XF

ECNL Regional League Girls · Northwest GU13 · 12 teams · Crossfire Premier (all teams)

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1st

7-0-0 record · 7 played

3.00 points per game

+27 goal diff · 30–3

WWWWWlast 5

100% chance of top 4 · expected finish 1.1

-0.01 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sun Oct 25, 02:00 PM

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XF
1st · 3.00 PPG

3RSC
2nd · 3.00 PPG

Kennewick High School , KeHS JV Turf Field ↗ · turf far trip

47% 25% 28%

windrawloss

●●●○○ Toss-up to win

Most likely score 1–1 (expected goals 1.6 for, 1.2 against · 1.66 expected points)

Season so far	XF	3RSC
Position	1st	2nd
Record (W-D-L)	7-0-0	6-0-0
Points per game	3.00	3.00
Goals for / game	4.3	2.8
Goals against / game	0.4	0.3
Clean sheets	4	4
Held scoreless	0	0
Form (recent first)	W W W W W	W W W W W
Biggest win	9–0 vs Valor Soccer	5–0 vs Northwest United
Worst loss	—	—
Model rating (net goals vs avg)	+2.61	+1.45
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)	-0.01	-0.52

Common opponents: Snohomish United — we 7–0; they 3–0. Whatcom FC Rangers — we 3–0; they 1–0. Seattle United — we 3–0; they 2–1.

Game plan

Respect their attack
3RSC score 2.8/game — well above the league's 1.9.
Deny the easy goals first: compact shape between the lines, no fouls in shooting range, and a plan for their best outlet. Score first and make them chase.
Hard to break down
3RSC concede only 0.3/game with 4 clean sheet(s).
Patience and width: move the ball quickly side to side to pull the block apart, and treat set pieces as your best chance — rehearse two corner routines and a near-post free-kick delivery.
Swing game — small margins
Win 47% / draw 25% / loss 28%.
Games like this are decided by one set piece or one transition. Prioritise the strongest XI for the full game, be disciplined with fouls near the box, and have a clear late-game plan for both "protect the lead" and "chase".
They arrive in form
3RSC have won 6 straight.
Don't let them settle: deny the first 10 minutes of rhythm with pressure on their first pass out of the back.
Away game
Kickoff 02:00 PM at Kennewick High School .
Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.

If Sunday goes…

Where we'd sit after the 3RSC game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (XF – 3RSC) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 6 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our result	Rivals don't play	Likely results	Every rival wins
– Draw · 2.75 PPG	1st— holds	1st— holds	1st— holds
Win 3.00 PPG	1st— holds	1st— holds	1st— holds
Draw 2.75 PPG	1st— holds	1st— holds	1st— holds
Loss 2.63 PPG	2nd▼ down 1	2nd▼ down 1	2nd▼ down 1

Can we move up this round? No. With a 1–1 draw we stay 1st even if every rival loses, whatever the rivals do.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

89% finish 1st

100% top 4

0% below the top 4

1.1 average finish

1st 89%
2nd 11%
3rd <1%
4th
5th
6th
7th
8th
9th
10th
11th
12th

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

Top of the table. The job is to stay there: see the path below for where points are most at risk.

How the results connect

25 chains · 11 teams

Paths of results that link XF to 3RSC through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

19 favour us

2 even

4 favour them

+2.2 goals per chain on average. The results point our way.

won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

12 chains

Position over the season

8 game days

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty -0.32 · 12th hardest of 12

Date	Opponent	Where	Difficulty	Win	Likely	Exp. pts	Run. PPG	Priority
Sun Oct 25 02:00 PM	3RSC 2nd · 6-0-0 · GD +15	Away far trip Kennewick High School · turf	●●●○○ Toss-up	47%	1–1	1.66	2.83	Swing game
Sat Oct 31 11:00 AM	Northwest United 12th · 0-0-7 · GD -32	Away far trip Skagit Valley College	●○○○○ Favorable	99%	6–0	2.99	2.85	Bank it
Sat Nov 7 09:00 AM	Eastside FC 9th · 2-0-4 · GD -9	Away PRESTON PARK ATHLETIC FIELDS	●○○○○ Favorable	92%	3–0	2.83	2.85	Bank it
Sat Nov 14 09:00 AM	Washington Premier 6th · 3-3-1 · GD +6	Home WPFC Field Complex	●●○○○ Lean win	74%	2–0	2.37	2.80	Bank it
Sat Dec 5 TBD	Whatcom FC Rangers 8th · 2-1-4 · GD +4	Home	●○○○○ Favorable	84%	3–0	2.63	2.79	Bank it
Sun Dec 6 01:00 PM	Snohomish United 10th · 2-0-5 · GD -8	Away far trip Snohomish High School · turf?	●○○○○ Favorable	89%	3–0	2.75	2.79	Bank it
Sat Jan 16 TBD	Central Washington Sounders 7th · 3-0-3 · GD +4	Home	●○○○○ Favorable	88%	4–1	2.71	2.78	Bank it
Sat Jan 23 TBD	Oregon Surf 5th · 2-1-1 · GD +6	Home	●○○○○ Favorable	78%	3–0	2.46	2.76	Bank it
Sat Jan 30 TBD	PacNW SC 4th · 4-1-2 · GD +7	Away	●●○○○ Lean win	65%	2–0	2.15	2.72	Swing game
Sat Feb 6 06:00 AM	Seattle United 3rd · 4-0-2 · GD +9	Away far trip TBD	●●○○○ Lean win	68%	2–1	2.21	2.69	Swing game
Sun Feb 28 TBD	3RSC 2nd · 6-0-0 · GD +15	Home	●●●○○ Toss-up	56%	1–1	1.90	2.65	Swing game
Sat Mar 6 TBD	Valor Soccer 11th · 0-0-6 · GD -29	Away	●○○○○ Favorable	99%	6–0	2.98	2.67	Bank it
Sat Mar 13 09:00 AM	Northwest United 12th · 0-0-7 · GD -32	Away far trip Sedro-Woolley High School	●○○○○ Favorable	99%	6–0	2.99	2.68	Bank it
Sun Apr 18 09:00 AM	Washington Premier 6th · 3-3-1 · GD +6	Away far trip WPFC Field Complex	●●○○○ Lean win	66%	2–0	2.17	2.66	Swing game
Sun May 2 TBD	Eastside FC 9th · 2-0-4 · GD -9	Home	●○○○○ Favorable	95%	4–0	2.90	2.67	Bank it

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

Team

Pts

PPG

Form

SoS

Run-in

Top 4

Exp. finish

+27

3.00

WWWWW

-0.01

-0.32

100%

1.1

W	Sun Oct 18	at	Seattle United (3rd)	3–0
W	Sat Oct 17	vs	PacNW SC (4th)	2–1
W	Sat Oct 3	at	Oregon Surf (5th)	3–1
W	Sat Sep 26	vs	Valor Soccer (11th)	9–0
W	Sun Sep 20	at	Central Washington Sounders (7th)	3–1
W	Sat Sep 19	at	Whatcom FC Rangers (8th)	3–0
W	Sat Sep 12	vs	Snohomish United (10th)	7–0

Next: Sun Oct 25 at 3RSC · Sat Oct 31 at Northwest United · Sat Nov 7 at Eastside FC See all 15 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sun Oct 25	at	3RSC (2nd)	1–1	47%
·	Sat Oct 31	at	Northwest United (12th)	6–0	99%
·	Sat Nov 7	at	Eastside FC (9th)	3–0	92%
·	Sat Nov 14	vs	Washington Premier (6th)	2–0	74%
·	Sat Dec 5	vs	Whatcom FC Rangers (8th)	3–0	84%
·	Sun Dec 6	at	Snohomish United (10th)	3–0	89%
·	Sat Jan 16	vs	Central Washington Sounders (7th)	4–1	88%
·	Sat Jan 23	vs	Oregon Surf (5th)	3–0	78%
·	Sat Jan 30	at	PacNW SC (4th)	2–0	65%
·	Sat Feb 6	at	Seattle United (3rd)	2–1	68%
·	Sun Feb 28	vs	3RSC (2nd)	1–1	56%
·	Sat Mar 6	at	Valor Soccer (11th)	6–0	99%
·	Sat Mar 13	at	Northwest United (12th)	6–0	99%
·	Sun Apr 18	at	Washington Premier (6th)	2–0	66%
·	Sun May 2	vs	Eastside FC (9th)	4–0	95%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

3RSC

+15

3.00

WWWWW

-0.52

+0.01

99%

2.1

W	Sun Oct 18	vs	Whatcom FC Rangers (8th)	1–0
W	Sat Oct 17	vs	Northwest United (12th)	5–0
W	Sat Oct 3	vs	Eastside FC (9th)	3–0
W	Sun Sep 27	vs	Seattle United (3rd)	2–1
W	Sun Sep 20	at	Snohomish United (10th)	3–0
W	Sat Sep 19	vs	Washington Premier (6th)	3–1

Next: Sat Sep 12 vs Central Washington Sounders · Sun Oct 25 vs XF · Sat Oct 31 vs Oregon Surf See all 16 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Sep 12 (no score yet)	vs	Central Washington Sounders (7th)	2–1	73%
·	Sun Oct 25	vs	XF (1st)	1–1	28%
·	Sat Oct 31	vs	Oregon Surf (5th)	2–1	60%
·	Sat Nov 7	at	PacNW SC (4th)	1–1	48%
·	Sat Nov 14	vs	Valor Soccer (11th)	4–0	98%
·	Sat Dec 12	at	Central Washington Sounders (7th)	2–1	64%
·	Sun Dec 13	at	Washington Premier (6th)	1–0	49%
·	Sat Jan 16	vs	Snohomish United (10th)	2–0	82%
·	Sat Jan 23	at	Eastside FC (9th)	2–0	81%
·	Sat Jan 30	at	Northwest United (12th)	4–0	97%
·	Sat Feb 6	vs	Whatcom FC Rangers (8th)	2–0	68%
·	Sun Feb 28	at	XF (1st)	1–1	21%
·	Sat Mar 6	at	Seattle United (3rd)	1–1	50%
·	Sat Mar 13	at	Oregon Surf (5th)	1–1	51%
·	Sun Apr 18	at	Valor Soccer (11th)	4–0	96%
·	Sun May 2	vs	PacNW SC (4th)	1–0	56%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Seattle United

2.00

WLWWL

+0.31

-0.22

76%

3.8

L	Sun Oct 18	vs	XF (1st)	0–3
W	Sat Oct 17	vs	Snohomish United (10th)	2–0
W	Sat Oct 3	at	Whatcom FC Rangers (8th)	3–2
L	Sun Sep 27	at	3RSC (2nd)	1–2
W	Sat Sep 19	at	Valor Soccer (11th)	9–0
W	Sat Sep 12	vs	PacNW SC (4th)	3–2

Next: Sat Oct 24 at Washington Premier · Sun Oct 25 vs Oregon Surf · Sat Oct 31 at Eastside FC See all 16 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 24	at	Washington Premier (6th)	1–1	38%
·	Sun Oct 25	vs	Oregon Surf (5th)	2–1	49%
·	Sat Oct 31	at	Eastside FC (9th)	2–0	77%
·	Sat Nov 7	at	Central Washington Sounders (7th)	2–2	51%
·	Sat Nov 14	at	Northwest United (12th)	5–0	96%
·	Sat Dec 12	at	PacNW SC (4th)	1–1	37%
·	Sun Dec 13	vs	Valor Soccer (11th)	5–0	98%
·	Sat Jan 16	at	Oregon Surf (5th)	2–2	38%
·	Sat Jan 23	vs	Whatcom FC Rangers (8th)	2–1	58%
·	Sat Jan 30	at	Snohomish United (10th)	2–1	68%
·	Sat Feb 6	vs	XF (1st)	1–2	16%
·	Sat Feb 20	vs	Washington Premier (6th)	1–1	47%
·	Sat Mar 6	vs	3RSC (2nd)	1–1	28%
·	Sat Mar 13	vs	Eastside FC (9th)	3–0	84%
·	Sun Apr 18	vs	Northwest United (12th)	5–0	98%
·	Sun May 2	at	Central Washington Sounders (7th)	2–2	51%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

PacNW SC

1.86

DWWLW

-0.03

-0.06

45%

4.8

W	Sun Oct 18	vs	Snohomish United (10th)	1–0
L	Sat Oct 17	at	XF (1st)	1–2
W	Sat Oct 3	at	Northwest United (12th)	5–1
W	Sat Sep 26	vs	Central Washington Sounders (7th)	1–0
D	Sun Sep 20	vs	Washington Premier (6th)	0–0
W	Sat Sep 19	at	Eastside FC (9th)	4–1
L	Sat Sep 12	at	Seattle United (3rd)	2–3

Next: Sat Oct 24 vs Oregon Surf · Sat Oct 31 at Valor Soccer · Sat Nov 7 vs 3RSC See all 15 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 24	vs	Oregon Surf (5th)	1–1	43%
·	Sat Oct 31	at	Valor Soccer (11th)	3–0	91%
·	Sat Nov 7	vs	3RSC (2nd)	1–1	26%
·	Sat Nov 14	at	Whatcom FC Rangers (8th)	1–1	42%
·	Sat Dec 12	vs	Seattle United (3rd)	1–1	41%
·	Sun Dec 13	vs	Eastside FC (9th)	2–0	76%
·	Sat Jan 23	vs	Northwest United (12th)	4–0	95%
·	Sun Jan 24	at	Washington Premier (6th)	1–1	34%
·	Sat Jan 30	vs	XF (1st)	0–2	15%
·	Sat Feb 6	vs	Snohomish United (10th)	2–0	69%
·	Sat Feb 20	at	Oregon Surf (5th)	1–1	34%
·	Sat Mar 6	at	Central Washington Sounders (7th)	2–1	45%
·	Sat Mar 13	vs	Valor Soccer (11th)	3–0	94%
·	Sun Apr 18	vs	Whatcom FC Rangers (8th)	1–1	51%
·	Sun May 2	at	3RSC (2nd)	0–1	20%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Oregon Surf

1.75

DWWL

+0.12

-0.10

44%

4.9

L	Sat Oct 3	vs	XF (1st)	1–3
W	Sat Sep 26	vs	Northwest United (12th)	4–0
W	Sat Sep 19	vs	Central Washington Sounders (7th)	5–1
D	Sat Sep 12	at	Washington Premier (6th)	1–1

Next: Sat Oct 17 at Eastside FC · Sat Oct 24 at PacNW SC · Sun Oct 25 at Seattle United See all 18 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 17 (no score yet)	at	Eastside FC (9th)	2–0	72%
·	Sat Oct 24	at	PacNW SC (4th)	1–1	33%
·	Sun Oct 25	at	Seattle United (3rd)	1–2	32%
·	Sat Oct 31	at	3RSC (2nd)	1–2	19%
·	Sat Nov 7	at	Whatcom FC Rangers (8th)	2–1	43%
·	Sat Nov 14	at	Snohomish United (10th)	2–1	63%
·	Sat Dec 5	at	Central Washington Sounders (7th)	2–2	46%
·	Sat Dec 12	vs	Washington Premier (6th)	1–1	43%
·	Sat Jan 9	vs	Valor Soccer (11th)	4–0	96%
·	Sat Jan 16	vs	Seattle United (3rd)	2–2	41%
·	Sat Jan 23	at	XF (1st)	0–3	9%
·	Sat Jan 30	vs	Eastside FC (9th)	2–0	80%
·	Sat Feb 6	vs	Valor Soccer (11th)	4–0	96%
·	Sat Feb 20	vs	PacNW SC (4th)	1–1	42%
·	Sat Mar 6	at	Northwest United (12th)	4–0	94%
·	Sat Mar 13	vs	3RSC (2nd)	1–1	25%
·	Sun Apr 18	vs	Snohomish United (10th)	2–1	72%
·	Sun May 2	vs	Whatcom FC Rangers (8th)	2–1	53%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Washington Premier

1.71

DDWWW

-0.30

+0.03

26%

5.5

W	Sun Oct 18	vs	Eastside FC (9th)	3–0
W	Sat Oct 17	at	Valor Soccer (11th)	3–0
W	Sat Oct 3	vs	Snohomish United (10th)	4–2
D	Sat Sep 26	at	Whatcom FC Rangers (8th)	0–0
D	Sun Sep 20	at	PacNW SC (4th)	0–0
L	Sat Sep 19	at	3RSC (2nd)	1–3
D	Sat Sep 12	vs	Oregon Surf (5th)	1–1

Next: Sat Oct 24 vs Seattle United · Sat Oct 31 at Central Washington Sounders · Sat Nov 7 at Northwest United See all 15 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 24	vs	Seattle United (3rd)	1–1	38%
·	Sat Oct 31	at	Central Washington Sounders (7th)	1–1	43%
·	Sat Nov 7	at	Northwest United (12th)	3–0	90%
·	Sat Nov 14	at	XF (1st)	0–2	10%
·	Sat Dec 12	at	Oregon Surf (5th)	1–1	32%
·	Sun Dec 13	vs	3RSC (2nd)	0–1	24%
·	Sat Jan 23	at	Snohomish United (10th)	1–1	58%
·	Sun Jan 24	vs	PacNW SC (4th)	1–1	39%
·	Sat Jan 30	vs	Valor Soccer (11th)	3–0	93%
·	Sat Feb 6	at	Eastside FC (9th)	1–0	66%
·	Sat Feb 20	at	Seattle United (3rd)	1–1	30%
·	Sat Mar 6	vs	Whatcom FC Rangers (8th)	1–1	49%
·	Sat Mar 13	vs	Central Washington Sounders (7th)	2–1	52%
·	Sun Apr 18	vs	XF (1st)	0–2	14%
·	Sun May 2	vs	Northwest United (12th)	3–0	94%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Central Washington Sounders

1.50

LLWWW

-0.35

+0.06

6.7

W	Sun Oct 18	vs	Northwest United (12th)	8–0
W	Sat Oct 17	vs	Whatcom FC Rangers (8th)	5–4
W	Sat Oct 3	vs	Valor Soccer (11th)	2–0
L	Sat Sep 26	at	PacNW SC (4th)	0–1
L	Sun Sep 20	vs	XF (1st)	1–3
L	Sat Sep 19	at	Oregon Surf (5th)	1–5

Next: Sat Sep 12 at 3RSC · Sat Oct 24 vs Snohomish United · Sat Oct 31 vs Washington Premier See all 16 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Sep 12 (no score yet)	at	3RSC (2nd)	1–2	12%
·	Sat Oct 24	vs	Snohomish United (10th)	3–1	66%
·	Sat Oct 31	vs	Washington Premier (6th)	1–1	35%
·	Sat Nov 7	vs	Seattle United (3rd)	2–2	31%
·	Sat Nov 14	vs	Eastside FC (9th)	3–1	76%
·	Sat Dec 5	vs	Oregon Surf (5th)	2–2	35%
·	Sat Dec 12	vs	3RSC (2nd)	1–2	18%
·	Sat Jan 16	at	XF (1st)	1–4	5%
·	Sat Jan 23	at	Valor Soccer (11th)	4–0	92%
·	Sat Jan 30	at	Whatcom FC Rangers (8th)	2–2	34%
·	Sat Feb 6	at	Northwest United (12th)	4–0	93%
·	Sat Feb 20	at	Snohomish United (10th)	2–1	56%
·	Sat Mar 6	vs	PacNW SC (4th)	1–2	34%
·	Sat Mar 13	at	Washington Premier (6th)	1–2	27%
·	Sun Apr 18	at	Eastside FC (9th)	2–1	67%
·	Sun May 2	vs	Seattle United (3rd)	2–2	31%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Whatcom FC Rangers

1.00

DWLLL

+0.06

-0.04

7.4

L	Sun Oct 18	at	3RSC (2nd)	0–1
L	Sat Oct 17	at	Central Washington Sounders (7th)	4–5
L	Sat Oct 3	vs	Seattle United (3rd)	2–3
W	Sun Sep 27	at	Valor Soccer (11th)	4–0
D	Sat Sep 26	vs	Washington Premier (6th)	0–0
L	Sat Sep 19	vs	XF (1st)	0–3
W	Sat Sep 12	vs	Northwest United (12th)	6–0

Next: Sat Oct 24 at Eastside FC · Sat Oct 31 at Snohomish United · Sat Nov 7 vs Oregon Surf See all 15 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 24	at	Eastside FC (9th)	2–1	66%
·	Sat Oct 31	at	Snohomish United (10th)	2–1	55%
·	Sat Nov 7	vs	Oregon Surf (5th)	1–2	36%
·	Sat Nov 14	vs	PacNW SC (4th)	1–1	34%
·	Sat Dec 5	at	XF (1st)	0–3	6%
·	Sat Dec 12	at	Northwest United (12th)	4–0	91%
·	Sat Jan 16	vs	Valor Soccer (11th)	4–0	94%
·	Sat Jan 23	at	Seattle United (3rd)	1–2	24%
·	Sat Jan 30	vs	Central Washington Sounders (7th)	2–2	48%
·	Sat Feb 6	at	3RSC (2nd)	0–2	14%
·	Sat Feb 20	vs	Eastside FC (9th)	2–0	74%
·	Sat Mar 6	at	Washington Premier (6th)	1–1	28%
·	Sat Mar 13	vs	Snohomish United (10th)	2–1	65%
·	Sun Apr 18	at	PacNW SC (4th)	1–1	26%
·	Sun May 2	at	Oregon Surf (5th)	1–2	27%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Eastside FC

-9

1.00

LWLLL

-0.58

+0.40

9.8

L	Sun Oct 18	at	Washington Premier (6th)	0–3
L	Sat Oct 3	at	3RSC (2nd)	0–3
L	Sat Sep 26	at	Snohomish United (10th)	0–3
W	Sun Sep 20	at	Northwest United (12th)	1–0
L	Sat Sep 19	vs	PacNW SC (4th)	1–4
W	Sat Sep 12	at	Valor Soccer (11th)	2–0

Next: Sat Oct 17 vs Oregon Surf · Sat Oct 24 vs Whatcom FC Rangers · Sat Oct 31 vs Seattle United See all 16 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 17 (no score yet)	vs	Oregon Surf (5th)	0–2	12%
·	Sat Oct 24	vs	Whatcom FC Rangers (8th)	1–2	16%
·	Sat Oct 31	vs	Seattle United (3rd)	0–2	9%
·	Sat Nov 7	vs	XF (1st)	0–3	2%
·	Sat Nov 14	at	Central Washington Sounders (7th)	1–3	11%
·	Sat Dec 12	vs	Valor Soccer (11th)	2–0	70%
·	Sun Dec 13	at	PacNW SC (4th)	0–2	8%
·	Sat Jan 16	vs	Northwest United (12th)	2–0	71%
·	Sat Jan 23	vs	3RSC (2nd)	0–2	6%
·	Sat Jan 30	at	Oregon Surf (5th)	0–2	8%
·	Sat Feb 6	vs	Washington Premier (6th)	0–1	13%
·	Sat Feb 20	at	Whatcom FC Rangers (8th)	0–2	11%
·	Sat Mar 6	vs	Snohomish United (10th)	1–1	30%
·	Sat Mar 13	at	Seattle United (3rd)	0–3	6%
·	Sun Apr 18	vs	Central Washington Sounders (7th)	1–2	16%
·	Sun May 2	at	XF (1st)	0–4	1%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Snohomish United

-8

0.86

LWLLL

+0.32

-0.05

9.0

L	Sun Oct 18	at	PacNW SC (4th)	0–1
L	Sat Oct 17	at	Seattle United (3rd)	0–2
L	Sat Oct 3	at	Washington Premier (6th)	2–4
W	Sat Sep 26	vs	Eastside FC (9th)	3–0
L	Sun Sep 20	vs	3RSC (2nd)	0–3
W	Sat Sep 19	at	Northwest United (12th)	4–0
L	Sat Sep 12	at	XF (1st)	0–7

Next: Sat Oct 24 at Central Washington Sounders · Sat Oct 31 vs Whatcom FC Rangers · Sat Nov 7 at Valor Soccer See all 15 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 24	at	Central Washington Sounders (7th)	1–3	18%
·	Sat Oct 31	vs	Whatcom FC Rangers (8th)	1–2	25%
·	Sat Nov 7	at	Valor Soccer (11th)	2–0	77%
·	Sat Nov 14	vs	Oregon Surf (5th)	1–2	19%
·	Sat Dec 5	vs	Northwest United (12th)	3–0	85%
·	Sun Dec 6	vs	XF (1st)	0–3	4%
·	Sat Jan 16	at	3RSC (2nd)	0–2	6%
·	Sat Jan 23	vs	Washington Premier (6th)	1–1	20%
·	Sat Jan 30	vs	Seattle United (3rd)	1–2	16%
·	Sat Feb 6	at	PacNW SC (4th)	0–2	13%
·	Sat Feb 20	vs	Central Washington Sounders (7th)	1–2	26%
·	Sat Mar 6	at	Eastside FC (9th)	1–1	46%
·	Sat Mar 13	at	Whatcom FC Rangers (8th)	1–2	18%
·	Sun Apr 18	at	Oregon Surf (5th)	1–2	13%
·	Sun May 2	vs	Valor Soccer (11th)	3–0	84%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Valor Soccer

-29

0.00

LLLLL

+0.65

+0.14

11.5

L	Sat Oct 17	vs	Washington Premier (6th)	0–3
L	Sat Oct 3	at	Central Washington Sounders (7th)	0–2
L	Sun Sep 27	vs	Whatcom FC Rangers (8th)	0–4
L	Sat Sep 26	at	XF (1st)	0–9
L	Sat Sep 19	vs	Seattle United (3rd)	0–9
L	Sat Sep 12	vs	Eastside FC (9th)	0–2

Next: Sat Oct 24 vs Northwest United · Sat Oct 31 vs PacNW SC · Sat Nov 7 vs Snohomish United See all 16 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 24	vs	Northwest United (12th)	1–1	41%
·	Sat Oct 31	vs	PacNW SC (4th)	0–3	2%
·	Sat Nov 7	vs	Snohomish United (10th)	0–2	9%
·	Sat Nov 14	at	3RSC (2nd)	0–4	0%
·	Sat Dec 12	at	Eastside FC (9th)	0–2	11%
·	Sun Dec 13	at	Seattle United (3rd)	0–5	1%
·	Sat Jan 9	at	Oregon Surf (5th)	0–4	1%
·	Sat Jan 16	at	Whatcom FC Rangers (8th)	0–4	2%
·	Sat Jan 23	vs	Central Washington Sounders (7th)	0–4	3%
·	Sat Jan 30	at	Washington Premier (6th)	0–3	2%
·	Sat Feb 6	at	Oregon Surf (5th)	0–4	1%
·	Sat Feb 20	at	Northwest United (12th)	1–1	33%
·	Sat Mar 6	vs	XF (1st)	0–6	0%
·	Sat Mar 13	at	PacNW SC (4th)	0–3	1%
·	Sun Apr 18	vs	3RSC (2nd)	0–4	1%
·	Sun May 2	at	Snohomish United (10th)	0–3	6%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Northwest United

-32

0.00

LLLLL

+0.30

11.5

L	Sun Oct 18	at	Central Washington Sounders (7th)	0–8
L	Sat Oct 17	at	3RSC (2nd)	0–5
L	Sat Oct 3	vs	PacNW SC (4th)	1–5
L	Sat Sep 26	at	Oregon Surf (5th)	0–4
L	Sun Sep 20	vs	Eastside FC (9th)	0–1
L	Sat Sep 19	vs	Snohomish United (10th)	0–4
L	Sat Sep 12	at	Whatcom FC Rangers (8th)	0–6

Next: Sat Oct 24 at Valor Soccer · Sat Oct 31 vs XF · Sat Nov 7 vs Washington Premier See all 15 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 24	at	Valor Soccer (11th)	1–1	33%
·	Sat Oct 31	vs	XF (1st)	0–6	0%
·	Sat Nov 7	vs	Washington Premier (6th)	0–3	3%
·	Sat Nov 14	vs	Seattle United (3rd)	0–5	1%
·	Sat Dec 5	at	Snohomish United (10th)	0–3	5%
·	Sat Dec 12	vs	Whatcom FC Rangers (8th)	0–4	3%
·	Sat Jan 16	at	Eastside FC (9th)	0–2	11%
·	Sat Jan 23	at	PacNW SC (4th)	0–4	1%
·	Sat Jan 30	vs	3RSC (2nd)	0–4	1%
·	Sat Feb 6	vs	Central Washington Sounders (7th)	0–4	2%
·	Sat Feb 20	vs	Valor Soccer (11th)	1–1	41%
·	Sat Mar 6	vs	Oregon Surf (5th)	0–4	2%
·	Sat Mar 13	vs	XF (1st)	0–6	0%
·	Sun Apr 18	at	Seattle United (3rd)	0–5	1%
·	Sun May 2	at	Washington Premier (6th)	0–3	2%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (1.90 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.