TableChase Clubs

Internationals SC Pre

Pre-ECNL Girls · Pre- Ohio Valley GU12 (2014-2015) · 9 teams · Internationals SC (all teams)

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3rd
5-0-2 record · 7 played
2.14 points per game
+19 goal diff · 28–9
WWWLLlast 5
100% chance of top 4 · expected finish 2.0
-0.43 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Fri Oct 23, 06:30 PM

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Internationals SC Pre
3rd · 2.14 PPG
vs
TCFC North Pre
1st · 2.40 PPG

Pinnacle Sports, OT 11v11 ↗

windrawloss

●●●○○ Toss-up to win

Most likely score 2–1 (expected goals 2.4 for, 1.5 against · 1.91 expected points)

Season so farInternationals SC PreTCFC North Pre
Position3rd1st
Record (W-D-L)5-0-24-0-1
Points per game2.142.40
Goals for / game4.02.4
Goals against / game1.31.0
Clean sheets33
Held scoreless01
Form (recent first)L L W W WW W W W L
Biggest win9–0 at WNY Flash Pre4–0 at WNY Flash Pre
Worst loss2–5 at GTFC Impact Pre0–2 vs Ohio Premier Pre- Dublin
Model rating (net goals vs avg)+1.70+0.69
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)-0.43-0.96

Common opponents: Pittsburgh Riverhounds Pre — we 7–1; they 3–0. WNY Flash Pre — we 9–0; they 4–0. Cuyahoga Valley Soccer Academy Pre — we 6–1; they 4–3. GTFC Impact Pre — we 2–5; they 1–0. Ohio Premier Pre- Dublin — we 1–2; they 0–2.

Game plan

  • Hard to break down
    TCFC North Pre concede only 1.0/game with 3 clean sheet(s).

    Patience and width: move the ball quickly side to side to pull the block apart, and treat set pieces as your best chance — rehearse two corner routines and a near-post free-kick delivery.

  • Swing game — small margins
    Win 57% / draw 19% / loss 23%.

    Games like this are decided by one set piece or one transition. Prioritise the strongest XI for the full game, be disciplined with fouls near the box, and have a clear late-game plan for both "protect the lead" and "chase".

  • They arrive in form
    TCFC North Pre have won 4 straight.

    Don't let them settle: deny the first 10 minutes of rhythm with pressure on their first pass out of the back.

If Friday goes…

Where we'd sit after the TCFC North Pre game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Internationals SC Pre – TCFC North Pre) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 6 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Win · 2.25 PPG
2nd▲ up 1 2nd▲ up 1 2nd▲ up 1
Win
2.25 PPG
2nd▲ up 1 2nd▲ up 1 2nd▲ up 1
Draw
2.00 PPG
3rd— holds 2nd▲ up 1 3rd— holds
Loss
1.88 PPG
3rd— holds 4th▼ down 1 4th▼ down 1

Can we move up this round? Yes. With a 2–1 win we finish as high as 2nd if every rival drops points, whatever the rivals do.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

34% finish 1st
100% top 4
0% below the top 4
2.0 average finish
  1. 1st 34%
  2. 2nd 43%
  3. 3rd 12%
  4. 4th 11%
  5. 5th
  6. 6th
  7. 7th
  8. 8th
  9. 9th

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 1 remaining known games (max 2.25 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 TCFC North Pre 2.40 (+0.26) 3rd (1.97) 5 of 3 pts to pass their current pace, 1 for their projection
2 Cleveland Force Pre- Blue 2.29 (+0.15) 1st (2.20) 4 of 3 pts to pass their current pace, 3 for their projection

How the results connect

25 chains · 9 teams

Paths of results that link Internationals SC Pre to TCFC North Pre through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

17 favour us
1 even
7 favour them
+2.1 goals per chain on average. The results point our way.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
1–2 2–0 7–1 0–3 2–5 0–1 6–1 3–4 9–0 0–4 1–0 1–1 4–3 0–3 0–12 2–0 3–1 3–2 2–1 Internationals SC P… 3rd Ohio Premier Pre- D… 5th Pittsburgh Riverhou… 7th GTFC Impact Pre 4th Cuyahoga Valley Soc… 8th WNY Flash Pre 9th Kings Hammer SC Bar… 6th Cleveland Force Pre… 2nd TCFC North Pre 1st

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

12 chains

Position over the season

15 game days

1st 5th 9th Aug 22 Sep 12 Sep 25 Oct 7 Oct 16 Oct 18

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty +0.69 · 3rd hardest of 9

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Fri Oct 23
06:30 PM
TCFC North Pre
1st · 4-0-1 · GD +7
Home
Pinnacle Sports
●●●○○ Toss-up
57%
2–1 1.91 2.11 Swing game

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 TCFC North Pre 5401 125+7 122.40 LWWWW -0.96 +0.99 80% 3.2
2 Cleveland Force Pre- Blue 7511 237+16 162.29 WWDWW -0.44 +0.69 100% 1.7
3 Internationals SC Pre 7502 289+19 152.14 WWWLL -0.43 +0.69 100% 2.0
4 GTFC Impact Pre 6312 159+6 101.67 LLWWW +0.61 -2.44 76% 3.7
5 Ohio Premier Pre- Dublin 7322 2315+8 111.57 DLDLW -0.04 -0.91 39% 4.6
6 Kings Hammer SC Barcelona 5122 811-3 51.00 DWDLL +0.96 -1.59 5% 6.2
7 Pittsburgh Riverhounds Pre 6204 1218-6 61.00 LLWLW +0.58 -1.83 0% 6.6
8 Cuyahoga Valley Soccer Academy Pre 6105 1119-8 30.50 WLLLL +0.09 +0.30 0% 8.0
9 WNY Flash Pre 5005 140-39 00.00 LLLLL +0.77 +0.12 0% 9.0

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.40 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.