TableChase Clubs

ALBION SC Atlanta Metro

Elite Academy League · Southeast U15 · 8 teams · ALBION SC Atlanta Metro (all teams)

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6th
1-1-5 record · 7 played
0.57 points per game
-8 goal diff · 8–16
DLWLLlast 5
0% chance of top 4 · expected finish 6.6
+0.11 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sat Nov 7, 01:00 PM

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ALBION SC Atlanta Metro
6th · 0.57 PPG
at
All-IN FC
1st · 2.50 PPG

Gary Pirkle Park, Field #1 ↗

windrawloss

●●●●● Very tough to win

Most likely score 0–3 (expected goals 0.7 for, 3.3 against · 0.23 expected points)

Season so farALBION SC Atlanta MetroAll-IN FC
Position6th1st
Record (W-D-L)1-1-56-2-0
Points per game0.572.50
Goals for / game1.13.3
Goals against / game2.30.6
Clean sheets04
Held scoreless11
Form (recent first)L L W L DW W W W D
Biggest win3–2 vs ALBION SC Atlanta7–0 at UFA Norcross
Worst loss1–3 vs BVBIA Georgia—
Model rating (net goals vs avg)-0.78+1.81
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)+0.11-0.25

Already played this season: Sun Sep 27 1–3 vs All-IN FC (L)

Common opponents: BVBIA Georgia — we 1–3; they 1–1. ALBION SC Nashville — we 1–3; they 0–0. UFA Norcross — we 1–1; they 7–0. UFA Gainesville — we 0–2; they 2–1, 3–0. ALBION SC Atlanta — we 3–2; they 3–0. Covered Bridge Soccer Club — we 1–2; they 7–2.

Game plan

  • Respect their attack
    All-IN FC score 3.2/game — well above the league's 2.1.

    Deny the easy goals first: compact shape between the lines, no fouls in shooting range, and a plan for their best outlet. Score first and make them chase.

  • Hard to break down
    All-IN FC concede only 0.6/game with 4 clean sheet(s).

    Patience and width: move the ball quickly side to side to pull the block apart, and treat set pieces as your best chance — rehearse two corner routines and a near-post free-kick delivery.

  • Finishing wins the tight ones
    Held scoreless 1 time(s): 0–2 at UFA Gainesville.

    Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.

  • Underdog — play free, stay organised
    Model gives 5%; a draw (9%) would be a good result.

    Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.

  • They arrive in form
    All-IN FC have won 4 straight.

    Don't let them settle: deny the first 10 minutes of rhythm with pressure on their first pass out of the back.

  • Away game
    Kickoff 01:00 PM at Gary Pirkle Park.

    Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.

If Saturday goes…

Where we'd sit after the All-IN FC game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (ALBION SC Atlanta Metro – All-IN FC) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 4 other games that week (Mon Nov 2 – Sun Nov 8); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Loss · 0.50 PPG
6th— holds 6th— holds 7th▼ down 1
Win
0.88 PPG
6th— holds 6th— holds 6th— holds
Draw
0.63 PPG
6th— holds 6th— holds 7th▼ down 1
Loss
0.50 PPG
6th— holds 6th— holds 7th▼ down 1

Can we move up this round? No. With a 0–3 loss we stay 6th even if every rival loses, and as low as 7th if every rival wins.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

0% finish 1st
0% top 4
100% below the top 4
6.6 average finish
  1. 1st
  2. 2nd
  3. 3rd
  4. 4th
  5. 5th 1%
  6. 6th 40%
  7. 7th 57%
  8. 8th 1%

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 7 remaining known games (max 1.79 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 All-IN FC 2.50 (+1.93) 1st (2.40) 31 of 21 pts to pass their current pace, 30 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
2 ALBION SC Nashville 2.43 (+1.86) 2nd (2.30) 31 of 21 pts to pass their current pace, 29 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
3 BVBIA Georgia 1.86 (+1.29) 3rd (1.85) 23 of 21 pts to pass their current pace, 22 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
4 Covered Bridge Soccer Club 1.75 (+1.18) 5th (1.50) 21 of 21 pts to pass their current pace, 17 for their projection
5 UFA Gainesville 1.67 (+1.10) 4th (1.70) 20 of 21 pts to pass their current pace, 20 for their projection

How the results connect

48 chains · 8 teams

Paths of results that link ALBION SC Atlanta Metro to All-IN FC through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

3 favour us
4 even
41 favour them
-3.7 goals per chain on average. The results point their way.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
1–3 3–2 0–3 1–3 0–0 1–3 1–1 0–2 1–2 0–3 1–2 2–7 1–1 0–7 2–1 1–2 1–2 0–1 ALBION SC Atlanta M… 6th ALBION SC Atlanta 7th ALBION SC Nashville 2nd BVBIA Georgia 3rd UFA Gainesville 5th Covered Bridge Socc… 4th UFA Norcross 8th All-IN FC 1st

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

12 chains

Position over the season

10 game days

1st 4th 8th Aug 29 Sep 5 Sep 19 Sep 27 Oct 17 Oct 18

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty +0.11 · 3rd hardest of 8

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sat Nov 7
01:00 PM
All-IN FC
1st · 6-2-0 · GD +21
Away
Gary Pirkle Park
●●●●● Very tough
5%
0–3 0.23 0.53 Upside
Sun Nov 8
08:00 AM
ALBION SC Nashville
2nd · 5-2-0 · GD +14
Away
2 - Bethesda Sports Park Soccer Fields
●●●●● Very tough
7%
0–3 0.32 0.51 Upside
Sat Nov 14
01:00 PM
UFA Gainesville
5th · 5-0-4 · GD -2
Home
Field A - Dresden Park
●●●●○ Tough
28%
1–2 1.05 0.56 Upside
Sat Nov 21
11:00 AM
Covered Bridge Soccer Club
4th · 4-2-2 · GD +1
Away
Joe Cowan Park
●●●●● Very tough
21%
1–2 0.81 0.58 Upside
Sun Dec 13
11:00 AM
UFA Norcross
8th · 0-1-6 · GD -34
Away
Pinckneyville Park
●●○○○ Lean win
72%
2–1 2.32 0.73 Bank it
Sun Jan 10
01:00 PM
ALBION SC Atlanta
7th · 1-1-7 · GD -7
Away
TBD
●●●●○ Tough
29%
1–1 1.10 0.76 Upside
Tue May 25
12:00 AM
BVBIA Georgia
3rd · 4-1-2 · GD +15
Away
TBD
●●●●● Very tough
8%
1–3 0.36 0.73 Upside

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 All-IN FC 8620 265+21 202.50 DWWWW -0.25 -0.30 100% 1.4
2 ALBION SC Nashville 7520 206+14 172.43 WDDWW +0.02 -0.40 100% 1.8
3 BVBIA Georgia 7412 249+15 131.86 WLWWL -0.49 +0.08 93% 3.3
4 Covered Bridge Soccer Club 8422 1918+1 141.75 WDWLW -0.34 +0.53 32% 4.6
5 UFA Gainesville 9504 2022-2 151.67 WWLLW +0.37 -0.64 75% 4.0
6 ALBION SC Atlanta Metro 7115 816-8 40.57 DLWLL +0.11 +0.11 0% 6.6
7 ALBION SC Atlanta 9117 1219-7 40.44 LLLLL +0.42 -0.44 0% 6.4
8 UFA Norcross 7016 236-34 10.14 DLLLL +0.28 +0.66 0% 8.0

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.08 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.