000 00+0 00.00 — -0.08 ——
14 Colorado Rush 0000 00+0 00.00 — -0.05 ——
15 Colorado Rush - COS 0000 00+0 00.00 — +0.00 ——
16 Colorado Storm 0000 00+0 00.00 — -0.08 ——
17 Colorado United 0000 00+0 00.00 — +0.01 ——
18 Denver Kickers Sports Club 0000 00+0 00.00 — +0.00 ——
19 Villarreal Las Vegas Academy 0000 00+0 00.00 — +0.20 ——

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.02 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.