Forward Madison
Elite Academy League · Mid-America U16 · 17 teams · Forward Madison (all teams)
Next game — Sat Nov 21, 01:00 PM
Breese Stevens, Breese Stevens Stadium ↗ · turf?
●●●○○ Toss-up to win
Most likely score 2–2 (expected goals 2.7 for, 2.4 against · 1.58 expected points)
| Season so far | Forward Madison | North Shore United Soccer Club |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 8th | 13th |
| Record (W-D-L) | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 |
| Points per game | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Goals for / game | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Goals against / game | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 |
| Held scoreless | 0 | 0 |
| Form (recent first) | — | — |
| Biggest win | — | — |
| Worst loss | — | — |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | +0.00 | +0.00 |
Game plan
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They struggle to score
North Shore United Soccer Club average 0.0 goals/game (league avg 2.5); blanked in 0 of 0.A higher defensive line and an aggressive counter-press are low-risk here. Keep the back line connected to midfield so one long ball doesn't turn into a 1v1 — that is the only way this opponent scores.
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Swing game — small margins
Win 47% / draw 18% / loss 35%.Games like this are decided by one set piece or one transition. Prioritise the strongest XI for the full game, be disciplined with fouls near the box, and have a clear late-game plan for both "protect the lead" and "chase".
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What a win does
FC1 Academy sit 7th on 0.00 PPG; we are on 0.00.A point moves us above FC1 Academy on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.
If Saturday goes…
Where we'd sit after the North Shore United Soccer Club game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Forward Madison – North Shore United Soccer Club) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 5 other games that week (Mon Nov 16 – Sun Nov 22); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.
| Our result | Rivals don't play | Likely results | Every rival wins |
|---|---|---|---|
| – Draw · 1.00 PPG |
1st▲ up 7 | 5th▲ up 3 | 9th▼ down 1 |
| Win 3.00 PPG |
1st▲ up 7 | 1st▲ up 7 | 5th▲ up 3 |
| Draw 1.00 PPG |
1st▲ up 7 | 9th▼ down 1 | 9th▼ down 1 |
| Loss 0.00 PPG |
17th▼ down 9 | 17th▼ down 9 | 17th▼ down 9 |
Can we move up this round? Yes. With a 2–2 draw we finish as high as 1st if every rival drops points, and as low as 9th if every rival wins.
Where we finish
2,000 simulated seasons
- 1st 6%
- 2nd 7%
- 3rd 6%
- 4th 6%
- 5th 7%
- 6th 6%
- 7th 4%
- 8th 5%
- 9th 6%
- 10th 6%
- 11th 6%
- 12th 6%
- 13th 5%
- 14th 6%
- 15th 6%
- 16th 6%
- 17th 7%
Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.
Climbing the table
What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 8 remaining known games (max 3.00 PPG if we win out).
| # | Team | PPG | Proj. | To pass them |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chicago City Soccer Club | 0.00 (+0.00) | 1st (1.44) | Already ahead |
| 2 | Chicago Empire FC | 0.00 (+0.00) | 2nd (1.44) | Already ahead |
| 3 | Chicago KICS Youth Soccer Club | 0.00 (+0.00) | 3rd (1.44) | Already ahead |
| 4 | Chicago Rush | 0.00 (+0.00) | 4th (1.44) | Already ahead |
| 5 | Croatian Eagles SC | 0.00 (+0.00) | 13th (1.37) | Already ahead |
| 6 | FC Stars | 0.00 (+0.00) | 8th (1.41) | Already ahead |
| 7 | FC1 Academy | 0.00 (+0.00) | 5th (1.44) | Already ahead |
The path
run-in difficulty +0.00 · 8th hardest of 17
| Date | Opponent | Where | Difficulty | Win | Likely | Exp. pts | Run. PPG | Priority |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat Nov 21 01:00 PM |
North Shore United Soccer Club 13th · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Home Breese Stevens · turf? |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 47% |
2–2 | 1.58 | 1.58 | Swing game |
| Sun Nov 22 02:30 PM |
Croatian Eagles SC 5th · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Home Madison College - Irwin A. & Robert D. Goodman · turf? |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 47% |
2–2 | 1.58 | 1.58 | Swing game |
| Sat Mar 6 12:00 AM |
Orland Park Sting FC 14th · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Away TBD |
●●●●○ Tough | 35% |
2–2 | 1.24 | 1.47 | Upside |
| Sun Mar 7 12:00 AM |
FC1 Academy 7th · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Away TBD |
●●●●○ Tough | 35% |
2–2 | 1.24 | 1.41 | Upside |
| Sat Mar 13 12:00 AM |
Chicago City Soccer Club 1st · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Home TBD |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 47% |
2–2 | 1.58 | 1.44 | Swing game |
| Sun Mar 14 12:00 AM |
JaHBat 11th · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Home TBD |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 47% |
2–2 | 1.58 | 1.47 | Swing game |
| Sat May 15 12:00 AM |
Chicago Empire FC 2nd · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Away TBD |
●●●●○ Tough | 35% |
2–2 | 1.24 | 1.43 | Upside |
| Sun May 16 12:00 AM |
Chicago KICS Youth Soccer Club 3rd · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Away TBD |
●●●●○ Tough | 35% |
2–2 | 1.24 | 1.41 | Upside |
"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.
Standings
| # | Team | GP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | Form | SoS | Run-in | Top 4 | Exp. finish | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| 1 | Chicago City Soccer Club | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 | 0.00 | — | +0.00 | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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No games played yet. Next: Sat Nov 21 vs United Elite SC · Sun Nov 22 vs Orland Park Sting FC · Sat Mar 6 vs Chicago KICS Youth Soccer Club See all 10 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 2 | Chicago Empire FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 | 0.00 | — | +0.00 | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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No games played yet. Next: Sun Mar 7 at JaHBat · Sat Mar 13 vs Hoosier FC · Sun Mar 14 vs USA of Indiana See all 10 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 3 | Chicago KICS Youth Soccer Club | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 | 0.00 | — | +0.00 | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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No games played yet. Next: Sat Mar 6 at Chicago City Soccer Club · Sat Mar 20 vs Croatian Eagles SC · Sun Apr 4 at Chicago Rush See all 10 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 4 | Chicago Rush | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 | 0.00 | — | +0.00 | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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No games played yet. Next: Sat Nov 21 at FC1 Academy · Sun Nov 22 vs FC Stars · Sat Mar 13 at North Shore United Soccer Club See all 10 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 5 | Croatian Eagles SC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 | 0.00 | — | +0.00 | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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No games played yet. Next: Sun Nov 22 at Forward Madison · Sat Mar 13 vs JaHBat · Sun Mar 14 vs Chicago Rush See all 8 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 6 | FC Stars | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 | 0.00 | — | +0.00 | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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No games played yet. Next: Sun Nov 22 at Chicago Rush · Sat Feb 27 at Indy Premier SC · Sun Mar 7 vs North Shore United Soccer Club See all 10 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 7 | FC1 Academy | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 | 0.00 | — | +0.00 | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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No games played yet. Next: Sat Nov 21 vs Chicago Rush · Sat Mar 6 vs JB Marine Soccer Club · Sun Mar 7 vs Forward Madison See all 10 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 8 | Forward Madison | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 | 0.00 | — | +0.00 | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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No games played yet. Next: Sat Nov 21 vs North Shore United Soccer Club · Sun Nov 22 vs Croatian Eagles SC · Sat Mar 6 at Orland Park Sting FC See all 8 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 9 | Hoosier FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 | 0.00 | — | +0.00 | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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No games played yet. Next: Sat Feb 20 at JB Marine Soccer Club · Sun Mar 7 at Indy Premier SC · Sat Mar 13 at Chicago Empire FC See all 8 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 10 | Indy Premier SC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 | 0.00 | — | +0.00 | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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No games played yet. Next: Sat Nov 21 at USA of Indiana · Sat Feb 27 vs FC Stars · Sun Mar 7 vs Hoosier FC See all 8 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 11 | JaHBat | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 | 0.00 | — | +0.00 | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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No games played yet. Next: Sun Mar 7 vs Chicago Empire FC · Sat Mar 13 at Croatian Eagles SC · Sun Mar 14 at Forward Madison See all 10 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 12 | JB Marine Soccer Club | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 | 0.00 | — | +0.00 | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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No games played yet. Next: Sat Feb 20 vs Hoosier FC · Sat Feb 27 vs USA of Indiana · Sat Mar 6 at FC1 Academy See all 10 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 13 | North Shore United Soccer Club | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 | 0.00 | — | +0.00 | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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No games played yet. Next: Sat Nov 21 at Forward Madison · Sat Mar 6 at United Elite SC · Sun Mar 7 at FC Stars See all 8 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 14 | Orland Park Sting FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 | 0.00 | — | +0.00 | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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No games played yet. Next: Sun Nov 22 at Chicago City Soccer Club · Sat Mar 6 vs Forward Madison · Sat Mar 20 vs Indy Premier SC See all 10 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 15 | Team Chicago | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 | 0.00 | — | +0.00 | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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No games played yet. Next: Sun Mar 7 vs JB Marine Soccer Club · Sat Mar 20 at Hoosier FC · Sun Mar 21 at USA of Indiana See all 10 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 16 | United Elite SC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 | 0.00 | — | +0.00 | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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No games played yet. Next: Sat Nov 21 at Chicago City Soccer Club · Sat Mar 6 vs North Shore United Soccer Club · Sat Apr 3 at JaHBat See all 10 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 17 | USA of Indiana | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 | 0.00 | — | +0.00 | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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No games played yet. Next: Sat Nov 21 vs Indy Premier SC · Sat Feb 27 at JB Marine Soccer Club · Sun Mar 14 vs FC1 Academy See all 8 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.
How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.50 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.