Result · Sunday, Oct 11, 02:00 PM
Walnut Creek Surf 1–2 Mt Diablo Mustang Soccer Red
Arbolado Park · Field 1 ↗ · 94598
Final
By today's ratings the model gave this result a 24% chance — a mild surprise. Pre-match odds were 56% home, 20% draw, 24% away, most likely 2–1.
| Season so far | Walnut Creek Surf | Mt Diablo Mustang Soccer Red |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 14th | 21st |
| Record (W-D-L) | 3-1-3 | 2-1-4 |
| Points per game | 1.43 | 1.00 |
| Goals for / game | 1.6 | 1.6 |
| Goals against / game | 1.9 | 3.1 |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 0 |
| Held scoreless | 1 | 1 |
| Form (recent first) | D L W L W | L W L W L |
| Biggest win | 4–0 vs SF United FC | 2–1 vs Eastshore Alliance FC |
| Worst loss | 0–7 at Reno APEX Soccer Club | 2–8 vs Alameda Soccer Club Islanders |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | -0.04 | -0.75 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | +0.56 | +0.85 |
Already met this season: Oct 11 1–2 (home for Walnut Creek Surf)
Common opponents: Alameda Soccer Club Islanders — Walnut Creek Surf 1–1; Mt Diablo Mustang Soccer Red 2–8.
What's at stake
| Walnut Creek Surf | Mt Diablo Mustang Soccer Red | |
|---|---|---|
| Position now | 14th | 21st |
| Games left | 8 | 8 |
| Chance of top 4 | 0% | 0% |
| Chance of 1st | 0% | 0% |
| Average finish | 13.6 | 18.4 |
How the results connect
6 chains
2 favour Walnut Creek Surf, 4 favour Mt Diablo Mustang Soccer Red; average margin +0.0 goals toward Walnut Creek Surf.
- -1Walnut Creek Surf lost to Mt Diablo Mustang Soccer Red 1–2
- +6Walnut Creek Surf drew with Alameda Soccer Club Islanders 1–1 → Alameda Soccer Club Islanders beat Mt Diablo Mustang Soccer Red 8–2
- -2Walnut Creek Surf lost to Elk Grove Soccer 1–2 → Elk Grove Soccer lost to Union FC 0–5 → Union FC beat Mt Diablo Mustang Soccer Red 6–2
- -2Walnut Creek Surf beat SF United FC 4–0 → SF United FC lost to Eastshore Alliance FC 2–7 → Eastshore Alliance FC lost to Mt Diablo Mustang Soccer Red 1–2
- +6Walnut Creek Surf beat San Juan South 1–0 → San Juan South beat South Valley United Soccer Club 4–0 → South Valley United Soccer Club beat Mt Diablo Mustang Soccer Red 2–1
- -7Walnut Creek Surf lost to Reno APEX Soccer Club 0–7 → Reno APEX Soccer Club lost to Los Gatos United Soccer Club 1–3 → Los Gatos United Soccer Club beat Mt Diablo Mustang Soccer Red 2–0
Full picture: Walnut Creek Surf · Mt Diablo Mustang Soccer Red · NorCal GU18/19 standings