PDA South Pre- White
Pre-ECNL Girls · Pre- Northeast GU11 · 8 teams · PDA South (all teams)
Next game — Sat Oct 24, 09:00 AM
Westampton Sports Complex, Field 2 ↗
●●●○○ Toss-up to win
Most likely score 1–1 (expected goals 2.0 for, 1.5 against · 1.70 expected points)
| Season so far | PDA South Pre- White | Match Fit Surf Pre- Blue |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 7th | 8th |
| Record (W-D-L) | 0-1-5 | 0-0-4 |
| Points per game | 0.17 | 0.00 |
| Goals for / game | 0.3 | 0.5 |
| Goals against / game | 4.0 | 5.0 |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 0 |
| Held scoreless | 3 | 2 |
| Form (recent first) | L D L | L L L |
| Biggest win | — | — |
| Worst loss | 0–10 vs Match Fit Surf Pre- White | 0–7 at West-Mont United Pre |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | -1.32 | -1.99 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | +1.12 | +1.13 |
Common opponents: YMS Pre — we 0–4; they 0–3. West-Mont United Pre — we 0–0; they 0–7. Match Fit Surf Pre- White — we 0–10; they 1–7.
Game plan
-
They struggle to score
Match Fit Surf Pre- Blue average 0.5 goals/game (league avg 1.8); blanked in 2 of 4.A higher defensive line and an aggressive counter-press are low-risk here. Keep the back line connected to midfield so one long ball doesn't turn into a 1v1 — that is the only way this opponent scores.
-
They leak goals — be greedy
Match Fit Surf Pre- Blue concede 5.0/game; worst result 0–7 at West-Mont United Pre.Commit numbers forward, shoot early and often, and attack second balls. Goal difference is the tiebreaker on PPG, so keep playing to score for the full game — rotate players rather than pace.
-
Finishing wins the tight ones
Held scoreless 3 time(s): 0–4 at YMS Pre, 0–0 at West-Mont United Pre, 0–10 vs Match Fit Surf Pre- White.Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.
-
Swing game — small margins
Win 49% / draw 22% / loss 29%.Games like this are decided by one set piece or one transition. Prioritise the strongest XI for the full game, be disciplined with fouls near the box, and have a clear late-game plan for both "protect the lead" and "chase".
-
Confidence is low on their side
Match Fit Surf Pre- Blue have lost 3 straight (form: LLL).Teams on losing runs go quiet after conceding. An early goal usually ends the contest — start fast.
-
Early kickoff
Game time 09:00 AM.Light breakfast 2+ hours before, longer warm-up, and a loud start — early games are won by whoever is awake at the whistle.
If Saturday goes…
Where we'd sit after the Match Fit Surf Pre- Blue game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (PDA South Pre- White – Match Fit Surf Pre- Blue) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 0 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.
| Our result | Rivals don't play | Likely results | Every rival wins |
|---|---|---|---|
| – Draw · 0.29 PPG |
7th— holds | 7th— holds | 7th— holds |
| Win 0.57 PPG |
7th— holds | 7th— holds | 7th— holds |
| Draw 0.29 PPG |
7th— holds | 7th— holds | 7th— holds |
| Loss 0.14 PPG |
8th▼ down 1 | 8th▼ down 1 | 8th▼ down 1 |
Can we move up this round? No. With a 1–1 draw we stay 7th even if every rival loses, whatever the rivals do.
Where we finish
2,000 simulated seasons
- 1st
- 2nd
- 3rd
- 4th
- 5th 1%
- 6th 39%
- 7th 37%
- 8th 23%
Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.
Climbing the table
What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 14 remaining known games (max 2.15 PPG if we win out).
| # | Team | PPG | Proj. | To pass them |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | West-Mont United Pre | 2.50 (+2.33) | 2nd (2.30) | 49 of 42 pts to pass their current pace, 46 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule |
| 2 | Reading Rage Surf Pre | 2.40 (+2.23) | 1st (2.39) | 47 of 42 pts to pass their current pace, 47 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule |
| 3 | YMS Pre | 2.00 (+1.83) | 3rd (1.96) | 39 of 42 pts to pass their current pace, 39 for their projection |
| 4 | Keystone Athletic Pre | 1.57 (+1.40) | 4th (1.64) | 31 of 42 pts to pass their current pace, 32 for their projection |
| 5 | FC Europa Pre | 1.20 (+1.03) | 5th (1.36) | 23 of 42 pts to pass their current pace, 27 for their projection |
| 6 | WNY Flash Binghamton Pre | 0.75 (+0.58) | 7th (0.56) | 14 of 42 pts to pass their current pace, 11 for their projection |
How the results connect
4 chains · 4 teams
Paths of results that link PDA South Pre- White to Match Fit Surf Pre- Blue through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.
Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.
Step through the chains with the arrows, or tap one on the map.
Position over the season
6 game days
The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.
The path
run-in difficulty -0.12 · 3rd hardest of 8
| Date | Opponent | Where | Difficulty | Win | Likely | Exp. pts | Run. PPG | Priority |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat Oct 24 09:00 AM |
Match Fit Surf Pre- Blue 8th · 0-0-4 · GD -18 |
Home Westampton Sports Complex |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 49% |
1–1 | 1.70 | 0.39 | Swing game |
| Sun Oct 25 12:00 PM |
PA Rush Pre |
Home Westampton Sports Complex |
●●●●● Very tough | 18% |
1–2 | 0.73 | 0.43 | Upside |
| Sat Nov 7 12:30 PM |
Delaware FC Pre |
Home Westampton Sports Complex |
●●●●● Very tough | 18% |
1–2 | 0.73 | 0.46 | Upside |
| Sat Nov 14 10:00 AM |
FC Europa Pre 5th · 2-0-3 · GD +1 |
Away far trip
YSC Sports |
●●●●● Very tough | 14% |
1–2 | 0.60 | 0.48 | Upside |
| Sat Feb 27 TBD |
Match Fit Surf Pre- Blue 8th · 0-0-4 · GD -18 |
Away |
●●●●○ Tough | 40% |
1–1 | 1.42 | 0.56 | Upside |
| Sat Mar 6 TBD |
Keystone Athletic Pre 4th · 3-2-2 · GD +4 |
Away |
●●●●● Very tough | 9% |
0–2 | 0.41 | 0.55 | Upside |
| Sat Mar 13 12:00 PM |
Reading Rage Surf Pre 2nd · 4-0-1 · GD +21 |
Home Westampton Sports Complex |
●●●●● Very tough | 3% |
0–4 | 0.14 | 0.52 | Upside |
| Sat Mar 20 12:00 PM |
WNY Flash Binghamton Pre 6th · 1-0-3 · GD -22 |
Home Westampton Sports Complex |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 53% |
2–1 | 1.81 | 0.61 | Swing game |
| Sat Apr 10 TBD |
Reading Rage Surf Pre 2nd · 4-0-1 · GD +21 |
Away |
●●●●● Very tough | 1% |
0–4 | 0.08 | 0.57 | Upside |
| Sat Apr 17 TBD |
WNY Flash Binghamton Pre 6th · 1-0-3 · GD -22 |
Away |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 44% |
1–1 | 1.54 | 0.63 | Swing game |
| Sat May 1 12:30 PM |
West-Mont United Pre 1st · 3-1-0 · GD +13 |
Home Westampton Sports Complex |
●●●●● Very tough | 5% |
0–2 | 0.24 | 0.61 | Upside |
| Sat May 8 12:00 PM |
YMS Pre 3rd · 4-0-2 · GD +7 |
Home Westampton Sports Complex |
●●●●● Very tough | 9% |
0–2 | 0.43 | 0.60 | Upside |
| Sat May 15 09:00 AM |
FC Europa Pre 5th · 2-0-3 · GD +1 |
Home Westampton Sports Complex |
●●●●● Very tough | 20% |
1–2 | 0.81 | 0.61 | Upside |
| Sat May 22 09:00 AM |
Keystone Athletic Pre 4th · 3-2-2 · GD +4 |
Home Westampton Sports Complex |
●●●●● Very tough | 14% |
1–2 | 0.58 | 0.61 | Upside |
"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.
Standings
| # | Team | GP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | Form | SoS | Run-in | Top 4 | Exp. finish | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | West-Mont United Pre | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 1 | +13 | 10 | 2.50 | WDW | -0.81 | -0.17 | 100% | 1.8 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Nov 7 vs Match Fit Surf Pre- White · Sat Nov 14 vs PA Rush Pre · Sun Nov 15 at WNY Flash Binghamton Pre See all 14 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2 | Reading Rage Surf Pre | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 27 | 6 | +21 | 12 | 2.40 | WWWW | -0.97 | -0.32 | 100% | 1.5 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 vs PDA South Pre- Blue · Sat Nov 7 vs NLSA Surf Pre · Sun Dec 6 vs FC Europa Pre See all 14 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 3 | YMS Pre | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 3 | +7 | 12 | 2.00 | WWL | -0.52 | -0.13 | 97% | 3.0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 vs Match Fit Surf Pre- White · Sat Nov 7 vs PA Rush Pre · Sun Nov 8 vs Delaware FC Pre See all 14 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 4 | Keystone Athletic Pre | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 11 | +4 | 11 | 1.57 | WWLWD | -0.10 | -0.19 | 81% | 4.0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Sep 27 vs Cherry Hill FC Pre · Sun Oct 25 vs NLSA Surf Pre · Sun Nov 8 at Match Fit Surf Pre- Blue See all 13 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 5 | FC Europa Pre | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 9 | +1 | 6 | 1.20 | LLWW | +0.34 | -0.14 | 22% | 4.8 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Nov 7 vs Match Fit Surf Pre- Blue · Sun Nov 8 vs Cherry Hill FC Pre · Sat Nov 14 vs PDA South Pre- White See all 14 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 6 | WNY Flash Binghamton Pre | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 24 | -22 | 3 | 0.75 | LLW | +1.26 | -0.01 | 0% | 6.9 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Nov 15 vs NLSA Surf Pre · Sun Nov 15 vs West-Mont United Pre · Sat Nov 21 vs PDA South Pre- Blue See all 15 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 7 | PDA South Pre- White | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 24 | -22 | 1 | 0.17 | LDL | +1.12 | -0.12 | 0% | 6.8 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs Match Fit Surf Pre- Blue · Sun Oct 25 vs PA Rush Pre · Sat Nov 7 vs Delaware FC Pre See all 14 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 8 | Match Fit Surf Pre- Blue | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 20 | -18 | 0 | 0.00 | LLL | +1.13 | -0.02 | 0% | 7.2 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at PDA South Pre- White · Sun Oct 25 vs Delaware FC Pre · Sun Nov 1 vs PA Rush Pre See all 14 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.
How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (1.77 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.