Indy Eleven

ECNL Regional League Girls · Ohio Valley GU17 · 8 teams · Indy Eleven Academy (all teams)

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2nd

0-0-0 record · 0 played

0.00 points per game

+0 goal diff · 0–0

last 0

50% chance of top 4 · expected finish 4.5

+0.00 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sat Dec 12, TBD

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Indy Eleven
2nd · 0.00 PPG

Ohio Elite SA
5th · 0.00 PPG

Venue TBD

47% 18% 35%

windrawloss

●●●○○ Toss-up to win

Most likely score 2–2 (expected goals 2.7 for, 2.4 against · 1.58 expected points)

Season so far	Indy Eleven	Ohio Elite SA
Position	2nd	5th
Record (W-D-L)	0-0-0	0-0-0
Points per game	0.00	0.00
Goals for / game	0.0	0.0
Goals against / game	0.0	0.0
Clean sheets	0	0
Held scoreless	0	0
Form (recent first)	—	—
Biggest win	—	—
Worst loss	—	—
Model rating (net goals vs avg)	+0.00	+0.00
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)	+0.00	+0.00

Game plan

They struggle to score
Ohio Elite SA average 0.0 goals/game (league avg 2.5); blanked in 0 of 0.
A higher defensive line and an aggressive counter-press are low-risk here. Keep the back line connected to midfield so one long ball doesn't turn into a 1v1 — that is the only way this opponent scores.
Swing game — small margins
Win 47% / draw 18% / loss 35%.
Games like this are decided by one set piece or one transition. Prioritise the strongest XI for the full game, be disciplined with fouls near the box, and have a clear late-game plan for both "protect the lead" and "chase".
What a win does
FC Pride Elite sit 1st on 0.00 PPG; we are on 0.00.
A point moves us above FC Pride Elite on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.

If Saturday goes…

Where we'd sit after the Ohio Elite SA game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Indy Eleven – Ohio Elite SA) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 5 other games that week (Mon Dec 7 – Sun Dec 13); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our result	Rivals don't play	Likely results	Every rival wins
– Draw · 1.00 PPG	1st▲ up 1	6th▼ down 4	7th▼ down 5
Win 3.00 PPG	1st▲ up 1	1st▲ up 1	6th▼ down 4
Draw 1.00 PPG	1st▲ up 1	7th▼ down 5	7th▼ down 5
Loss 0.00 PPG	8th▼ down 6	8th▼ down 6	8th▼ down 6

Can we move up this round? Yes. With a 2–2 draw we finish as high as 1st if every rival drops points, and as low as 7th if every rival wins.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

13% finish 1st

50% top 4

50% below the top 4

4.5 average finish

1st 13%
2nd 12%
3rd 12%
4th 14%
5th 13%
6th 12%
7th 13%
8th 12%

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 14 remaining known games (max 3.00 PPG if we win out).

#	Team	PPG	Proj.	To pass them
1	FC Pride Elite	0.00 (+0.00)	2nd (1.41)	Already ahead

The path

run-in difficulty +0.00 · 2nd hardest of 8

Date	Opponent	Where	Difficulty	Win	Likely	Exp. pts	Run. PPG	Priority
Sat Dec 12 TBD	Ohio Elite SA 5th · 0-0-0 · GD +0	Home	●●●○○ Toss-up	47%	2–2	1.58	1.58	Swing game
Sat Dec 19 TBD	FC Pride Elite 1st · 0-0-0 · GD +0	Home	●●●○○ Toss-up	47%	2–2	1.58	1.58	Swing game
Sat Mar 6 TBD	Mercury 4th · 0-0-0 · GD +0	Away	●●●●○ Tough	35%	2–2	1.24	1.47	Upside
Sun Mar 7 TBD	Lexington Sporting Club Academy 3rd · 0-0-0 · GD +0	Home	●●●○○ Toss-up	47%	2–2	1.58	1.49	Swing game
Sat Mar 13 TBD	FC Pride Elite 1st · 0-0-0 · GD +0	Away	●●●●○ Tough	35%	2–2	1.24	1.44	Upside
Sat Mar 20 TBD	Ohio Galaxies FC 6th · 0-0-0 · GD +0	Home	●●●○○ Toss-up	47%	2–2	1.58	1.47	Swing game
Sun Mar 21 03:45 PM	Ohio Elite SA 5th · 0-0-0 · GD +0	Away Seven Hills School	●●●●○ Tough	35%	2–2	1.24	1.43	Upside
Sat Apr 3 01:00 PM	Racing Louisville Academy 7th · 0-0-0 · GD +0	Away Lynn Family Sports Vision & Training Facility	●●●●○ Tough	35%	2–2	1.24	1.41	Upside
Sun Apr 4 TBD	Tennessee SC 8th · 0-0-0 · GD +0	Away	●●●●○ Tough	35%	2–2	1.24	1.39	Upside
Sat Apr 17 TBD	Mercury 4th · 0-0-0 · GD +0	Home	●●●○○ Toss-up	47%	2–2	1.58	1.41	Swing game
Sun Apr 18 TBD	Lexington Sporting Club Academy 3rd · 0-0-0 · GD +0	Away	●●●●○ Tough	35%	2–2	1.24	1.39	Upside
Sat Apr 24 TBD	Tennessee SC 8th · 0-0-0 · GD +0	Home	●●●○○ Toss-up	47%	2–2	1.58	1.41	Swing game
Sun Apr 25 TBD	Racing Louisville Academy 7th · 0-0-0 · GD +0	Home	●●●○○ Toss-up	47%	2–2	1.58	1.42	Swing game
Sat May 1 12:00 PM	Ohio Galaxies FC 6th · 0-0-0 · GD +0	Away Athletes in Action Sports Complex	●●●●○ Tough	35%	2–2	1.24	1.41	Upside

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

Team

Pts

PPG

Form

SoS

Run-in

Top 4

Exp. finish

FC Pride Elite

0.00

—

+0.00

—

No games played yet.

Next: Sat Dec 12 vs Ohio Galaxies FC · Sat Dec 19 at Indy Eleven · Sat Mar 6 at Lexington Sporting Club Academy See all 14 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Dec 12	vs	Ohio Galaxies FC (6th)	2–2	47%
·	Sat Dec 19	at	Indy Eleven (2nd)	2–2	35%
·	Sat Mar 6	at	Lexington Sporting Club Academy (3rd)	2–2	35%
·	Sun Mar 7	vs	Mercury (4th)	2–2	47%
·	Sat Mar 13	vs	Indy Eleven (2nd)	2–2	47%
·	Sat Mar 20	vs	Ohio Elite SA (5th)	2–2	47%
·	Sun Mar 21	at	Ohio Galaxies FC (6th)	2–2	35%
·	Sat Apr 3	at	Tennessee SC (8th)	2–2	35%
·	Sun Apr 4	at	Racing Louisville Academy (7th)	2–2	35%
·	Sat Apr 17	vs	Lexington Sporting Club Academy (3rd)	2–2	47%
·	Sun Apr 18	at	Mercury (4th)	2–2	35%
·	Sat Apr 24	vs	Racing Louisville Academy (7th)	2–2	47%
·	Sun Apr 25	vs	Tennessee SC (8th)	2–2	47%
·	Sat May 1	at	Ohio Elite SA (5th)	2–2	35%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Indy Eleven

0.00

—

+0.00

—

No games played yet.

Next: Sat Dec 12 vs Ohio Elite SA · Sat Dec 19 vs FC Pride Elite · Sat Mar 6 at Mercury See all 14 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Dec 12	vs	Ohio Elite SA (5th)	2–2	47%
·	Sat Dec 19	vs	FC Pride Elite (1st)	2–2	47%
·	Sat Mar 6	at	Mercury (4th)	2–2	35%
·	Sun Mar 7	vs	Lexington Sporting Club Academy (3rd)	2–2	47%
·	Sat Mar 13	at	FC Pride Elite (1st)	2–2	35%
·	Sat Mar 20	vs	Ohio Galaxies FC (6th)	2–2	47%
·	Sun Mar 21	at	Ohio Elite SA (5th)	2–2	35%
·	Sat Apr 3	at	Racing Louisville Academy (7th)	2–2	35%
·	Sun Apr 4	at	Tennessee SC (8th)	2–2	35%
·	Sat Apr 17	vs	Mercury (4th)	2–2	47%
·	Sun Apr 18	at	Lexington Sporting Club Academy (3rd)	2–2	35%
·	Sat Apr 24	vs	Tennessee SC (8th)	2–2	47%
·	Sun Apr 25	vs	Racing Louisville Academy (7th)	2–2	47%
·	Sat May 1	at	Ohio Galaxies FC (6th)	2–2	35%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Lexington Sporting Club Academy

0.00

—

+0.00

—

No games played yet.

Next: Sat Nov 21 at Mercury · Sat Dec 12 at Racing Louisville Academy · Sun Dec 13 at Tennessee SC See all 14 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Nov 21	at	Mercury (4th)	2–2	35%
·	Sat Dec 12	at	Racing Louisville Academy (7th)	2–2	35%
·	Sun Dec 13	at	Tennessee SC (8th)	2–2	35%
·	Sat Mar 6	vs	FC Pride Elite (1st)	2–2	47%
·	Sun Mar 7	at	Indy Eleven (2nd)	2–2	35%
·	Sat Mar 20	vs	Racing Louisville Academy (7th)	2–2	47%
·	Sun Mar 21	vs	Tennessee SC (8th)	2–2	47%
·	Sat Apr 3	at	Ohio Galaxies FC (6th)	2–2	35%
·	Sun Apr 4	at	Ohio Elite SA (5th)	2–2	35%
·	Sat Apr 17	at	FC Pride Elite (1st)	2–2	35%
·	Sun Apr 18	vs	Indy Eleven (2nd)	2–2	47%
·	Sat Apr 24	vs	Ohio Galaxies FC (6th)	2–2	47%
·	Sun Apr 25	vs	Ohio Elite SA (5th)	2–2	47%
·	Sat May 1	vs	Mercury (4th)	2–2	47%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Mercury

0.00

—

+0.00

—

No games played yet.

Next: Sat Nov 21 vs Lexington Sporting Club Academy · Sat Dec 12 at Tennessee SC · Sun Dec 13 at Racing Louisville Academy See all 14 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Nov 21	vs	Lexington Sporting Club Academy (3rd)	2–2	47%
·	Sat Dec 12	at	Tennessee SC (8th)	2–2	35%
·	Sun Dec 13	at	Racing Louisville Academy (7th)	2–2	35%
·	Sat Mar 6	vs	Indy Eleven (2nd)	2–2	47%
·	Sun Mar 7	at	FC Pride Elite (1st)	2–2	35%
·	Sat Mar 20	vs	Tennessee SC (8th)	2–2	47%
·	Sun Mar 21	vs	Racing Louisville Academy (7th)	2–2	47%
·	Sat Apr 3	at	Ohio Elite SA (5th)	2–2	35%
·	Sun Apr 4	at	Ohio Galaxies FC (6th)	2–2	35%
·	Sat Apr 17	at	Indy Eleven (2nd)	2–2	35%
·	Sun Apr 18	vs	FC Pride Elite (1st)	2–2	47%
·	Sat Apr 24	vs	Ohio Elite SA (5th)	2–2	47%
·	Sun Apr 25	vs	Ohio Galaxies FC (6th)	2–2	47%
·	Sat May 1	at	Lexington Sporting Club Academy (3rd)	2–2	35%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Ohio Elite SA

0.00

—

+0.00

—

No games played yet.

Next: Sat Dec 12 at Indy Eleven · Sat Dec 19 vs Ohio Galaxies FC · Sat Feb 13 at Tennessee SC See all 14 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Dec 12	at	Indy Eleven (2nd)	2–2	35%
·	Sat Dec 19	vs	Ohio Galaxies FC (6th)	2–2	47%
·	Sat Feb 13	at	Tennessee SC (8th)	2–2	35%
·	Sat Mar 13	at	Ohio Galaxies FC (6th)	2–2	35%
·	Sat Mar 20	at	FC Pride Elite (1st)	2–2	35%
·	Sun Mar 21	vs	Indy Eleven (2nd)	2–2	47%
·	Sat Apr 3	vs	Mercury (4th)	2–2	47%
·	Sun Apr 4	vs	Lexington Sporting Club Academy (3rd)	2–2	47%
·	Sun Apr 11	at	Racing Louisville Academy (7th)	2–2	35%
·	Sat Apr 17	vs	Tennessee SC (8th)	2–2	47%
·	Sun Apr 18	vs	Racing Louisville Academy (7th)	2–2	47%
·	Sat Apr 24	at	Mercury (4th)	2–2	35%
·	Sun Apr 25	at	Lexington Sporting Club Academy (3rd)	2–2	35%
·	Sat May 1	vs	FC Pride Elite (1st)	2–2	47%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Ohio Galaxies FC

0.00

—

+0.00

—

No games played yet.

Next: Sat Dec 12 at FC Pride Elite · Sat Dec 19 at Ohio Elite SA · Sat Feb 13 at Racing Louisville Academy See all 14 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Dec 12	at	FC Pride Elite (1st)	2–2	35%
·	Sat Dec 19	at	Ohio Elite SA (5th)	2–2	35%
·	Sat Feb 13	at	Racing Louisville Academy (7th)	2–2	35%
·	Sun Feb 14	at	Tennessee SC (8th)	2–2	35%
·	Sat Mar 13	vs	Ohio Elite SA (5th)	2–2	47%
·	Sat Mar 20	at	Indy Eleven (2nd)	2–2	35%
·	Sun Mar 21	vs	FC Pride Elite (1st)	2–2	47%
·	Sat Apr 3	vs	Lexington Sporting Club Academy (3rd)	2–2	47%
·	Sun Apr 4	vs	Mercury (4th)	2–2	47%
·	Sat Apr 17	vs	Racing Louisville Academy (7th)	2–2	47%
·	Sun Apr 18	vs	Tennessee SC (8th)	2–2	47%
·	Sat Apr 24	at	Lexington Sporting Club Academy (3rd)	2–2	35%
·	Sun Apr 25	at	Mercury (4th)	2–2	35%
·	Sat May 1	vs	Indy Eleven (2nd)	2–2	47%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Racing Louisville Academy

0.00

—

+0.00

—

No games played yet.

Next: Sat Dec 12 vs Lexington Sporting Club Academy · Sun Dec 13 vs Mercury · Sat Dec 19 at Tennessee SC See all 14 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Dec 12	vs	Lexington Sporting Club Academy (3rd)	2–2	47%
·	Sun Dec 13	vs	Mercury (4th)	2–2	47%
·	Sat Dec 19	at	Tennessee SC (8th)	2–2	35%
·	Sat Feb 13	vs	Ohio Galaxies FC (6th)	2–2	47%
·	Sat Mar 6	vs	Tennessee SC (8th)	2–2	47%
·	Sat Mar 20	at	Lexington Sporting Club Academy (3rd)	2–2	35%
·	Sun Mar 21	at	Mercury (4th)	2–2	35%
·	Sat Apr 3	vs	Indy Eleven (2nd)	2–2	47%
·	Sun Apr 4	vs	FC Pride Elite (1st)	2–2	47%
·	Sun Apr 11	vs	Ohio Elite SA (5th)	2–2	47%
·	Sat Apr 17	at	Ohio Galaxies FC (6th)	2–2	35%
·	Sun Apr 18	at	Ohio Elite SA (5th)	2–2	35%
·	Sat Apr 24	at	FC Pride Elite (1st)	2–2	35%
·	Sun Apr 25	at	Indy Eleven (2nd)	2–2	35%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Tennessee SC

0.00

—

+0.00

—

No games played yet.

Next: Sat Dec 12 vs Mercury · Sun Dec 13 vs Lexington Sporting Club Academy · Sat Dec 19 vs Racing Louisville Academy See all 14 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Dec 12	vs	Mercury (4th)	2–2	47%
·	Sun Dec 13	vs	Lexington Sporting Club Academy (3rd)	2–2	47%
·	Sat Dec 19	vs	Racing Louisville Academy (7th)	2–2	47%
·	Sat Feb 13	vs	Ohio Elite SA (5th)	2–2	47%
·	Sun Feb 14	vs	Ohio Galaxies FC (6th)	2–2	47%
·	Sat Mar 6	at	Racing Louisville Academy (7th)	2–2	35%
·	Sat Mar 20	at	Mercury (4th)	2–2	35%
·	Sun Mar 21	at	Lexington Sporting Club Academy (3rd)	2–2	35%
·	Sat Apr 3	vs	FC Pride Elite (1st)	2–2	47%
·	Sun Apr 4	vs	Indy Eleven (2nd)	2–2	47%
·	Sat Apr 17	at	Ohio Elite SA (5th)	2–2	35%
·	Sun Apr 18	at	Ohio Galaxies FC (6th)	2–2	35%
·	Sat Apr 24	at	Indy Eleven (2nd)	2–2	35%
·	Sun Apr 25	at	FC Pride Elite (1st)	2–2	35%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.50 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.