TableChase Clubs

Ohio Galaxies FC BSA Celtic White

Pre-ECNL Girls · Pre- Ohio Valley GU11 (2015-2016) · 11 teams · Ohio Galaxies FC (all teams)

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1st
8-2-0 record · 10 played
2.60 points per game
+20 goal diff · 27–7
WDWWWlast 5
100% chance of top 4 · expected finish 1.0
-0.21 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game

No remaining games on the published schedule.

Climbing the table

Top of the table. The job is to stay there: see the path below for where points are most at risk.

Position over the season

18 game days

1st 6th 11th Aug 22 Aug 30 Sep 19 Sep 27 Oct 4 Oct 11 Oct 18

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

No remaining games published.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 Ohio Galaxies FC BSA Celtic White 10820 277+20 262.60 WDWWW -0.21 — 100% 1.0
2 Ohio Elite SA Pre 9711 2310+13 222.44 LWWWW -0.13 +0.02 100% 2.5
3 FC Pride Elite Pre- 2 7511 286+22 162.29 WDWWW -0.43 +0.20 98% 2.6
4 Lakota FC Black 7403 86+2 121.71 WLWWL +0.06 -0.34 34% 4.8
5 Lexington Sporting Pre- Green 6303 109+1 91.50 WWLLW -0.56 +0.82 2% 6.8
6 Racing Academy Pre 4202 98+1 61.50 WLLW +0.63 -0.51 64% 4.4
7 FC Dayton Pre 8314 1517-2 101.25 LLWWW -0.03 -0.27 1% 6.6
8 Mercury Pre- West 6204 511-6 61.00 LWLLL +0.53 -0.69 1% 7.3
9 Mercury Pre- North 7115 622-16 40.57 DLLWL +0.21 +0.00 0% 9.4
10 Cincinnati West Academy Elite II 9126 827-19 50.56 DLLLL +0.15 +0.37 0% 9.6
11 Total Futbol Academy Elite 2 7007 117-16 00.00 LLLLL +0.21 +0.00 0% 10.9

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (1.72 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.