TableChase Clubs

FC Dallas North Academy

Pre-ECNL Boys · Pre- North Texas BU11 · 9 teams · FC Dallas Youth (all teams)

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5th
3-0-3 record · 6 played
1.50 points per game
-3 goal diff · 14–17
WLLWLlast 5
1% chance of top 4 · expected finish 5.7
-0.35 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sat Oct 24, 11:30 AM

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FC Dallas North Academy
5th · 1.50 PPG
at

Fairview Soccer Park , Field 3B ↗

windrawloss

●●●●● Very tough to win

Most likely score 1–5 (expected goals 1.6 for, 5.8 against · 0.16 expected points)

Season so farFC Dallas North AcademyAtletico Dallas Youth Pre- Academy
Position5th2nd
Record (W-D-L)3-0-34-1-0
Points per game1.502.60
Goals for / game2.36.4
Goals against / game2.81.2
Clean sheets11
Held scoreless10
Form (recent first)L W L L WD W W W W
Biggest win4–1 vs Nido Dallas Pre Cavazos17–1 at Nido Dallas Pre Cavazos
Worst loss0–6 vs SOLAR PRE- KLASSEN—
Model rating (net goals vs avg)-0.48+3.03
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)-0.35-0.81

Common opponents: SOLAR PRE- JAIME — we 3–2; they 4–2. Nido Dallas Pre Cavazos — we 4–1; they 17–1. SOLAR PRE- KLASSEN — we 0–6; they 1–1. Oklahoma Celtic Pre — we 2–0; they 4–0. OK Energy FC Pre II — we 3–5; they 6–2.

Game plan

  • Respect their attack
    Atletico Dallas Youth Pre- Academy score 6.4/game — well above the league's 2.6.

    Deny the easy goals first: compact shape between the lines, no fouls in shooting range, and a plan for their best outlet. Score first and make them chase.

  • Hard to break down
    Atletico Dallas Youth Pre- Academy concede only 1.2/game with 1 clean sheet(s).

    Patience and width: move the ball quickly side to side to pull the block apart, and treat set pieces as your best chance — rehearse two corner routines and a near-post free-kick delivery.

  • Finishing wins the tight ones
    Held scoreless 1 time(s): 0–6 vs SOLAR PRE- KLASSEN.

    Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.

  • Underdog — play free, stay organised
    Model gives 4%; a draw (5%) would be a good result.

    Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.

  • Away game
    Kickoff 11:30 AM at Fairview Soccer Park .

    Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.

  • What a win does
    OK Energy FC Pre II sit 4th on 1.63 PPG; we are on 1.50.

    A point moves us above OK Energy FC Pre II on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.

If Saturday goes…

Where we'd sit after the Atletico Dallas Youth Pre- Academy game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (FC Dallas North Academy – Atletico Dallas Youth Pre- Academy) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 2 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Loss · 1.29 PPG
6th▼ down 1 6th▼ down 1 6th▼ down 1
Win
1.71 PPG
4th▲ up 1 4th▲ up 1 4th▲ up 1
Draw
1.43 PPG
5th— holds 5th— holds 5th— holds
Loss
1.29 PPG
6th▼ down 1 6th▼ down 1 6th▼ down 1

Can we move up this round? No. With a 1–5 loss we fall to at least 6th even if every rival loses, whatever the rivals do.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

0% finish 1st
1% top 4
99% below the top 4
5.7 average finish
  1. 1st
  2. 2nd
  3. 3rd <1%
  4. 4th 1%
  5. 5th 33%
  6. 6th 60%
  7. 7th 6%
  8. 8th
  9. 9th

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 2 remaining known games (max 1.88 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 Dallas Texans Pre- McKinney 3.00 (+1.50) 2nd (2.50) 15 of 6 pts to pass their current pace, 11 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
2 Atletico Dallas Youth Pre- Academy 2.60 (+1.10) 1st (2.54) 12 of 6 pts to pass their current pace, 12 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
3 SOLAR PRE- KLASSEN 2.50 (+1.00) 3rd (2.41) 11 of 6 pts to pass their current pace, 11 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
4 OK Energy FC Pre II 1.63 (+0.13) 4th (1.63) A point next game

How the results connect

20 chains · 8 teams

Paths of results that link FC Dallas North Academy to Atletico Dallas Youth Pre- Academy through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

1 favour us
1 even
18 favour them
-6.0 goals per chain on average. The results point their way.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
3–2 2–4 2–0 0–4 3–5 2–6 0–6 1–1 4–1 1–17 2–3 2–3 4–0 4–0 6–0 1–3 2–1 0–3 FC Dallas North Aca… 5th SOLAR PRE- JAIME 7th Oklahoma Celtic Pre 8th OK Energy FC Pre II 4th SOLAR PRE- KLASSEN 3rd Nido Dallas Pre Cav… 9th Dallas Texans Pre- … 1st Atletico Dallas You… 2nd

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

12 chains

Position over the season

11 game days

1st 5th 9th Sep 12 Sep 19 Sep 26 Oct 3 Oct 11 Oct 18

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty +1.71 · 1st hardest of 8

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sat Oct 24
11:30 AM
Atletico Dallas Youth Pre- Academy
2nd · 4-1-0 · GD +26
Away
Fairview Soccer Park
●●●●● Very tough
4%
1–5 0.16 1.31 Upside
Sat Oct 31
11:30 AM
DKSC Pre Camargo
6th · 2-1-2 · GD +4
Home
Fairview Soccer Park
●●●●○ Tough
32%
2–2 1.14 1.29 Upside

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 Dallas Texans Pre- McKinney 5500 204+16 153.00 WWWWW -0.99 +1.10 100% 2.1
2 Atletico Dallas Youth Pre- Academy 5410 326+26 132.60 WWWWD -0.81 +0.52 100% 1.6
3 SOLAR PRE- KLASSEN 4310 123+9 102.50 WWWD +1.05 -1.21 100% 2.3
4 OK Energy FC Pre II 8413 2817+11 131.63 WLDWW -0.09 — 90% 4.1
5 FC Dallas North Academy 6303 1417-3 91.50 WLLWL -0.35 +1.71 1% 5.7
6 DKSC Pre Camargo 5212 1410+4 71.40 WLLWD -0.20 +0.47 9% 5.3
7 SOLAR PRE- JAIME 4103 715-8 30.75 LLWL -0.10 +0.50 0% 7.1
8 Oklahoma Celtic Pre 6105 317-14 30.50 LLLLW +0.17 +0.14 0% 7.7
9 Nido Dallas Pre Cavazos 7007 647-41 00.00 LLLLL +0.47 +1.41 0% 9.0

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.62 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.