Result · Saturday, Sep 19, 12:00 PM
Lonestar RGV STXCL 1–1 RISE SC STXCL
Final
By today's ratings the model gave this result a 28% chance — a mild surprise. Pre-match odds were 37% home, 28% draw, 35% away, most likely 1–1.
| Season so far | Lonestar RGV STXCL | RISE SC STXCL |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 2nd | 5th |
| Record (W-D-L) | 4-1-0 | 4-1-1 |
| Points per game | 2.60 | 2.17 |
| Goals for / game | 2.2 | 1.8 |
| Goals against / game | 0.8 | 0.5 |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 3 |
| Held scoreless | 0 | 1 |
| Form (recent first) | W W D W W | W W L D W |
| Biggest win | 4–1 at Lonestar ATX STXCL White | 4–0 vs AHFC NW STXCL |
| Worst loss | — | 0–1 at Lonestar SAT STXCL |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | +0.66 | +0.71 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | -0.86 | -0.75 |
Already met this season: Sep 19 1–1 (home for Lonestar RGV STXCL)
Common opponents: AHFC CENTRAL STXCL — Lonestar RGV STXCL 1–0; RISE SC STXCL 2–0. AHFC NW STXCL — Lonestar RGV STXCL 3–2; RISE SC STXCL 4–0. Lonestar ATX STXCL White — Lonestar RGV STXCL 4–1; RISE SC STXCL 2–1.
What's at stake
| Lonestar RGV STXCL | RISE SC STXCL | |
|---|---|---|
| Position now | 2nd | 5th |
| Games left | 9 | 8 |
| Chance of top 4 | 59% | 40% |
| Chance of 1st | 1% | 0% |
| Average finish | 4.3 | 4.7 |
How the results connect
7 chains
4 favour Lonestar RGV STXCL, 2 favour RISE SC STXCL, 1 even; average margin +1.1 goals toward Lonestar RGV STXCL.
- 0Lonestar RGV STXCL drew with RISE SC STXCL 1–1
- -1Lonestar RGV STXCL beat AHFC CENTRAL STXCL 1–0 → AHFC CENTRAL STXCL lost to RISE SC STXCL 0–2
- +2Lonestar RGV STXCL beat Lonestar ATX STXCL White 4–1 → Lonestar ATX STXCL White lost to RISE SC STXCL 1–2
- -3Lonestar RGV STXCL beat AHFC NW STXCL 3–2 → AHFC NW STXCL lost to RISE SC STXCL 0–4
- +1Lonestar RGV STXCL beat AHFC NW STXCL 3–2 → AHFC NW STXCL lost to Lonestar SAT STXCL 0–1 → Lonestar SAT STXCL beat RISE SC STXCL 1–0
- +4Lonestar RGV STXCL beat Lonestar ATX STXCL White 4–1 → Lonestar ATX STXCL White beat Lonestar ATX NTH STXCL Gold 3–0 → Lonestar ATX NTH STXCL Gold lost to RISE SC STXCL 0–2
Full picture: Lonestar RGV STXCL · RISE SC STXCL · STXCL GU17 standings