FC Pride Elite Pre- 2
Pre-ECNL Boys · Pre- Ohio Valley BU12 (2014-2015) 9v9 · 5 teams · FC Pride (all teams)
Next game — Sat Nov 7, 02:30 PM
Seven Hills School, Lower Field 7v7 & 9v9 ↗ far trip
●●○○○ Lean win to win
Most likely score 3–2 (expected goals 3.5 for, 2.4 against · 1.97 expected points)
| Season so far | FC Pride Elite Pre- 2 | Ohio Elite SA Pre |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 4th | 5th |
| Record (W-D-L) | 1-1-5 | 0-1-4 |
| Points per game | 0.57 | 0.20 |
| Goals for / game | 2.1 | 1.0 |
| Goals against / game | 4.0 | 5.8 |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 |
| Held scoreless | 1 | 3 |
| Form (recent first) | L L L L L | L L L D L |
| Biggest win | 6–2 vs Ohio Elite SA Pre | — |
| Worst loss | 0–7 at LouCity Academy Pre- 2 | 0–9 at LouCity Academy Pre- 2 |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | -1.05 | -2.69 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | +0.78 | +0.99 |
Already played this season: Sun Sep 13 6–2 vs Ohio Elite SA Pre (W)
Common opponents: Union FC Indy Teal II — we 3–3, 1–5; they 3–3. Total Futbol Academy Elite 2 — we 1–5, 3–4; they 0–6. LouCity Academy Pre- 2 — we 0–7, 1–2; they 0–5, 0–9.
Game plan
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They struggle to score
Ohio Elite SA Pre average 1.0 goals/game (league avg 3.0); blanked in 3 of 5.A higher defensive line and an aggressive counter-press are low-risk here. Keep the back line connected to midfield so one long ball doesn't turn into a 1v1 — that is the only way this opponent scores.
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They leak goals — be greedy
Ohio Elite SA Pre concede 5.8/game; worst result 0–9 at LouCity Academy Pre- 2.Commit numbers forward, shoot early and often, and attack second balls. Goal difference is the tiebreaker on PPG, so keep playing to score for the full game — rotate players rather than pace.
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Finishing wins the tight ones
Held scoreless 1 time(s): 0–7 at LouCity Academy Pre- 2.Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.
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Swing game — small margins
Win 61% / draw 15% / loss 24%.Games like this are decided by one set piece or one transition. Prioritise the strongest XI for the full game, be disciplined with fouls near the box, and have a clear late-game plan for both "protect the lead" and "chase".
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Confidence is low on their side
Ohio Elite SA Pre have lost 3 straight (form: LDLLL).Teams on losing runs go quiet after conceding. An early goal usually ends the contest — start fast.
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Away game
Kickoff 02:30 PM at Seven Hills School.Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.
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What a win does
Union FC Indy Teal II sit 3rd on 0.83 PPG; we are on 0.57.A point moves us above Union FC Indy Teal II on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.
If Saturday goes…
Where we'd sit after the Ohio Elite SA Pre game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (FC Pride Elite Pre- 2 – Ohio Elite SA Pre) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 1 other games that week (Mon Nov 2 – Sun Nov 8); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.
| Our result | Rivals don't play | Likely results | Every rival wins |
|---|---|---|---|
| – Win · 0.88 PPG |
3rd▲ up 1 | 3rd▲ up 1 | 3rd▲ up 1 |
| Win 0.88 PPG |
3rd▲ up 1 | 3rd▲ up 1 | 3rd▲ up 1 |
| Draw 0.63 PPG |
4th— holds | 4th— holds | 4th— holds |
| Loss 0.50 PPG |
5th▼ down 1 | 5th▼ down 1 | 5th▼ down 1 |
Can we move up this round? Yes. With a 3–2 win we finish as high as 3rd if every rival drops points, whatever the rivals do.
Where we finish
2,000 simulated seasons
- 1st
- 2nd
- 3rd 9%
- 4th 86%
- 5th 6%
Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.
Climbing the table
What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 1 remaining known games (max 0.88 PPG if we win out).
| # | Team | PPG | Proj. | To pass them |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Total Futbol Academy Elite 2 | 3.00 (+2.43) | 1st (2.71) | 20 of 3 pts to pass their current pace, 18 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule |
| 2 | LouCity Academy Pre- 2 | 2.50 (+1.93) | 2nd (2.45) | 16 of 3 pts to pass their current pace, 16 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule |
| 3 | Union FC Indy Teal II | 0.83 (+0.26) | 3rd (0.99) | A point next game |
How the results connect
29 chains · 5 teams
Paths of results that link FC Pride Elite Pre- 2 to Ohio Elite SA Pre through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.
Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.
Step through the chains with the arrows, or tap one on the map.
Position over the season
11 game days
The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.
The path
run-in difficulty -2.69 · 5th hardest of 5
| Date | Opponent | Where | Difficulty | Win | Likely | Exp. pts | Run. PPG | Priority |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat Nov 7 02:30 PM |
Ohio Elite SA Pre 5th · 0-1-4 · GD -24 |
Away far trip
Seven Hills School |
●●○○○ Lean win | 61% |
3–2 | 1.97 | 0.75 | Swing game |
"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.
Standings
| # | Team | GP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | Form | SoS | Run-in | Top 4 | Exp. finish | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| 1 | Total Futbol Academy Elite 2 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 29 | 13 | +16 | 18 | 3.00 | WWWWW | -0.46 | -0.23 | 100% | 1.5 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs Ohio Elite SA Pre · Sat Nov 7 at LouCity Academy Pre- 2 See all 2 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 2 | LouCity Academy Pre- 2 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 29 | 6 | +23 | 15 | 2.50 | WWLWW | -0.92 | +0.71 | 100% | 1.5 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 vs Union FC Indy Teal II · Sat Nov 7 vs Total Futbol Academy Elite 2 See all 2 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 3 | Union FC Indy Teal II | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 18 | -2 | 5 | 0.83 | LDLWL | +0.12 | -0.23 | 100% | 3.1 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs Ohio Elite SA Pre · Sun Oct 25 at LouCity Academy Pre- 2 See all 2 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 4 | FC Pride Elite Pre- 2 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 15 | 28 | -13 | 4 | 0.57 | LLLLL | +0.78 | -2.69 | 95% | 4.0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Nov 7 at Ohio Elite SA Pre See all 1 future matchup ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 5 | Ohio Elite SA Pre | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 29 | -24 | 1 | 0.20 | LDLLL | +0.99 | +0.13 | 6% | 4.9 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at Union FC Indy Teal II · Sat Oct 24 at Total Futbol Academy Elite 2 · Sat Nov 7 vs FC Pride Elite Pre- 2 See all 3 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.
How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (3.02 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.