PDA SCP
ECNL Regional League Girls · Northeast GU16 · 8 teams · Sporting Club Premier (NJ) (all teams)
Next game — Sat Nov 28, 11:15 AM
Hudson Sports Complex, Field 1 ↗ far trip
●●●●○ Tough to win
Most likely score 2–2 (expected goals 2.4 for, 2.7 against · 1.24 expected points)
| Season so far | PDA SCP | Force FC |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 6th | 2nd |
| Record (W-D-L) | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 |
| Points per game | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Goals for / game | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Goals against / game | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 |
| Held scoreless | 0 | 0 |
| Form (recent first) | — | — |
| Biggest win | — | — |
| Worst loss | — | — |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | +0.00 | +0.00 |
Game plan
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They struggle to score
Force FC average 0.0 goals/game (league avg 2.5); blanked in 0 of 0.A higher defensive line and an aggressive counter-press are low-risk here. Keep the back line connected to midfield so one long ball doesn't turn into a 1v1 — that is the only way this opponent scores.
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Underdog — play free, stay organised
Model gives 35%; a draw (18%) would be a good result.Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.
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Away game
Kickoff 11:15 AM at Hudson Sports Complex.Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.
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What a win does
NJ Crush FC sit 5th on 0.00 PPG; we are on 0.00.A point moves us above NJ Crush FC on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.
If Saturday goes…
Where we'd sit after the Force FC game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (PDA SCP – Force FC) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 0 other games that week (Mon Nov 23 – Sun Nov 29); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.
| Our result | Rivals don't play | Likely results | Every rival wins |
|---|---|---|---|
| – Draw · 1.00 PPG |
2nd▲ up 4 | 2nd▲ up 4 | 2nd▲ up 4 |
| Win 3.00 PPG |
1st▲ up 5 | 1st▲ up 5 | 1st▲ up 5 |
| Draw 1.00 PPG |
2nd▲ up 4 | 2nd▲ up 4 | 2nd▲ up 4 |
| Loss 0.00 PPG |
8th▼ down 2 | 8th▼ down 2 | 8th▼ down 2 |
Can we move up this round? Yes. With a 2–2 draw we finish as high as 2nd if every rival drops points, whatever the rivals do.
Where we finish
2,000 simulated seasons
- 1st 12%
- 2nd 13%
- 3rd 13%
- 4th 12%
- 5th 11%
- 6th 11%
- 7th 14%
- 8th 15%
Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.
Climbing the table
What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 14 remaining known games (max 3.00 PPG if we win out).
| # | Team | PPG | Proj. | To pass them |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Eastern FC | 0.00 (+0.00) | 8th (1.41) | Already ahead |
| 2 | Force FC | 0.00 (+0.00) | 3rd (1.41) | Already ahead |
| 3 | Long Island Slammers | 0.00 (+0.00) | 1st (1.41) | Already ahead |
| 4 | Manhattan SC | 0.00 (+0.00) | 4th (1.41) | Already ahead |
| 5 | NJ Crush FC | 0.00 (+0.00) | 5th (1.41) | Already ahead |
The path
run-in difficulty +0.00 · 6th hardest of 8
| Date | Opponent | Where | Difficulty | Win | Likely | Exp. pts | Run. PPG | Priority |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat Nov 28 11:15 AM |
Force FC 2nd · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Away far trip
Hudson Sports Complex |
●●●●○ Tough | 35% |
2–2 | 1.24 | 1.24 | Upside |
| Sun Nov 29 TBD |
NJ Crush FC 5th · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Away |
●●●●○ Tough | 35% |
2–2 | 1.24 | 1.24 | Upside |
| Sat Dec 5 TBD |
Eastern FC 1st · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Away |
●●●●○ Tough | 35% |
2–2 | 1.24 | 1.24 | Upside |
| Sun Dec 6 12:00 PM |
Manhattan SC 4th · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Away far trip
College of Mt. St. Vincent |
●●●●○ Tough | 35% |
2–2 | 1.24 | 1.24 | Upside |
| Sat Mar 6 10:45 AM |
Eastern FC 1st · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Home Sparta HS · turf |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 47% |
2–2 | 1.58 | 1.31 | Swing game |
| Sun Mar 7 10:45 AM |
Force FC 2nd · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Home Sparta HS · turf |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 47% |
2–2 | 1.58 | 1.35 | Swing game |
| Sat Apr 10 TBD |
PSA North 7th · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Away |
●●●●○ Tough | 35% |
2–2 | 1.24 | 1.34 | Upside |
| Sat Apr 24 01:15 PM |
SUSA FC Northeast 8th · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Home Sparta HS · turf |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 47% |
2–2 | 1.58 | 1.37 | Swing game |
| Sun Apr 25 01:15 PM |
Long Island Slammers 3rd · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Home Sparta HS · turf |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 47% |
2–2 | 1.58 | 1.39 | Swing game |
| Sat May 1 01:15 PM |
NJ Crush FC 5th · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Home Sparta HS · turf |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 47% |
2–2 | 1.58 | 1.41 | Swing game |
| Sun May 2 01:15 PM |
Manhattan SC 4th · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Home Sparta HS · turf |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 47% |
2–2 | 1.58 | 1.42 | Swing game |
| Sat May 15 TBD |
SUSA FC Northeast 8th · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Away |
●●●●○ Tough | 35% |
2–2 | 1.24 | 1.41 | Upside |
| Sun May 16 TBD |
Long Island Slammers 3rd · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Away |
●●●●○ Tough | 35% |
2–2 | 1.24 | 1.40 | Upside |
| Sun May 23 01:15 PM |
PSA North 7th · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Home Sparta HS · turf |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 47% |
2–2 | 1.58 | 1.41 | Swing game |
"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.
Standings
| # | Team | GP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | Form | SoS | Run-in | Top 4 | Exp. finish | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Eastern FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 | 0.00 | — | +0.00 | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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No games played yet. Next: Sat Dec 5 vs PDA SCP · Sat Dec 12 vs Long Island Slammers · Sun Dec 13 vs SUSA FC Northeast See all 14 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 2 | Force FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 | 0.00 | — | +0.00 | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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No games played yet. Next: Sat Nov 28 vs PDA SCP · Sat Dec 12 vs SUSA FC Northeast · Sun Dec 13 vs Long Island Slammers See all 14 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 3 | Long Island Slammers | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 | 0.00 | — | +0.00 | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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No games played yet. Next: Sat Dec 12 at Eastern FC · Sun Dec 13 at Force FC · Sat Dec 19 vs Manhattan SC See all 14 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 4 | Manhattan SC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 | 0.00 | — | +0.00 | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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No games played yet. Next: Sun Dec 6 vs PDA SCP · Sat Dec 12 vs PSA North · Sat Dec 19 at Long Island Slammers See all 14 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 5 | NJ Crush FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 | 0.00 | — | +0.00 | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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No games played yet. Next: Sun Nov 29 vs PDA SCP · Sun Dec 13 vs PSA North · Sat Dec 19 at SUSA FC Northeast See all 14 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 6 | PDA SCP | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 | 0.00 | — | +0.00 | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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No games played yet. Next: Sat Nov 28 at Force FC · Sun Nov 29 at NJ Crush FC · Sat Dec 5 at Eastern FC See all 14 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 7 | PSA North | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 | 0.00 | — | +0.00 | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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No games played yet. Next: Sat Dec 12 at Manhattan SC · Sun Dec 13 at NJ Crush FC · Sun Dec 20 at Eastern FC See all 14 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 8 | SUSA FC Northeast | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 | 0.00 | — | +0.00 | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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No games played yet. Next: Sat Dec 12 at Force FC · Sun Dec 13 at Eastern FC · Sat Dec 19 vs NJ Crush FC See all 14 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.
How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.50 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.