Select South
ECNL Regional League Girls · New England GU17 · 9 teams · Select (all teams)
Next game — Sun Dec 6, 11:30 AM
Union Point Sports Complex, Field 4 ↗
●●●○○ Toss-up to win
Most likely score 2–2 (expected goals 2.7 for, 2.4 against · 1.58 expected points)
| Season so far | Select South | Scorpions SC |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 7th | 6th |
| Record (W-D-L) | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 |
| Points per game | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Goals for / game | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Goals against / game | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 |
| Held scoreless | 0 | 0 |
| Form (recent first) | — | — |
| Biggest win | — | — |
| Worst loss | — | — |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | +0.00 | +0.00 |
Game plan
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They struggle to score
Scorpions SC average 0.0 goals/game (league avg 2.5); blanked in 0 of 0.A higher defensive line and an aggressive counter-press are low-risk here. Keep the back line connected to midfield so one long ball doesn't turn into a 1v1 — that is the only way this opponent scores.
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Swing game — small margins
Win 47% / draw 18% / loss 35%.Games like this are decided by one set piece or one transition. Prioritise the strongest XI for the full game, be disciplined with fouls near the box, and have a clear late-game plan for both "protect the lead" and "chase".
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What a win does
Scorpions SC sit 6th on 0.00 PPG; we are on 0.00.A point moves us above Scorpions SC on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.
If Sunday goes…
Where we'd sit after the Scorpions SC game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Select South – Scorpions SC) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 0 other games that week (Mon Nov 30 – Sun Dec 6); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.
| Our result | Rivals don't play | Likely results | Every rival wins |
|---|---|---|---|
| – Draw · 1.00 PPG |
2nd▲ up 5 | 2nd▲ up 5 | 2nd▲ up 5 |
| Win 3.00 PPG |
1st▲ up 6 | 1st▲ up 6 | 1st▲ up 6 |
| Draw 1.00 PPG |
2nd▲ up 5 | 2nd▲ up 5 | 2nd▲ up 5 |
| Loss 0.00 PPG |
9th▼ down 2 | 9th▼ down 2 | 9th▼ down 2 |
Can we move up this round? Yes. With a 2–2 draw we finish as high as 2nd if every rival drops points, whatever the rivals do.
Where we finish
2,000 simulated seasons
- 1st 11%
- 2nd 11%
- 3rd 13%
- 4th 11%
- 5th 13%
- 6th 11%
- 7th 11%
- 8th 11%
- 9th 9%
Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.
Climbing the table
What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 16 remaining known games (max 3.00 PPG if we win out).
| # | Team | PPG | Proj. | To pass them |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Connecticut FC United | 0.00 (+0.00) | 4th (1.41) | Already ahead |
| 2 | East Meadow Soccer Club | 0.00 (+0.00) | 5th (1.41) | Already ahead |
| 3 | FC Stars Blue | 0.00 (+0.00) | 9th (1.39) | Already ahead |
| 4 | FC Stars White | 0.00 (+0.00) | 1st (1.43) | Already ahead |
| 5 | FSA FC | 0.00 (+0.00) | 6th (1.41) | Already ahead |
| 6 | Scorpions SC | 0.00 (+0.00) | 2nd (1.41) | Already ahead |
The path
run-in difficulty +0.00 · 7th hardest of 9
| Date | Opponent | Where | Difficulty | Win | Likely | Exp. pts | Run. PPG | Priority |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun Dec 6 11:30 AM |
Scorpions SC 6th · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Home Union Point Sports Complex |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 47% |
2–2 | 1.58 | 1.58 | Swing game |
| Sat Dec 19 01:15 PM |
FC Stars White 4th · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Away far trip
FC Stars Soccer Complex |
●●●●○ Tough | 35% |
2–2 | 1.24 | 1.41 | Upside |
| Sat Mar 6 TBD |
FC Stars White 4th · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Home |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 47% |
2–2 | 1.58 | 1.47 | Swing game |
| Sun Mar 7 TBD |
FC Stars Blue 3rd · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Home |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 47% |
2–2 | 1.58 | 1.49 | Swing game |
| Sat Mar 13 04:30 PM |
FSA FC 5th · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Away far trip
FSA-Farmington Sports Arena |
●●●●○ Tough | 35% |
2–2 | 1.24 | 1.44 | Upside |
| Sat Mar 20 TBD |
World Class FC 9th · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Away |
●●●●○ Tough | 35% |
2–2 | 1.24 | 1.41 | Upside |
| Sun Mar 21 TBD |
Connecticut FC United 1st · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Away |
●●●●○ Tough | 35% |
2–2 | 1.24 | 1.39 | Upside |
| Sat Mar 27 TBD |
FSA FC 5th · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Home |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 47% |
2–2 | 1.58 | 1.41 | Swing game |
| Sun Apr 11 TBD |
FC Stars Blue 3rd · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Away |
●●●●○ Tough | 35% |
2–2 | 1.24 | 1.39 | Upside |
| Sat Apr 17 TBD |
SUSA FC 8th · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Away |
●●●●○ Tough | 35% |
2–2 | 1.24 | 1.38 | Upside |
| Sun Apr 18 12:00 PM |
East Meadow Soccer Club 2nd · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Away far trip
Allen Park · turf |
●●●●○ Tough | 35% |
2–2 | 1.24 | 1.36 | Upside |
| Wed Apr 21 TBD |
Scorpions SC 6th · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Away |
●●●●○ Tough | 35% |
2–2 | 1.24 | 1.35 | Upside |
| Sat May 8 TBD |
SUSA FC 8th · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Home |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 47% |
2–2 | 1.58 | 1.37 | Swing game |
| Sun May 9 TBD |
East Meadow Soccer Club 2nd · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Home |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 47% |
2–2 | 1.58 | 1.39 | Swing game |
| Sat May 15 TBD |
World Class FC 9th · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Home |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 47% |
2–2 | 1.58 | 1.40 | Swing game |
| Sun May 16 TBD |
Connecticut FC United 1st · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Home |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 47% |
2–2 | 1.58 | 1.41 | Swing game |
"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.
Standings
| # | Team | GP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | Form | SoS | Run-in | Top 4 | Exp. finish | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Connecticut FC United | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 | 0.00 | — | +0.00 | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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No games played yet. Next: Sat Dec 12 vs World Class FC · Sat Mar 6 at SUSA FC · Sun Mar 7 at East Meadow Soccer Club See all 16 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 2 | East Meadow Soccer Club | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 | 0.00 | — | +0.00 | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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No games played yet. Next: Sat Dec 19 at World Class FC · Sun Dec 20 at FSA FC · Sat Mar 6 vs FSA FC See all 16 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 3 | FC Stars Blue | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 | 0.00 | — | +0.00 | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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No games played yet. Next: Sat Dec 12 vs FSA FC · Sun Dec 13 vs Scorpions SC · Sat Feb 27 at FC Stars White See all 16 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 4 | FC Stars White | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 | 0.00 | — | +0.00 | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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No games played yet. Next: Sat Dec 12 vs Scorpions SC · Sun Dec 13 vs FSA FC · Sat Dec 19 vs Select South See all 16 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 5 | FSA FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 | 0.00 | — | +0.00 | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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No games played yet. Next: Sat Dec 12 at FC Stars Blue · Sun Dec 13 at FC Stars White · Sat Dec 19 vs SUSA FC See all 16 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 6 | Scorpions SC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 | 0.00 | — | +0.00 | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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No games played yet. Next: Sun Dec 6 at Select South · Sat Dec 12 at FC Stars White · Sun Dec 13 at FC Stars Blue See all 16 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 7 | Select South | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 | 0.00 | — | +0.00 | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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No games played yet. Next: Sun Dec 6 vs Scorpions SC · Sat Dec 19 at FC Stars White · Sat Mar 6 vs FC Stars White See all 16 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 8 | SUSA FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 | 0.00 | — | +0.00 | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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No games played yet. Next: Sat Dec 19 at FSA FC · Sun Dec 20 at World Class FC · Sat Mar 6 vs Connecticut FC United See all 16 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 9 | World Class FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 | 0.00 | — | +0.00 | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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No games played yet. Next: Sat Dec 12 at Connecticut FC United · Sat Dec 19 vs East Meadow Soccer Club · Sun Dec 20 vs SUSA FC See all 16 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.
How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.50 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.