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ALBION SC Denver

Elite Academy League · Southwest Desert U15 · 19 teams · ALBION SC Denver (all teams)

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9th
0-0-0 record · 0 played
0.00 points per game
+0 goal diff · 0–0
last 0
7% chance of top 4 · expected finish 10.8
+0.00 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sat Jan 23, 12:00 AM

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ALBION SC Denver
9th · 0.00 PPG
vs

TBD, TBD ↗

windrawloss

●●●○○ Toss-up to win

Most likely score 2–1 (expected goals 2.2 for, 1.9 against · 1.55 expected points)

Season so farALBION SC DenverDenver Kickers Sports Club
Position9th18th
Record (W-D-L)0-0-00-0-0
Points per game0.000.00
Goals for / game0.00.0
Goals against / game0.00.0
Clean sheets00
Held scoreless00
Form (recent first)——
Biggest win——
Worst loss——
Model rating (net goals vs avg)+0.00+0.00
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)+0.00+0.00

Game plan

  • They struggle to score
    Denver Kickers Sports Club average 0.0 goals/game (league avg 2.0); blanked in 0 of 0.

    A higher defensive line and an aggressive counter-press are low-risk here. Keep the back line connected to midfield so one long ball doesn't turn into a 1v1 — that is the only way this opponent scores.

  • Swing game — small margins
    Win 45% / draw 20% / loss 35%.

    Games like this are decided by one set piece or one transition. Prioritise the strongest XI for the full game, be disciplined with fouls near the box, and have a clear late-game plan for both "protect the lead" and "chase".

  • What a win does
    ALBION SC Boulder County sit 8th on 0.00 PPG; we are on 0.00.

    A point moves us above ALBION SC Boulder County on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.

If Saturday goes…

Where we'd sit after the Denver Kickers Sports Club game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (ALBION SC Denver – Denver Kickers Sports Club) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 9 other games that week (Mon Jan 18 – Sun Jan 24); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Win · 3.00 PPG
2nd▲ up 7 6th▲ up 3 7th▲ up 2
Win
3.00 PPG
2nd▲ up 7 7th▲ up 2 8th▲ up 1
Draw
1.00 PPG
6th▲ up 3 12th▼ down 3 18th▼ down 9
Loss
0.00 PPG
19th▼ down 10 18th▼ down 9 19th▼ down 10

Can we move up this round? Yes. With a 2–1 win we finish as high as 2nd if every rival drops points, and as low as 7th if every rival wins.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

0% finish 1st
7% top 4
93% below the top 4
10.8 average finish
  1. 1st <1%
  2. 2nd 1%
  3. 3rd 3%
  4. 4th 4%
  5. 5th 6%
  6. 6th 6%
  7. 7th 6%
  8. 8th 6%
  9. 9th 7%
  10. 10th 8%
  11. 11th 8%
  12. 12th 8%
  13. 13th 8%
  14. 14th 7%
  15. 15th 7%
  16. 16th 7%
  17. 17th 5%
  18. 18th 4%
  19. 19th <1%

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 18 remaining known games (max 3.00 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 Utah Athletic (North) 3.00 (+3.00) 1st (2.17) Win next game
2 Inter Utah SC 2.40 (+2.40) 2nd (2.10) A point next game
3 ALBION SC Utah 2.00 (+2.00) 3rd (2.03) A point next game
4 El Paso Surf 1.50 (+1.50) 4th (1.71) A point next game
5 BVBIA Arizona 1.20 (+1.20) 18th (0.87) A point next game
6 AZ SandSharks 0.67 (+0.67) 17th (1.11) Already ahead
7 Utah Athletic 0.25 (+0.25) 19th (0.30) Already ahead
8 ALBION SC Boulder County 0.00 (+0.00) 10th (1.41) Already ahead

Position over the season

10 game days

Not enough game days yet to draw a line.

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty +0.01 · 5th hardest of 19

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sat Jan 23
12:00 AM
Denver Kickers Sports Club
18th · 0-0-0 · GD +0
Home
TBD
●●●○○ Toss-up
45%
2–1 1.55 1.55 Swing game
Sun Jan 24
12:00 AM
City SC NOCO
12th · 0-0-0 · GD +0
Away
TBD
●●●●○ Tough
35%
1–2 1.25 1.40 Upside
Sat Jan 30
12:00 AM
ALBION SC Boulder County
8th · 0-0-0 · GD +0
Away
TBD
●●●●○ Tough
35%
1–2 1.25 1.35 Upside
Sun Jan 31
12:00 AM
Colorado Elevation FC
13th · 0-0-0 · GD +0
Home
TBD
●●●○○ Toss-up
45%
2–1 1.55 1.40 Swing game
Sat Feb 6
12:00 AM
Colorado Storm
16th · 0-0-0 · GD +0
Home
TBD
●●●○○ Toss-up
45%
2–1 1.55 1.43 Swing game
Sat Feb 13
12:00 AM
Colorado Rush
14th · 0-0-0 · GD +0
Away
TBD
●●●●○ Tough
35%
1–2 1.25 1.40 Upside
Sat Feb 20
12:00 AM
Colorado Rush - COS
15th · 0-0-0 · GD +0
Away
TBD
●●●●○ Tough
35%
1–2 1.25 1.38 Upside
Sun Feb 21
12:00 AM
Colorado United
17th · 0-0-0 · GD +0
Home
TBD
●●●○○ Toss-up
45%
2–1 1.55 1.40 Swing game
Sat Feb 27
12:00 AM
Denver Kickers Sports Club
18th · 0-0-0 · GD +0
Away
TBD
●●●●○ Tough
35%
1–2 1.25 1.38 Upside
Sun Feb 28
12:00 AM
City SC NOCO
12th · 0-0-0 · GD +0
Home
TBD
●●●○○ Toss-up
45%
2–1 1.55 1.40 Swing game
Sat Mar 6
12:00 AM
El Paso Surf
4th · 2-0-2 · GD +2
Away
TBD
●●●●○ Tough
28%
1–2 1.06 1.37 Upside
Sun Mar 7
12:00 AM
AZ SandSharks
6th · 1-1-4 · GD +1
Away
TBD
●●●●○ Tough
36%
1–1 1.29 1.36 Upside
Sat Mar 20
12:00 AM
Colorado Rush - COS
15th · 0-0-0 · GD +0
Home
TBD
●●●○○ Toss-up
45%
2–1 1.55 1.38 Swing game
Sat Apr 3
09:00 AM
Colorado Storm
16th · 0-0-0 · GD +0
Away
Douglas County Fairgrounds
●●●●○ Tough
35%
1–2 1.25 1.37 Upside
Sun Apr 4
12:00 AM
Colorado Rush
14th · 0-0-0 · GD +0
Home
TBD
●●●○○ Toss-up
45%
2–1 1.55 1.38 Swing game
Sat Apr 10
12:00 AM
ALBION SC Boulder County
8th · 0-0-0 · GD +0
Home
TBD
●●●○○ Toss-up
45%
2–1 1.55 1.39 Swing game
Sat Apr 24
12:00 AM
Colorado Elevation FC
13th · 0-0-0 · GD +0
Away
TBD
●●●●○ Tough
35%
1–2 1.25 1.38 Upside
Sun May 2
11:00 AM
Colorado United
17th · 0-0-0 · GD +0
Away
Cornerstone Park · turf
●●●●○ Tough
35%
1–2 1.25 1.37 Upside

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 Utah Athletic (North) 2200 40+4 63.00 WW +0.75 -0.23 88% 2.5
2 Inter Utah SC 5401 136+7 122.40 LWWWW -0.12 -0.19 84% 2.8
3 ALBION SC Utah 6402 198+11 122.00 LLWWW -0.19 -0.11 79% 3.2
4 El Paso Surf 4202 75+2 61.50 WWLL +0.45 -0.34 34% 6.3
5 BVBIA Arizona 5203 1121-10 61.20 LWWLL +0.02 +0.19 0% 16.7
6 AZ SandSharks 6114 1211+1 40.67 LLLDL -0.44 +0.13 1% 14.3
7 Utah Athletic 4013 116-15 10.25 LLDL +0.19 +0.47 0% 18.9
8 ALBION SC Boulder County 0000 00+0 00.00 — -0.05 ——
9 ALBION SC Denver 0000 00+0 00.00 — +0.01 ——
10 ALBION SC Las Vegas 0000 00+0 00.00 — -0.22 ——
11 BVBIA Las Vegas 0000 00+0 00.00 — -0.10 ——
12 City SC NOCO 0000 00+0 00.00 — +0.00 ——
13 Colorado Elevation FC 0000 00+0 00.00 — -0.08 ——
14 Colorado Rush 0000 00+0 00.00 — -0.05 ——
15 Colorado Rush - COS 0000 00+0 00.00 — +0.00 ——
16 Colorado Storm 0000 00+0 00.00 — -0.08 ——
17 Colorado United 0000 00+0 00.00 — +0.01 ——
18 Denver Kickers Sports Club 0000 00+0 00.00 — +0.00 ——
19 Villarreal Las Vegas Academy 0000 00+0 00.00 — +0.20 ——

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.02 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.