Result · Saturday, Aug 15, 11:30 AM
Napa United 2–2 Mt Diablo Mustang Soccer Red
Davis Legacy · Field 14 ↗ · 95618
Final
By today's ratings the model gave this result a 21% chance — a mild surprise. Pre-match odds were 37% home, 21% draw, 42% away, most likely 1–1.
| Season so far | Napa United | Mt Diablo Mustang Soccer Red |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 19th | 21st |
| Record (W-D-L) | 2-1-4 | 2-1-4 |
| Points per game | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals for / game | 1.1 | 1.6 |
| Goals against / game | 2.4 | 3.1 |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 0 |
| Held scoreless | 3 | 1 |
| Form (recent first) | L L L L W | L W L W L |
| Biggest win | 2–0 vs Association FC | 2–1 vs Eastshore Alliance FC |
| Worst loss | 0–5 at Stanford Strikers | 2–8 vs Alameda Soccer Club Islanders |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | -0.98 | -0.75 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | +0.03 | +0.85 |
Already met this season: Aug 15 2–2 (home for Napa United)
Common opponents: Union FC — Napa United 0–1; Mt Diablo Mustang Soccer Red 2–6. Eastshore Alliance FC — Napa United 0–5; Mt Diablo Mustang Soccer Red 2–1.
What's at stake
| Napa United | Mt Diablo Mustang Soccer Red | |
|---|---|---|
| Position now | 19th | 21st |
| Games left | 9 | 8 |
| Chance of top 4 | 0% | 0% |
| Chance of 1st | 0% | 0% |
| Average finish | 20.6 | 18.5 |
How the results connect
10 chains
3 favour Napa United, 6 favour Mt Diablo Mustang Soccer Red, 1 even; average margin -2.3 goals toward Napa United.
- 0Napa United drew with Mt Diablo Mustang Soccer Red 2–2
- +3Napa United lost to Union FC 0–1 → Union FC beat Mt Diablo Mustang Soccer Red 6–2
- -6Napa United lost to Eastshore Alliance FC 0–5 → Eastshore Alliance FC lost to Mt Diablo Mustang Soccer Red 1–2
- +1Napa United beat Association FC 2–0 → Association FC lost to South Valley United Soccer Club 0–2 → South Valley United Soccer Club beat Mt Diablo Mustang Soccer Red 2–1
- +2Napa United beat San Ramon FC -RL 3–1 → San Ramon FC -RL lost to Alameda Soccer Club Islanders 0–6 → Alameda Soccer Club Islanders beat Mt Diablo Mustang Soccer Red 8–2
- -2Napa United beat Association FC 2–0 → Association FC lost to Union FC 0–8 → Union FC beat Mt Diablo Mustang Soccer Red 6–2
Full picture: Napa United · Mt Diablo Mustang Soccer Red · NorCal GU18/19 standings