Week 7 in PACNW U12: what changed

Sat Oct 24

• Harbor SC (11th) 2–0 (7th) Sound FC
• Western WA Surf Academy Blue (1st) 4–1 (14th) Seattle Celtic
• Sparta Tacoma (6th) 2–1 (2nd) Atletico Oro
• Atletico Azul (15th) 1–5 (3rd) Sozo
• Seattle Celtic Green (10th) 6–0 (12th) Warriors Sports Academy
• Atletico Rojo (16th) 1–9 (4th) Highline Premier FC
• Washington Rush (9th) 6–0 (13th) BVBIA Washington

Sun Oct 25

• Warriors Sports Academy (12th) 1–0 (11th) Harbor SC
• Atletico Oro (2nd) 3–1 (7th) Sound FC
• Mt. Rainier (5th) 3–3 (8th) United Sports FC

Positions are the table re-sorted after the last game of each week. Odds come from the nightly forecast snapshot nearest each end of the week; a dash means no snapshot exists yet.

• Sparta Tacoma 2–1 Atletico Oro 20% likely
  Sat Oct 24 · model favoured Atletico Oro
• Warriors Sports Academy 1–0 Harbor SC 20% likely
  Sun Oct 25 · model favoured Harbor SC

How likely each result was by today's ratings.

1. Seattle Celtic Green (10th) vs Highline Premier FC (4th) Sat Oct 31
   24% · 19% · 57% — KEY GAME form check
2. Western WA Surf Academy Blue (1st) vs Atletico Oro (2nd) Sat Oct 31
   61% · 18% · 21% — KEY GAME neighbours in the table, top-of-table clash
3. Washington Rush (9th) vs Seattle Celtic (14th) Sun Nov 1
   54% · 21% · 25% — KEY GAME form check
4. Atletico Azul (15th) vs Sparta Tacoma (6th) Sat Oct 31
   15% · 13% · 72% — KEY GAME form check
5. United Sports FC (8th) vs BVBIA Washington (13th) Sun Nov 1
   86% · 7% · 6% — KEY GAME form check

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