Result · Sunday, Oct 18, 11:15 AM
Keystone Athletic 0–0 East Coast Surf -RL
Nazareth Middle School Turf · Field 1 ↗ · turf · 18064
Final
By today's ratings the model gave this result a 19% chance — an upset. Pre-match odds were 20% home, 19% draw, 61% away, most likely 1–2.
| Season so far | Keystone Athletic | East Coast Surf -RL |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 5th | 2nd |
| Record (W-D-L) | 1-1-2 | 3-1-0 |
| Points per game | 1.00 | 2.50 |
| Goals for / game | 2.0 | 3.3 |
| Goals against / game | 1.8 | 0.5 |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 2 |
| Held scoreless | 1 | 1 |
| Form (recent first) | D L W L | D W W W |
| Biggest win | 5–0 vs YMS | 6–1 vs New England Surf |
| Worst loss | 1–4 vs Reading Rage Surf | — |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | +0.12 | +1.39 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | +0.16 | -0.46 |
Already met this season: Oct 18 0–0 (home for Keystone Athletic)
Common opponents: Reading Rage Surf — Keystone Athletic 1–4; East Coast Surf -RL 4–1.
What's at stake
| Keystone Athletic | East Coast Surf -RL | |
|---|---|---|
| Position now | 5th | 2nd |
| Games left | 10 | 10 |
| Chance of top 4 | 27% | 100% |
| Chance of 1st | 0% | 29% |
| Average finish | 5.1 | 1.8 |
How the results connect
8 chains
2 favour Keystone Athletic, 5 favour East Coast Surf -RL, 1 even; average margin -1.8 goals toward Keystone Athletic.
- 0Keystone Athletic drew with East Coast Surf -RL 0–0
- -6Keystone Athletic lost to Reading Rage Surf 1–4 → Reading Rage Surf lost to East Coast Surf -RL 1–4
- -1Keystone Athletic lost to Quickstrike FC 2–3 → Quickstrike FC beat New England Surf 5–0 → New England Surf lost to East Coast Surf -RL 1–6
- -1Keystone Athletic beat YMS 5–0 → YMS lost to New England Surf 0–1 → New England Surf lost to East Coast Surf -RL 1–6
- +1Keystone Athletic beat YMS 5–0 → YMS lost to Albany Alleycats 0–1 → Albany Alleycats lost to East Coast Surf -RL 0–3
- +2Keystone Athletic beat YMS 5–0 → YMS drew with Reading Rage Surf 3–3 → Reading Rage Surf lost to East Coast Surf -RL 1–4
Full picture: Keystone Athletic · East Coast Surf -RL · Northeast GU13 standings