TableChase Clubs

Colorado Storm North

ECNL Regional League Girls · Mountain GU15 · 19 teams · Colorado Storm (all teams)

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19th
0-0-11 record · 11 played
0.00 points per game
-49 goal diff · 10–59
LLLLLlast 5
0% chance of top 4 · expected finish 19.0
+0.31 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sat Oct 24, 11:00 AM

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Colorado Storm North
19th · 0.00 PPG
vs
Colorado EDGE
7th · 1.09 PPG

Stargate Charter School, Field 2 ↗

windrawloss

●●●●● Very tough to win

Most likely score 1–3 (expected goals 1.2 for, 3.9 against · 0.30 expected points)

Season so farColorado Storm NorthColorado EDGE
Position19th7th
Record (W-D-L)0-0-114-0-7
Points per game0.001.09
Goals for / game0.91.9
Goals against / game5.42.0
Clean sheets02
Held scoreless43
Form (recent first)L L L L LL L L L L
Biggest win—6–0 vs Real Colorado Olympico
Worst loss1–14 at Pride SC1–6 at Colorado Storm Central
Model rating (net goals vs avg)-3.35-0.02
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)+0.31+0.58

Already played this season: Sat Aug 29 1–5 at Colorado EDGE (L)

Common opponents: Colorado Storm Central — we 1–6, 0–4; they 1–6, 0–1. Colorado Storm South — we 2–3, 0–7; they 1–2, 1–2. Pride SC — we 1–14; they 0–3, 1–2. Colorado Rush — we 2–3; they 2–1. Arsenal Colorado — we 0–6, 0–2; they 4–0, 0–4. Real Colorado Olympico — we 2–5, 1–4; they 6–0.

Game plan

  • Finishing wins the tight ones
    Held scoreless 4 time(s): 0–4 vs Colorado Storm Central, 0–6 at Arsenal Colorado, 0–2 vs Arsenal Colorado, 0–7 at Colorado Storm South.

    Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.

  • Underdog — play free, stay organised
    Model gives 7%; a draw (9%) would be a good result.

    Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.

  • Confidence is low on their side
    Colorado EDGE have lost 7 straight (form: LLLLL).

    Teams on losing runs go quiet after conceding. An early goal usually ends the contest — start fast.

  • What a win does
    Utah Surf sit 18th on 0.00 PPG; we are on 0.00.

    A point moves us above Utah Surf on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.

If Saturday goes…

Where we'd sit after the Colorado EDGE game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Colorado Storm North – Colorado EDGE) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 4 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Loss · 0.00 PPG
19th— holds 19th— holds 19th— holds
Win
0.25 PPG
10th▲ up 9 10th▲ up 9 10th▲ up 9
Draw
0.08 PPG
10th▲ up 9 10th▲ up 9 10th▲ up 9
Loss
0.00 PPG
19th— holds 19th— holds 19th— holds

Can we move up this round? No. With a 1–3 loss we stay 19th even if every rival loses, whatever the rivals do.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

0% finish 1st
0% top 4
100% below the top 4
19.0 average finish
  1. 1st
  2. 2nd
  3. 3rd
  4. 4th
  5. 5th
  6. 6th
  7. 7th
  8. 8th
  9. 9th
  10. 10th
  11. 11th
  12. 12th
  13. 13th
  14. 14th
  15. 15th
  16. 16th
  17. 17th
  18. 18th <1%
  19. 19th 100%

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 9 remaining known games (max 1.35 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 Pride SC 3.00 (+3.00) 1st (2.68) 60 of 27 pts to pass their current pace, 54 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
2 Colorado Storm Central 2.30 (+2.30) 2nd (2.12) 46 of 27 pts to pass their current pace, 43 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
3 Arsenal Colorado 2.27 (+2.27) 4th (1.98) 46 of 27 pts to pass their current pace, 40 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
4 CCV STARS 2.25 (+2.25) 3rd (2.09) 45 of 27 pts to pass their current pace, 42 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
5 Colorado Storm South 1.58 (+1.58) 5th (1.58) 32 of 27 pts to pass their current pace, 32 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
6 Arizona Soccer Club 1.50 (+1.50) 16th (1.29) 30 of 27 pts to pass their current pace, 26 for their projection
7 Colorado EDGE 1.09 (+1.09) 15th (1.32) 22 of 27 pts to pass their current pace, 27 for their projection
8 Colorado Rush 1.00 (+1.00) 17th (0.98) 20 of 27 pts to pass their current pace, 20 for their projection
9 Real Colorado Olympico 0.69 (+0.69) 18th (0.63) 14 of 27 pts to pass their current pace, 13 for their projection
10 Avalanche 0.00 (+0.00) 6th (1.42) Already ahead
11 Boise Thorns 0.00 (+0.00) 10th (1.39) Already ahead
12 El Paso Locomotive FC G11/12 0.00 (+0.00) 13th (1.33) Already ahead
13 Idaho Rush 0.00 (+0.00) 11th (1.39) Already ahead
14 La Roca FC North 0.00 (+0.00) 8th (1.41) Already ahead
15 La Roca FC South 0.00 (+0.00) 9th (1.40) Already ahead
16 NM Rapids SC 0.00 (+0.00) 14th (1.33) Already ahead
17 NUU Avalanche 0.00 (+0.00) 12th (1.37) Already ahead
18 Utah Surf 0.00 (+0.00) 7th (1.42) Already ahead

How the results connect

123 chains · 6 teams

Paths of results that link Colorado Storm North to Colorado EDGE through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

12 favour us
17 even
94 favour them
-4.3 goals per chain on average. The results point their way.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
1–5 2–3 2–1 2–1 1–6 6–1 0–4 0–2 4–0 0–6 2–3 1–2 1–0 0–7 Colorado Storm North 19th Colorado Storm South 5th Colorado Storm Cent… 2nd Arsenal Colorado 3rd Colorado Rush 8th Colorado EDGE 7th

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

12 chains

Position over the season

16 game days

1st 10th 19th Aug 16 Sep 5 Sep 19 Sep 27 Oct 10 Oct 18

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty +0.22 · 5th hardest of 19

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sat Oct 24
11:00 AM
Colorado EDGE
7th · 4-0-7 · GD -1
Home
Stargate Charter School
●●●●● Very tough
7%
1–3 0.30 0.02 Upside
Sun Oct 25
01:00 PM
Pride SC
1st · 9-0-0 · GD +38
Home
Stargate Charter School
●●●●● Very tough
0%
0–8 0.01 0.02 Upside
Sat Nov 7
TBD
Colorado Rush
8th · 3-2-6 · GD -11
Away
●●●●● Very tough
12%
1–2 0.52 0.06 Upside
Sat Nov 21
11:00 AM
Avalanche
10th · 0-0-0 · GD +0
Home
Stargate Charter School
●●●●● Very tough
6%
1–4 0.26 0.07 Upside
Sun Nov 22
11:00 AM
NUU Avalanche
17th · 0-0-0 · GD +0
Home
Stargate Charter School
●●●●● Very tough
6%
1–4 0.26 0.08 Upside
Sat Dec 12
11:00 AM
El Paso Locomotive FC G11/12
12th · 0-0-0 · GD +0
Home
Stargate Charter School
●●●●● Very tough
6%
1–4 0.26 0.09 Upside
Sun Dec 13
11:00 AM
NM Rapids SC
16th · 0-0-0 · GD +0
Home
Stargate Charter School
●●●●● Very tough
6%
1–4 0.26 0.10 Upside
Sat Feb 20
TBD
Idaho Rush
13th · 0-0-0 · GD +0
Away
●●●●● Very tough
3%
1–4 0.15 0.11 Upside
Sun Feb 21
TBD
Boise Thorns
11th · 0-0-0 · GD +0
Away
●●●●● Very tough
3%
1–4 0.15 0.11 Upside

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 Pride SC 9900 468+38 273.00 WWWWW -0.63 +0.09 100% 1.1
2 Colorado Storm Central 10721 3211+21 232.30 WWLWD -0.70 +0.42 90% 3.0
3 Arsenal Colorado 11812 3215+17 252.27 WWWWD -0.66 +0.53 72% 4.0
4 CCV STARS 4301 157+8 92.25 LWWW +0.06 -0.03 78% 3.5
5 Colorado Storm South 12615 3223+9 191.58 WWLLW -0.17 +0.22 5% 7.8
6 Arizona Soccer Club 4202 78-1 61.50 WLLW +0.06 +0.24 3% 11.6
7 Colorado EDGE 11407 2122-1 121.09 LLLLL +0.58 -0.65 0% 11.4
8 Colorado Rush 11326 1021-11 111.00 DLLWL +0.09 +0.08 0% 15.5
9 Real Colorado Olympico 133010 1546-31 90.69 WWWLL +0.08 +0.30 0% 17.8
10 Avalanche 0000 00+0 00.00 — -0.08 ——
11 Boise Thorns 0000 00+0 00.00 — -0.00 ——
12 El Paso Locomotive FC G11/12 0000 00+0 00.00 — +0.08 ——
13 Idaho Rush 0000 00+0 00.00 — -0.00 ——
14 La Roca FC North 0000 00+0 00.00 — +0.04 ——
15 La Roca FC South 0000 00+0 00.00 — +0.04 ——
16 NM Rapids SC 0000 00+0 00.00 — +0.08 ——
17 NUU Avalanche 0000 00+0 00.00 — -0.00 ——
18 Utah Surf 0000 00+0 00.00 — +0.04 ——
19 Colorado Storm North 110011 1059-49 00.00 LLLLL +0.31 +0.22 0% 19.0

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.19 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.