AC Florida West Pre
Pre-ECNL Girls · Pre- Florida GU12 · 8 teams · AC Florida West (all teams)
Next game — Sun Nov 8, 10:00 AM
Pelican Soccer Complex, Field 1 ↗
●○○○○ Favorable to win
Most likely score 4–0 (expected goals 4.4 for, 0.6 against · 2.86 expected points)
| Season so far | AC Florida West Pre | Cape Coral SA Pre |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 1st | 6th |
| Record (W-D-L) | 4-0-0 | 1-0-3 |
| Points per game | 3.00 | 0.75 |
| Goals for / game | 8.0 | 0.3 |
| Goals against / game | 0.3 | 1.8 |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 1 |
| Held scoreless | 0 | 3 |
| Form (recent first) | W W W W | W L L L |
| Biggest win | 9–0 vs Fort Lauderdale United FC Pre | 1–0 vs Fort Lauderdale United FC Pre |
| Worst loss | — | 0–3 at Athletic Club Florida Miami Pre |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | +3.86 | -0.87 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | -1.11 | -0.11 |
Common opponents: Fort Lauderdale United FC Pre — we 6–0, 9–0; they 1–0. SFFA Pre — we 8–0; they 0–2.
Game plan
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They struggle to score
Cape Coral SA Pre average 0.2 goals/game (league avg 2.1); blanked in 3 of 4.A higher defensive line and an aggressive counter-press are low-risk here. Keep the back line connected to midfield so one long ball doesn't turn into a 1v1 — that is the only way this opponent scores.
-
Expected win — the trap is complacency
Model gives a 94% chance; likely score 4–0.Treat the first 15 minutes like a final: score early, then the game manages itself. This is the ideal game to give rotation players real minutes in the second half without risking points.
-
Away game
Kickoff 10:00 AM at Pelican Soccer Complex.Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.
If Sunday goes…
Where we'd sit after the Cape Coral SA Pre game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (AC Florida West Pre – Cape Coral SA Pre) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 6 other games that week (Mon Nov 2 – Sun Nov 8); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.
| Our result | Rivals don't play | Likely results | Every rival wins |
|---|---|---|---|
| – Win · 3.00 PPG |
1st— holds | 1st— holds | 1st— holds |
| Win 3.00 PPG |
1st— holds | 1st— holds | 1st— holds |
| Draw 2.60 PPG |
1st— holds | 1st— holds | 2nd▼ down 1 |
| Loss 2.40 PPG |
2nd▼ down 1 | 2nd▼ down 1 | 4th▼ down 3 |
Can we move up this round? No. With a 4–0 win we stay 1st even if every rival loses, whatever the rivals do.
Where we finish
2,000 simulated seasons
- 1st 99%
- 2nd 1%
- 3rd <1%
- 4th
- 5th
- 6th
- 7th
- 8th
Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.
Climbing the table
Top of the table. The job is to stay there: see the path below for where points are most at risk.
How the results connect
14 chains · 7 teams
Paths of results that link AC Florida West Pre to Cape Coral SA Pre through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.
Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.
Step through the chains with the arrows, or tap one on the map.
Position over the season
10 game days
The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.
The path
run-in difficulty -0.19 · 8th hardest of 8
| Date | Opponent | Where | Difficulty | Win | Likely | Exp. pts | Run. PPG | Priority |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun Aug 23 TBD no score posted |
ACF Sunrise Pre 8th · 0-0-4 · GD -14 |
Home |
●○○○○ Favorable | 99% |
8–0 | 2.99 | 3.00 | Bank it |
| Sun Sep 13 01:00 PM no score posted |
Cape Coral SA Pre 6th · 1-0-3 · GD -6 |
Home JetBlue Park |
●○○○○ Favorable | 96% |
4–0 | 2.92 | 2.98 | Bank it |
| Sat Sep 19 02:00 PM no score posted |
Athletic Club Florida Miami Pre 4th · 3-0-1 · GD +5 |
Home JetBlue Park |
●○○○○ Favorable | 86% |
4–1 | 2.67 | 2.94 | Bank it |
| Sun Nov 8 10:00 AM |
Cape Coral SA Pre 6th · 1-0-3 · GD -6 |
Away Pelican Soccer Complex |
●○○○○ Favorable | 94% |
4–0 | 2.86 | 2.93 | Bank it |
| Sun Jan 10 12:30 PM |
Athletic Club Florida Pre 2nd · 3-1-0 · GD +10 |
Home Bayshore Sports Complex |
●○○○○ Favorable | 78% |
3–1 | 2.46 | 2.88 | Bank it |
| Sat Mar 6 03:00 PM |
Athletic Club Florida Pre 2nd · 3-1-0 · GD +10 |
Away far trip
Nob Hill Soccer Park |
●●○○○ Lean win | 69% |
2–1 | 2.23 | 2.81 | Swing game |
| Sun Mar 7 10:15 AM |
Athletic Club Florida Miami Pre 4th · 3-0-1 · GD +5 |
Away far trip
Miami Dade College |
●○○○○ Favorable | 79% |
3–1 | 2.50 | 2.78 | Bank it |
| Sat Apr 10 03:00 PM |
Team Boca Pre 5th · 2-1-2 · GD -1 |
Away far trip
Fau Glades |
●○○○○ Favorable | 92% |
5–1 | 2.80 | 2.79 | Bank it |
| Sun Apr 11 12:00 PM |
SFFA Pre 3rd · 4-0-1 · GD +5 |
Away far trip
Canyon District Park |
●○○○○ Favorable | 83% |
4–1 | 2.58 | 2.77 | Bank it |
| Sun Apr 18 TBD |
ACF Sunrise Pre 8th · 0-0-4 · GD -14 |
Away |
●○○○○ Favorable | 99% |
7–0 | 2.98 | 2.78 | Bank it |
"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.
Standings
| # | Team | GP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | Form | SoS | Run-in | Top 4 | Exp. finish | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| 1 | AC Florida West Pre | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 32 | 1 | +31 | 12 | 3.00 | WWWW | -1.11 | -0.19 | 100% | 1.0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Aug 23 vs ACF Sunrise Pre · Sun Sep 13 vs Cape Coral SA Pre · Sat Sep 19 vs Athletic Club Florida Miami Pre See all 10 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 2 | Athletic Club Florida Pre | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 2 | +10 | 10 | 2.50 | DWWW | -1.37 | +0.46 | 97% | 2.7 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Fri Nov 6 vs Athletic Club Florida Miami Pre · Sat Nov 7 vs Team Boca Pre · Sun Nov 8 vs SFFA Pre See all 10 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 3 | SFFA Pre | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 8 | +5 | 12 | 2.40 | WWLWW | -0.19 | +0.13 | 93% | 3.1 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 31 vs Team Boca Pre · Sat Nov 7 at Athletic Club Florida Miami Pre · Sun Nov 8 at Athletic Club Florida Pre See all 9 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 4 | Athletic Club Florida Miami Pre | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 4 | +5 | 9 | 2.25 | WLWW | -0.76 | +0.32 | 89% | 3.5 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Sep 19 at AC Florida West Pre · Fri Nov 6 at Athletic Club Florida Pre · Sat Nov 7 vs SFFA Pre See all 10 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 5 | Team Boca Pre | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 7 | 1.40 | LDWLW | +0.20 | +0.06 | 21% | 4.8 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 31 at SFFA Pre · Sat Nov 7 at Athletic Club Florida Pre · Sat Jan 23 at Athletic Club Florida Miami Pre See all 9 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 6 | Cape Coral SA Pre | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 7 | -6 | 3 | 0.75 | LLLW | -0.11 | +0.34 | 0% | 6.1 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Sep 12 at ACF Sunrise Pre · Sun Sep 13 at AC Florida West Pre · Sat Nov 7 vs ACF Sunrise Pre See all 10 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 7 | Fort Lauderdale United FC Pre | 8 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 5 | 35 | -30 | 3 | 0.38 | LLLLL | +0.89 | -0.12 | 0% | 7.4 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Nov 8 at ACF Sunrise Pre · Sat Jan 30 vs Athletic Club Florida Pre · Sun Jan 31 vs Athletic Club Florida Miami Pre See all 6 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 8 | ACF Sunrise Pre | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 16 | -14 | 0 | 0.00 | LLLL | -0.15 | +0.63 | 0% | 7.4 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Aug 23 at AC Florida West Pre · Sat Sep 12 vs Cape Coral SA Pre · Sat Nov 7 at Cape Coral SA Pre See all 10 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.
How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.12 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.