Result · Sunday, Sep 20, 08:00 AM
Lonestar SAT STXCL 1–0 RISE SC STXCL
ASP / CC · Field 1 ↗ · 78254
Final
By today's ratings the model gave this result a 14% chance — an upset. Pre-match odds were 14% home, 23% draw, 63% away, most likely 0–1.
| Season so far | Lonestar SAT STXCL | RISE SC STXCL |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 7th | 5th |
| Record (W-D-L) | 2-0-2 | 4-1-1 |
| Points per game | 1.50 | 2.17 |
| Goals for / game | 0.5 | 1.8 |
| Goals against / game | 2.0 | 0.5 |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 3 |
| Held scoreless | 2 | 1 |
| Form (recent first) | L W L W | W W L D W |
| Biggest win | 1–0 at AHFC NW STXCL | 4–0 vs AHFC NW STXCL |
| Worst loss | 0–5 at Sting CC STXCL Hennessy | 0–1 at Lonestar SAT STXCL |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | -0.81 | +0.71 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | -0.12 | -0.75 |
Already met this season: Sep 20 1–0 (home for Lonestar SAT STXCL)
Common opponents: AHFC NW STXCL — Lonestar SAT STXCL 1–0; RISE SC STXCL 4–0. AHFC CENTRAL STXCL — Lonestar SAT STXCL 0–3; RISE SC STXCL 2–0.
What's at stake
| Lonestar SAT STXCL | RISE SC STXCL | |
|---|---|---|
| Position now | 7th | 5th |
| Games left | 10 | 8 |
| Chance of top 4 | 0% | 40% |
| Chance of 1st | 0% | 0% |
| Average finish | 10.5 | 4.8 |
How the results connect
5 chains
1 favour Lonestar SAT STXCL, 3 favour RISE SC STXCL, 1 even; average margin -2.2 goals toward Lonestar SAT STXCL.
- +1Lonestar SAT STXCL beat RISE SC STXCL 1–0
- -3Lonestar SAT STXCL beat AHFC NW STXCL 1–0 → AHFC NW STXCL lost to RISE SC STXCL 0–4
- -5Lonestar SAT STXCL lost to AHFC CENTRAL STXCL 0–3 → AHFC CENTRAL STXCL lost to RISE SC STXCL 0–2
- 0Lonestar SAT STXCL beat AHFC NW STXCL 1–0 → AHFC NW STXCL lost to Lonestar RGV STXCL 2–3 → Lonestar RGV STXCL drew with RISE SC STXCL 1–1
- -4Lonestar SAT STXCL lost to AHFC CENTRAL STXCL 0–3 → AHFC CENTRAL STXCL lost to Lonestar RGV STXCL 0–1 → Lonestar RGV STXCL drew with RISE SC STXCL 1–1
Full picture: Lonestar SAT STXCL · RISE SC STXCL · STXCL GU17 standings