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Sting Soccer Club - ID

Elite Academy League · PACNW U16 · 17 teams · Sting Soccer Club - ID (all teams)

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16th
0-0-0 record · 0 played
0.00 points per game
+0 goal diff · 0–0
last 0
3% chance of top 4 · expected finish 9.5
+0.00 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sun Nov 8, 11:00 AM

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Sting Soccer Club - ID
16th · 0.00 PPG
vs

HUB Sports Complex, HUB Field #1 ↗

windrawloss

●●●●○ Tough to win

Most likely score 2–2 (expected goals 2.6 for, 2.6 against · 1.43 expected points)

Season so farSting Soccer Club - IDWestern WA Surf Academy White
Position16th9th
Record (W-D-L)0-0-02-1-2
Points per game0.001.40
Goals for / game0.03.0
Goals against / game0.02.2
Clean sheets01
Held scoreless00
Form (recent first)—L W L W D
Biggest win—9–0 vs Seattle Celtic
Worst loss—1–5 vs Western WA Surf Academy Blue
Model rating (net goals vs avg)+0.00+0.29
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)+0.00-0.77

Game plan

  • Underdog — play free, stay organised
    Model gives 42%; a draw (18%) would be a good result.

    Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.

  • What a win does
    Seattle Celtic sit 15th on 0.17 PPG; we are on 0.00.

    A point moves us above Seattle Celtic on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.

If Sunday goes…

Where we'd sit after the Western WA Surf Academy White game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Sting Soccer Club - ID – Western WA Surf Academy White) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 7 other games that week (Mon Nov 2 – Sun Nov 8); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Draw · 1.00 PPG
12th▲ up 4 12th▲ up 4 13th▲ up 3
Win
3.00 PPG
1st▲ up 15 1st▲ up 15 1st▲ up 15
Draw
1.00 PPG
12th▲ up 4 12th▲ up 4 13th▲ up 3
Loss
0.00 PPG
16th— holds 16th— holds 17th▼ down 1

Can we move up this round? Yes. With a 2–2 draw we finish as high as 11th if every rival drops points, and as low as 13th if every rival wins.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

0% finish 1st
3% top 4
97% below the top 4
9.5 average finish
  1. 1st <1%
  2. 2nd <1%
  3. 3rd 1%
  4. 4th 2%
  5. 5th 3%
  6. 6th 6%
  7. 7th 8%
  8. 8th 10%
  9. 9th 12%
  10. 10th 16%
  11. 11th 20%
  12. 12th 15%
  13. 13th 4%
  14. 14th 1%
  15. 15th <1%
  16. 16th <1%
  17. 17th

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 15 remaining known games (max 3.00 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 Sparta Tacoma 2.50 (+2.50) 1st (2.36) A point next game
2 Washington East Surf Columbia Basin 2.50 (+2.50) 3rd (2.22) A point next game
3 Western WA Surf Academy Blue 2.50 (+2.50) 2nd (2.34) A point next game
4 Mt. Rainier 2.50 (+2.50) 5th (1.93) A point next game
5 BVBIA Washington 1.83 (+1.83) 4th (1.96) A point next game
6 Emerald City FC 1.50 (+1.50) 7th (1.65) A point next game
7 Harbor SC 1.50 (+1.50) 9th (1.45) A point next game
8 Atletico Rojo 1.43 (+1.43) 6th (1.79) A point next game
9 Western WA Surf Academy White 1.40 (+1.40) 11th (1.40) A point next game
10 Everett FC 1.25 (+1.25) 8th (1.57) A point next game
11 ALBION SC Hawaii 1.17 (+1.17) 12th (1.25) A point next game
12 Warriors Sports Academy 1.00 (+1.00) 13th (0.76) A point next game
13 Valencia CF Academy - Seattle 0.40 (+0.40) 15th (0.60) Already ahead
14 Highline Premier FC 0.25 (+0.25) 14th (0.61) Already ahead
15 Seattle Celtic 0.17 (+0.17) 17th (0.32) Already ahead

Position over the season

17 game days

Not enough game days yet to draw a line.

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty -0.02 · 7th hardest of 17

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sun Nov 8
11:00 AM
Western WA Surf Academy White
9th · 2-1-2 · GD +4
Home
HUB Sports Complex
●●●●○ Tough
42%
2–2 1.43 1.43 Upside
Sat Nov 14
07:00 PM
BVBIA Washington
5th · 3-2-1 · GD +7
Away
Robinswood Sports Park
●●●●● Very tough
20%
1–2 0.77 1.10 Upside
Sat Nov 21
03:00 PM
Mt. Rainier
4th · 5-0-1 · GD +9
Home
Real Life Ministries
●●●●○ Tough
32%
1–2 1.14 1.11 Upside
Sun Nov 22
03:00 PM
Emerald City FC
6th · 3-0-3 · GD +4
Home
HUB Sports Complex
●●●●○ Tough
39%
2–3 1.32 1.16 Upside
Sun Dec 13
05:00 PM
Valencia CF Academy - Seattle
13th · 0-2-3 · GD -16
Home
Real Life Ministries
●○○○○ Favorable
77%
3–1 2.44 1.42 Bank it
Sat Jan 9
06:00 PM
Atletico Rojo
8th · 3-1-3 · GD +13
Away
Sirius Sports Complex
●●●●● Very tough
17%
1–3 0.65 1.29 Upside
Sun Jan 10
12:00 AM
Harbor SC
7th · 2-0-2 · GD -1
Away
TBD
●●●●○ Tough
36%
2–2 1.29 1.29 Upside
Sat Jan 23
12:00 AM
Western WA Surf Academy Blue
3rd · 5-0-1 · GD +10
Away
TBD
●●●●● Very tough
15%
1–3 0.60 1.20 Upside
Sun Jan 24
12:00 AM
Seattle Celtic
15th · 0-1-5 · GD -31
Away
TBD
●○○○○ Favorable
85%
3–1 2.63 1.36 Bank it
Sat Jan 30
03:00 PM
Sparta Tacoma
1st · 5-0-1 · GD +21
Home
HUB Sports Complex
●●●●● Very tough
15%
1–3 0.58 1.28 Upside
Sun Jan 31
04:00 PM
Highline Premier FC
14th · 0-1-3 · GD -8
Home
HUB Sports Complex
●●○○○ Lean win
67%
2–1 2.18 1.37 Swing game
Sat Feb 6
12:00 AM
Warriors Sports Academy
12th · 1-0-2 · GD -14
Away
TBD
●●○○○ Lean win
69%
4–2 2.19 1.44 Swing game
Sat Feb 13
12:00 AM
Washington East Surf Columbia Basin
2nd · 3-1-0 · GD +13
Away
TBD
●●●●● Very tough
12%
1–3 0.48 1.36 Upside
Sat Feb 20
04:00 PM
Everett FC
10th · 1-2-1 · GD +4
Home
Real Life Ministries
●●●●○ Tough
36%
2–2 1.25 1.35 Upside
Sun Feb 21
03:00 PM
ALBION SC Washington
17th · 0-0-4 · GD -13
Home
HUB Sports Complex
●○○○○ Favorable
75%
3–1 2.37 1.42 Bank it

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 Sparta Tacoma 6501 298+21 152.50 WWWWW -0.44 -0.07 96% 2.0
2 Washington East Surf Columbia Basin 4310 152+13 102.50 WDWW -0.59 +0.05 84% 3.0
3 Western WA Surf Academy Blue 6501 177+10 152.50 WWWWW +0.82 -0.71 95% 2.3
4 Mt. Rainier 6501 178+9 152.50 LWWWW -1.02 +0.41 39% 5.2
5 BVBIA Washington 6321 169+7 111.83 WDWWL +0.80 -0.61 46% 4.9
6 Emerald City FC 6303 2218+4 91.50 LLWLW +0.23 -0.35 8% 7.6
7 Harbor SC 4202 78-1 61.50 LWWL +0.34 -0.13 2% 9.1
8 Atletico Rojo 7313 2512+13 101.43 WLWLD -0.00 -0.18 20% 6.2
9 Western WA Surf Academy White 5212 1511+4 71.40 DWLWL -0.77 +0.31 2% 9.7
10 Everett FC 4121 128+4 51.25 DWLD +0.15 -0.13 6% 8.1
11 ALBION SC Hawaii 6213 911-2 71.17 WLLDL +0.08 -0.06 0% 10.8
12 Warriors Sports Academy 3102 721-14 31.00 WLL +0.11 +0.15 0% 13.8
13 Valencia CF Academy - Seattle 5023 319-16 20.40 DLLLD +0.74 -0.24 0% 14.7
14 Highline Premier FC 4013 412-8 10.25 LLLD -0.63 +0.27 0% 14.7
15 Seattle Celtic 6015 132-31 10.17 LDLLL +1.00 -0.36 0% 16.4
16 Sting Soccer Club - ID 0000 00+0 00.00 — -0.02 ——
17 ALBION SC Washington 4004 518-13 00.00 LLLL +0.15 +0.05 0% 15.0

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.48 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.