TableChase Clubs

PDA South Pre- White

Pre-ECNL Girls · Pre- Northeast GU11 · 8 teams · PDA South (all teams)

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7th
0-1-5 record · 6 played
0.17 points per game
-22 goal diff · 2–24
LDLlast 3
0% chance of top 4 · expected finish 6.8
+1.12 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sat Oct 24, 09:00 AM

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PDA South Pre- White
7th · 0.17 PPG
vs

Westampton Sports Complex, Field 2 ↗

windrawloss

●●●○○ Toss-up to win

Most likely score 1–1 (expected goals 2.0 for, 1.5 against · 1.70 expected points)

Season so farPDA South Pre- WhiteMatch Fit Surf Pre- Blue
Position7th8th
Record (W-D-L)0-1-50-0-4
Points per game0.170.00
Goals for / game0.30.5
Goals against / game4.05.0
Clean sheets10
Held scoreless32
Form (recent first)L D LL L L
Biggest win——
Worst loss0–10 vs Match Fit Surf Pre- White0–7 at West-Mont United Pre
Model rating (net goals vs avg)-1.32-1.99
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)+1.12+1.13

Common opponents: YMS Pre — we 0–4; they 0–3. West-Mont United Pre — we 0–0; they 0–7. Match Fit Surf Pre- White — we 0–10; they 1–7.

Game plan

  • They struggle to score
    Match Fit Surf Pre- Blue average 0.5 goals/game (league avg 1.8); blanked in 2 of 4.

    A higher defensive line and an aggressive counter-press are low-risk here. Keep the back line connected to midfield so one long ball doesn't turn into a 1v1 — that is the only way this opponent scores.

  • They leak goals — be greedy
    Match Fit Surf Pre- Blue concede 5.0/game; worst result 0–7 at West-Mont United Pre.

    Commit numbers forward, shoot early and often, and attack second balls. Goal difference is the tiebreaker on PPG, so keep playing to score for the full game — rotate players rather than pace.

  • Finishing wins the tight ones
    Held scoreless 3 time(s): 0–4 at YMS Pre, 0–0 at West-Mont United Pre, 0–10 vs Match Fit Surf Pre- White.

    Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.

  • Swing game — small margins
    Win 49% / draw 22% / loss 29%.

    Games like this are decided by one set piece or one transition. Prioritise the strongest XI for the full game, be disciplined with fouls near the box, and have a clear late-game plan for both "protect the lead" and "chase".

  • Confidence is low on their side
    Match Fit Surf Pre- Blue have lost 3 straight (form: LLL).

    Teams on losing runs go quiet after conceding. An early goal usually ends the contest — start fast.

  • Early kickoff
    Game time 09:00 AM.

    Light breakfast 2+ hours before, longer warm-up, and a loud start — early games are won by whoever is awake at the whistle.

If Saturday goes…

Where we'd sit after the Match Fit Surf Pre- Blue game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (PDA South Pre- White – Match Fit Surf Pre- Blue) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 0 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Draw · 0.29 PPG
7th— holds 7th— holds 7th— holds
Win
0.57 PPG
7th— holds 7th— holds 7th— holds
Draw
0.29 PPG
7th— holds 7th— holds 7th— holds
Loss
0.14 PPG
8th▼ down 1 8th▼ down 1 8th▼ down 1

Can we move up this round? No. With a 1–1 draw we stay 7th even if every rival loses, whatever the rivals do.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

0% finish 1st
0% top 4
100% below the top 4
6.8 average finish
  1. 1st
  2. 2nd
  3. 3rd
  4. 4th
  5. 5th 1%
  6. 6th 39%
  7. 7th 37%
  8. 8th 23%

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 14 remaining known games (max 2.15 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 West-Mont United Pre 2.50 (+2.33) 2nd (2.30) 49 of 42 pts to pass their current pace, 46 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
2 Reading Rage Surf Pre 2.40 (+2.23) 1st (2.39) 47 of 42 pts to pass their current pace, 47 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
3 YMS Pre 2.00 (+1.83) 3rd (1.96) 39 of 42 pts to pass their current pace, 39 for their projection
4 Keystone Athletic Pre 1.57 (+1.40) 4th (1.64) 31 of 42 pts to pass their current pace, 32 for their projection
5 FC Europa Pre 1.20 (+1.03) 5th (1.36) 23 of 42 pts to pass their current pace, 27 for their projection
6 WNY Flash Binghamton Pre 0.75 (+0.58) 7th (0.56) 14 of 42 pts to pass their current pace, 11 for their projection

How the results connect

4 chains · 4 teams

Paths of results that link PDA South Pre- White to Match Fit Surf Pre- Blue through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

3 favour us
1 favour them
+3.0 goals per chain on average. The results point our way.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
0–4 3–0 0–0 7–0 0–1 PDA South Pre- White 7th YMS Pre 3rd West-Mont United Pre 1st Match Fit Surf Pre-… 8th

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

4 chains

Position over the season

6 game days

1st 4th 8th Sep 13 Sep 26 Oct 3 Oct 4 Oct 17 Oct 18

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty -0.12 · 3rd hardest of 8

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sat Oct 24
09:00 AM
Match Fit Surf Pre- Blue
8th · 0-0-4 · GD -18
Home
Westampton Sports Complex
●●●○○ Toss-up
49%
1–1 1.70 0.39 Swing game
Sun Oct 25
12:00 PM
PA Rush Pre
Home
Westampton Sports Complex
●●●●● Very tough
18%
1–2 0.73 0.43 Upside
Sat Nov 7
12:30 PM
Delaware FC Pre
Home
Westampton Sports Complex
●●●●● Very tough
18%
1–2 0.73 0.46 Upside
Sat Nov 14
10:00 AM
FC Europa Pre
5th · 2-0-3 · GD +1
Away far trip
YSC Sports
●●●●● Very tough
14%
1–2 0.60 0.48 Upside
Sat Feb 27
TBD
Match Fit Surf Pre- Blue
8th · 0-0-4 · GD -18
Away
●●●●○ Tough
40%
1–1 1.42 0.56 Upside
Sat Mar 6
TBD
Keystone Athletic Pre
4th · 3-2-2 · GD +4
Away
●●●●● Very tough
9%
0–2 0.41 0.55 Upside
Sat Mar 13
12:00 PM
Reading Rage Surf Pre
2nd · 4-0-1 · GD +21
Home
Westampton Sports Complex
●●●●● Very tough
3%
0–4 0.14 0.52 Upside
Sat Mar 20
12:00 PM
WNY Flash Binghamton Pre
6th · 1-0-3 · GD -22
Home
Westampton Sports Complex
●●●○○ Toss-up
53%
2–1 1.81 0.61 Swing game
Sat Apr 10
TBD
Reading Rage Surf Pre
2nd · 4-0-1 · GD +21
Away
●●●●● Very tough
1%
0–4 0.08 0.57 Upside
Sat Apr 17
TBD
WNY Flash Binghamton Pre
6th · 1-0-3 · GD -22
Away
●●●○○ Toss-up
44%
1–1 1.54 0.63 Swing game
Sat May 1
12:30 PM
West-Mont United Pre
1st · 3-1-0 · GD +13
Home
Westampton Sports Complex
●●●●● Very tough
5%
0–2 0.24 0.61 Upside
Sat May 8
12:00 PM
YMS Pre
3rd · 4-0-2 · GD +7
Home
Westampton Sports Complex
●●●●● Very tough
9%
0–2 0.43 0.60 Upside
Sat May 15
09:00 AM
FC Europa Pre
5th · 2-0-3 · GD +1
Home
Westampton Sports Complex
●●●●● Very tough
20%
1–2 0.81 0.61 Upside
Sat May 22
09:00 AM
Keystone Athletic Pre
4th · 3-2-2 · GD +4
Home
Westampton Sports Complex
●●●●● Very tough
14%
1–2 0.58 0.61 Upside

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 West-Mont United Pre 4310 141+13 102.50 WDW -0.81 -0.17 100% 1.8
2 Reading Rage Surf Pre 5401 276+21 122.40 WWWW -0.97 -0.32 100% 1.5
3 YMS Pre 6402 103+7 122.00 WWL -0.52 -0.13 97% 3.0
4 Keystone Athletic Pre 7322 1511+4 111.57 WWLWD -0.10 -0.19 81% 4.0
5 FC Europa Pre 5203 109+1 61.20 LLWW +0.34 -0.14 22% 4.8
6 WNY Flash Binghamton Pre 4103 224-22 30.75 LLW +1.26 -0.01 0% 6.9
7 PDA South Pre- White 6015 224-22 10.17 LDL +1.12 -0.12 0% 6.8
8 Match Fit Surf Pre- Blue 4004 220-18 00.00 LLL +1.13 -0.02 0% 7.2

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (1.77 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.