Delaware FC
ECNL Regional League Girls · Northeast GU18/19 · 6 teams · Delaware Football Club (all teams)
Next game — Sat Dec 5, 12:30 PM
Smith Estates, Turf ↗ · turf
●●●○○ Toss-up to win
Most likely score 2–2 (expected goals 2.7 for, 2.4 against · 1.58 expected points)
| Season so far | Delaware FC | West-Mont United |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 1st | 6th |
| Record (W-D-L) | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 |
| Points per game | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Goals for / game | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Goals against / game | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 |
| Held scoreless | 0 | 0 |
| Form (recent first) | — | — |
| Biggest win | — | — |
| Worst loss | — | — |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | +0.00 | +0.00 |
Game plan
-
They struggle to score
West-Mont United average 0.0 goals/game (league avg 2.5); blanked in 0 of 0.A higher defensive line and an aggressive counter-press are low-risk here. Keep the back line connected to midfield so one long ball doesn't turn into a 1v1 — that is the only way this opponent scores.
-
Swing game — small margins
Win 47% / draw 18% / loss 35%.Games like this are decided by one set piece or one transition. Prioritise the strongest XI for the full game, be disciplined with fouls near the box, and have a clear late-game plan for both "protect the lead" and "chase".
If Saturday goes…
Where we'd sit after the West-Mont United game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Delaware FC – West-Mont United) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 2 other games that week (Mon Nov 30 – Sun Dec 6); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.
| Our result | Rivals don't play | Likely results | Every rival wins |
|---|---|---|---|
| – Draw · 1.00 PPG |
1st— holds | 1st— holds | 5th▼ down 4 |
| Win 3.00 PPG |
1st— holds | 1st— holds | 1st— holds |
| Draw 1.00 PPG |
1st— holds | 5th▼ down 4 | 5th▼ down 4 |
| Loss 0.00 PPG |
6th▼ down 5 | 6th▼ down 5 | 6th▼ down 5 |
Can we move up this round? No. With a 2–2 draw we stay 1st even if every rival loses, and as low as 5th if every rival wins.
Where we finish
2,000 simulated seasons
- 1st 17%
- 2nd 17%
- 3rd 17%
- 4th 17%
- 5th 16%
- 6th 15%
Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.
Climbing the table
Top of the table. The job is to stay there: see the path below for where points are most at risk.
The path
run-in difficulty +0.00 · 1st hardest of 6
| Date | Opponent | Where | Difficulty | Win | Likely | Exp. pts | Run. PPG | Priority |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat Dec 5 12:30 PM |
West-Mont United 6th · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Home Smith Estates · turf |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 47% |
2–2 | 1.58 | 1.58 | Swing game |
| Sat Dec 12 02:45 PM |
PA Rush 5th · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Away far trip
Quakertown High School |
●●●●○ Tough | 35% |
2–2 | 1.24 | 1.41 | Upside |
| Sun Dec 13 02:00 PM |
Lancaster FC 3rd · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Home Odyssey Charter School · turf |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 47% |
2–2 | 1.58 | 1.47 | Swing game |
| Sat Apr 10 TBD |
West-Mont United 6th · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Away |
●●●●○ Tough | 35% |
2–2 | 1.24 | 1.41 | Upside |
| Sat Apr 17 09:30 AM |
FC Europa 2nd · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Home Odyssey Charter School · turf |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 47% |
2–2 | 1.58 | 1.44 | Swing game |
| Sat Apr 24 09:00 AM |
PA Rush 5th · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Home Smith Estates |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 47% |
2–2 | 1.58 | 1.47 | Swing game |
| Sun Apr 25 TBD |
Match Fit Surf Blue 4th · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Away |
●●●●○ Tough | 35% |
2–2 | 1.24 | 1.43 | Upside |
| Sat May 1 09:00 AM |
Match Fit Surf Blue 4th · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Home Smith Estates |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 47% |
2–2 | 1.58 | 1.45 | Swing game |
| Sat May 8 03:30 PM |
FC Europa 2nd · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Away far trip
The Proving Grounds |
●●●●○ Tough | 35% |
2–2 | 1.24 | 1.43 | Upside |
| Sat May 15 TBD |
Lancaster FC 3rd · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Away |
●●●●○ Tough | 35% |
2–2 | 1.24 | 1.41 | Upside |
"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.
Standings
| # | Team | GP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | Form | SoS | Run-in | Top 4 | Exp. finish | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| 1 | Delaware FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 | 0.00 | — | +0.00 | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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No games played yet. Next: Sat Dec 5 vs West-Mont United · Sat Dec 12 at PA Rush · Sun Dec 13 vs Lancaster FC See all 10 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 2 | FC Europa | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 | 0.00 | — | +0.00 | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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No games played yet. Next: Sat Dec 5 at Lancaster FC · Sat Dec 12 at Match Fit Surf Blue · Sat Apr 3 vs West-Mont United See all 10 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 3 | Lancaster FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 | 0.00 | — | +0.00 | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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No games played yet. Next: Sat Dec 5 vs FC Europa · Sat Dec 12 at West-Mont United · Sun Dec 13 at Delaware FC See all 10 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 4 | Match Fit Surf Blue | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 | 0.00 | — | +0.00 | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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No games played yet. Next: Sat Dec 5 vs PA Rush · Sat Dec 12 vs FC Europa · Sat Apr 3 vs Lancaster FC See all 10 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 5 | PA Rush | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 | 0.00 | — | +0.00 | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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No games played yet. Next: Sat Dec 5 at Match Fit Surf Blue · Sat Dec 12 vs Delaware FC · Sat Mar 6 at Lancaster FC See all 10 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 6 | West-Mont United | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 | 0.00 | — | +0.00 | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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No games played yet. Next: Sat Dec 5 at Delaware FC · Sat Dec 12 vs Lancaster FC · Sat Apr 3 at FC Europa See all 10 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.
How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.50 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.