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ALBION SC Las Vegas

Elite Academy League · Southwest Desert U15 · 19 teams · ALBION SC Las Vegas (all teams)

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10th
0-0-0 record · 0 played
0.00 points per game
+0 goal diff · 0–0
last 0
18% chance of top 4 · expected finish 8.9
+0.00 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sat Nov 21, 01:00 PM

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ALBION SC Las Vegas
10th · 0.00 PPG
at
BVBIA Las Vegas
11th · 0.00 PPG

Chaparral Highschool, Chaparral Stadium ↗ · turf?

windrawloss

●●●●○ Tough to win

Most likely score 1–2 (expected goals 1.9 for, 2.2 against · 1.25 expected points)

Season so farALBION SC Las VegasBVBIA Las Vegas
Position10th11th
Record (W-D-L)0-0-00-0-0
Points per game0.000.00
Goals for / game0.00.0
Goals against / game0.00.0
Clean sheets00
Held scoreless00
Form (recent first)——
Biggest win——
Worst loss——
Model rating (net goals vs avg)+0.00+0.00
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)+0.00+0.00

Game plan

  • They struggle to score
    BVBIA Las Vegas average 0.0 goals/game (league avg 2.0); blanked in 0 of 0.

    A higher defensive line and an aggressive counter-press are low-risk here. Keep the back line connected to midfield so one long ball doesn't turn into a 1v1 — that is the only way this opponent scores.

  • Underdog — play free, stay organised
    Model gives 35%; a draw (20%) would be a good result.

    Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.

  • Away game
    Kickoff 01:00 PM at Chaparral Highschool.

    Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.

  • What a win does
    ALBION SC Denver sit 9th on 0.00 PPG; we are on 0.00.

    A point moves us above ALBION SC Denver on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.

If Saturday goes…

Where we'd sit after the BVBIA Las Vegas game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (ALBION SC Las Vegas – BVBIA Las Vegas) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 2 other games that week (Mon Nov 16 – Sun Nov 22); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Loss · 0.00 PPG
19th▼ down 9 19th▼ down 9 19th▼ down 9
Win
3.00 PPG
2nd▲ up 8 2nd▲ up 8 3rd▲ up 7
Draw
1.00 PPG
6th▲ up 4 7th▲ up 3 8th▲ up 2
Loss
0.00 PPG
19th▼ down 9 19th▼ down 9 19th▼ down 9

Can we move up this round? No. With a 1–2 loss we fall to at least 17th even if every rival loses, and as low as 19th if every rival wins.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

2% finish 1st
18% top 4
82% below the top 4
8.9 average finish
  1. 1st 2%
  2. 2nd 4%
  3. 3rd 5%
  4. 4th 8%
  5. 5th 7%
  6. 6th 9%
  7. 7th 8%
  8. 8th 9%
  9. 9th 8%
  10. 10th 7%
  11. 11th 6%
  12. 12th 6%
  13. 13th 6%
  14. 14th 6%
  15. 15th 4%
  16. 16th 4%
  17. 17th 2%
  18. 18th 2%
  19. 19th <1%

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 15 remaining known games (max 3.00 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 Utah Athletic (North) 3.00 (+3.00) 1st (2.17) Win next game
2 Inter Utah SC 2.40 (+2.40) 2nd (2.10) A point next game
3 ALBION SC Utah 2.00 (+2.00) 3rd (2.03) A point next game
4 El Paso Surf 1.50 (+1.50) 4th (1.71) A point next game
5 BVBIA Arizona 1.20 (+1.20) 18th (0.87) A point next game
6 AZ SandSharks 0.67 (+0.67) 17th (1.11) Already ahead
7 Utah Athletic 0.25 (+0.25) 19th (0.30) Already ahead
8 ALBION SC Boulder County 0.00 (+0.00) 10th (1.41) Already ahead
9 ALBION SC Denver 0.00 (+0.00) 14th (1.37) Already ahead

Position over the season

10 game days

Not enough game days yet to draw a line.

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty -0.22 · 17th hardest of 19

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sat Nov 21
01:00 PM
BVBIA Las Vegas
11th · 0-0-0 · GD +0
Away
Chaparral Highschool · turf?
●●●●○ Tough
35%
1–2 1.25 1.25 Upside
Sat Dec 5
11:00 AM
BVBIA Las Vegas
11th · 0-0-0 · GD +0
Home
Aventura Park
●●●○○ Toss-up
45%
2–1 1.55 1.40 Swing game
Sun Dec 6
01:00 PM
Villarreal Las Vegas Academy
19th · 0-0-0 · GD +0
Home
Aventura Park
●●●○○ Toss-up
45%
2–1 1.55 1.45 Swing game
Sat Jan 23
12:00 AM
Utah Athletic
7th · 0-1-3 · GD -15
Home
TBD
●○○○○ Favorable
81%
3–0 2.55 1.72 Bank it
Sun Jan 24
12:00 AM
Villarreal Las Vegas Academy
19th · 0-0-0 · GD +0
Away
TBD
●●●●○ Tough
35%
1–2 1.25 1.63 Upside
Sat Jan 30
11:00 AM
ALBION SC Utah
3rd · 4-0-2 · GD +11
Home
Aventura Park
●●●●● Very tough
24%
1–2 0.89 1.51 Upside
Sun Jan 31
11:00 AM
Utah Athletic (North)
1st · 2-0-0 · GD +4
Home
Aventura Park
●●●●● Very tough
24%
1–1 0.94 1.43 Upside
Sat Feb 6
11:00 AM
City SC NOCO
12th · 0-0-0 · GD +0
Home
Aventura Park
●●●○○ Toss-up
45%
2–1 1.55 1.44 Swing game
Sun Feb 7
09:00 AM
Denver Kickers Sports Club
18th · 0-0-0 · GD +0
Home
Aventura Park
●●●○○ Toss-up
45%
2–1 1.55 1.45 Swing game
Sat Feb 27
12:00 AM
Utah Athletic (North)
1st · 2-0-0 · GD +4
Away
TBD
●●●●● Very tough
18%
1–2 0.72 1.38 Upside
Sun Feb 28
12:00 AM
Utah Athletic
7th · 0-1-3 · GD -15
Away
TBD
●●○○○ Lean win
74%
2–1 2.36 1.47 Bank it
Sat Mar 20
12:00 AM
BVBIA Arizona
5th · 2-0-3 · GD -10
Away
TBD
●●●○○ Toss-up
58%
3–2 1.89 1.50 Swing game
Sun Mar 21
12:00 AM
El Paso Surf
4th · 2-0-2 · GD +2
Away
TBD
●●●●○ Tough
28%
1–2 1.06 1.47 Upside
Sat Apr 10
12:00 AM
AZ SandSharks
6th · 1-1-4 · GD +1
Home
TBD
●●●○○ Toss-up
45%
2–1 1.57 1.48 Swing game
Sun Apr 11
12:00 AM
BVBIA Arizona
5th · 2-0-3 · GD -10
Home
TBD
●●○○○ Lean win
69%
3–2 2.20 1.52 Swing game

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 Utah Athletic (North) 2200 40+4 63.00 WW +0.75 -0.23 87% 2.5
2 Inter Utah SC 5401 136+7 122.40 LWWWW -0.12 -0.19 83% 2.8
3 ALBION SC Utah 6402 198+11 122.00 LLWWW -0.19 -0.11 79% 3.2
4 El Paso Surf 4202 75+2 61.50 WWLL +0.45 -0.34 33% 6.4
5 BVBIA Arizona 5203 1121-10 61.20 LWWLL +0.02 +0.19 0% 16.7
6 AZ SandSharks 6114 1211+1 40.67 LLLDL -0.44 +0.13 0% 14.4
7 Utah Athletic 4013 116-15 10.25 LLDL +0.19 +0.47 0% 18.9
8 ALBION SC Boulder County 0000 00+0 00.00 — -0.05 ——
9 ALBION SC Denver 0000 00+0 00.00 — +0.01 ——
10 ALBION SC Las Vegas 0000 00+0 00.00 — -0.22 ——
11 BVBIA Las Vegas 0000 00+0 00.00 — -0.10 ——
12 City SC NOCO 0000 00+0 00.00 — +0.00 ——
13 Colorado Elevation FC 0000 00+0 00.00 — -0.08 ——
14 Colorado Rush 0000 00+0 00.00 — -0.05 ——
15 Colorado Rush - COS 0000 00+0 00.00 — +0.00 ——
16 Colorado Storm 0000 00+0 00.00 — -0.08 ——
17 Colorado United 0000 00+0 00.00 — +0.01 ——
18 Denver Kickers Sports Club 0000 00+0 00.00 — +0.00 ——
19 Villarreal Las Vegas Academy 0000 00+0 00.00 — +0.20 ——

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.02 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.