Tennessee SC Murfreesboro

ECNL Regional League Girls · Mid-America GU16 · 9 teams · Tennessee SC (all teams)

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7th

0-0-0 record · 0 played

0.00 points per game

+0 goal diff · 0–0

last 0

42% chance of top 4 · expected finish 5.0

+0.00 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sat Nov 14, TBD

Open the match preview →

Tennessee SC Murfreesboro
7th · 0.00 PPG

Chattanooga Red Wolves
2nd · 0.00 PPG

Venue TBD

36% 14% 50%

windrawloss

●●●●○ Tough to win

Most likely score 4–4 (expected goals 4.3 for, 4.9 against · 1.22 expected points)

Season so far	Tennessee SC Murfreesboro	Chattanooga Red Wolves
Position	7th	2nd
Record (W-D-L)	0-0-0	0-0-0
Points per game	0.00	0.00
Goals for / game	0.0	0.0
Goals against / game	0.0	0.0
Clean sheets	0	0
Held scoreless	0	0
Form (recent first)	—	—
Biggest win	—	—
Worst loss	—	—
Model rating (net goals vs avg)	+0.00	+0.00
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)	+0.00	+0.00

Game plan

They struggle to score
Chattanooga Red Wolves average 0.0 goals/game (league avg 4.5); blanked in 0 of 0.
A higher defensive line and an aggressive counter-press are low-risk here. Keep the back line connected to midfield so one long ball doesn't turn into a 1v1 — that is the only way this opponent scores.
Underdog — play free, stay organised
Model gives 36%; a draw (14%) would be a good result.
Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.
Away game
Kickoff TBD at TBD.
Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.
What a win does
Lobos Rush sit 6th on 0.00 PPG; we are on 0.00.
A point moves us above Lobos Rush on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.

If Saturday goes…

Where we'd sit after the Chattanooga Red Wolves game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Tennessee SC Murfreesboro – Chattanooga Red Wolves) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 0 other games that week (Mon Nov 9 – Sun Nov 15); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our result	Rivals don't play	Likely results	Every rival wins
– Draw · 1.00 PPG	3rd▲ up 4	3rd▲ up 4	3rd▲ up 4
Win 3.00 PPG	2nd▲ up 5	2nd▲ up 5	2nd▲ up 5
Draw 1.00 PPG	3rd▲ up 4	3rd▲ up 4	3rd▲ up 4
Loss 0.00 PPG	8th▼ down 1	8th▼ down 1	8th▼ down 1

Can we move up this round? Yes. With a 4–4 draw we finish as high as 3rd if every rival drops points, whatever the rivals do.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

0% finish 1st

42% top 4

58% below the top 4

5.0 average finish

1st <1%
2nd 14%
3rd 14%
4th 14%
5th 14%
6th 15%
7th 15%
8th 14%
9th <1%

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 16 remaining known games (max 3.00 PPG if we win out).

#	Team	PPG	Proj.	To pass them
1	Mississippi Rush United	3.00 (+3.00)	1st (2.48)	Win next game
2	Chattanooga Red Wolves	0.00 (+0.00)	5th (1.44)	Already ahead
3	FC Alliance TN	0.00 (+0.00)	3rd (1.44)	Already ahead
4	Germantown Legends	0.00 (+0.00)	6th (1.44)	Already ahead
5	Indy Eleven Spirit	0.00 (+0.00)	2nd (1.47)	Already ahead
6	Lobos Rush	0.00 (+0.00)	4th (1.44)	Already ahead

Position over the season

2 game days

Not enough game days yet to draw a line.

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty +0.00 · 6th hardest of 9

Date	Opponent	Where	Difficulty	Win	Likely	Exp. pts	Run. PPG	Priority
Sat Nov 14 TBD	Chattanooga Red Wolves 2nd · 0-0-0 · GD +0	Away	●●●●○ Tough	36%	4–4	1.22	1.22	Upside
Sat Dec 5 TBD	Mississippi Surf 9th · 0-0-2 · GD -17	Home	●○○○○ Favorable	83%	6–2	2.56	1.89	Bank it
Sat Dec 12 TBD	FC Alliance TN 3rd · 0-0-0 · GD +0	Away	●●●●○ Tough	36%	4–4	1.22	1.67	Upside
Sun Dec 13 12:00 PM	Germantown Legends 4th · 0-0-0 · GD +0	Home Rockvale High School · turf?	●●●○○ Toss-up	50%	4–4	1.65	1.66	Swing game
Sat Feb 6 02:00 PM	Lobos Rush 6th · 0-0-0 · GD +0	Home Richard Siegel Soccer Complex	●●●○○ Toss-up	50%	4–4	1.65	1.66	Swing game
Sat Feb 13 TBD	Chattanooga Red Wolves 2nd · 0-0-0 · GD +0	Home	●●●○○ Toss-up	50%	4–4	1.65	1.66	Swing game
Sat Feb 20 TBD	Indy Eleven Spirit 5th · 0-0-0 · GD +0	Away	●●●●○ Tough	36%	4–4	1.22	1.59	Upside
Sun Feb 21 12:00 PM	Tennessee United SC 8th · 0-0-0 · GD +0	Home Richard Siegel Soccer Complex	●●●○○ Toss-up	50%	4–4	1.65	1.60	Swing game
Sat Mar 6 09:00 AM	Germantown Legends 4th · 0-0-0 · GD +0	Away far trip Snowden Groove Soccer Park	●●●●○ Tough	36%	4–4	1.22	1.56	Upside
Sun Mar 7 04:00 PM	Lobos Rush 6th · 0-0-0 · GD +0	Away far trip W.C. Johnson Turf Park · turf	●●●●○ Tough	36%	4–4	1.22	1.52	Upside
Sat Mar 20 TBD	FC Alliance TN 3rd · 0-0-0 · GD +0	Home	●●●○○ Toss-up	50%	4–4	1.65	1.53	Swing game
Sun Mar 21 10:00 AM	Mississippi Rush United 1st · 2-0-0 · GD +17	Home Richard Siegel Soccer Complex	●●●●● Very tough	17%	3–5	0.61	1.46	Upside
Sat Apr 17 TBD	Indy Eleven Spirit 5th · 0-0-0 · GD +0	Home	●●●○○ Toss-up	50%	4–4	1.65	1.47	Swing game
Sat Apr 24 03:00 PM	Mississippi Rush United 1st · 2-0-0 · GD +17	Away far trip Freedom Ridge Park	●●●●● Very tough	10%	2–6	0.36	1.39	Upside
Sun Apr 25 TBD	Mississippi Surf 9th · 0-0-2 · GD -17	Away	●●○○○ Lean win	73%	5–3	2.28	1.45	Bank it
Sat May 1 11:00 AM	Tennessee United SC 8th · 0-0-0 · GD +0	Away far trip Moss Wright Park (MWP)	●●●●○ Tough	36%	4–4	1.22	1.44	Upside

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

Team

Pts

PPG

Form

SoS

Run-in

Top 4

Exp. finish

Mississippi Rush United

+17

3.00

-2.99

+0.00

100%

1.0

W	Sun Oct 18	at	Mississippi Surf (9th)	11–0
W	Sat Oct 17	at	Mississippi Surf (9th)	7–1

Next: Sat Feb 20 at FC Alliance TN · Sun Feb 21 at Chattanooga Red Wolves · Sat Mar 20 at Tennessee United SC See all 14 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Feb 20	at	FC Alliance TN (3rd)	5–3	73%
·	Sun Feb 21	at	Chattanooga Red Wolves (2nd)	5–3	73%
·	Sat Mar 20	at	Tennessee United SC (8th)	5–3	73%
·	Sun Mar 21	at	Tennessee SC Murfreesboro (7th)	5–3	73%
·	Sat Apr 10	vs	FC Alliance TN (3rd)	6–2	83%
·	Sun Apr 11	vs	Chattanooga Red Wolves (2nd)	6–2	83%
·	Sat Apr 17	at	Germantown Legends (4th)	5–3	73%
·	Sun Apr 18	at	Lobos Rush (6th)	5–3	73%
·	Sat Apr 24	vs	Tennessee SC Murfreesboro (7th)	6–2	83%
·	Sun Apr 25	vs	Tennessee United SC (8th)	6–2	83%
·	Sat May 1	vs	Germantown Legends (4th)	6–2	83%
·	Sun May 2	vs	Lobos Rush (6th)	6–2	83%
·	Sat May 8	at	Indy Eleven Spirit (5th)	5–3	73%
·	Sun May 9	at	Indy Eleven Spirit (5th)	5–3	73%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Chattanooga Red Wolves

0.00

—

+0.00

—

No games played yet.

Next: Sat Nov 14 vs Tennessee SC Murfreesboro · Sat Dec 5 at Germantown Legends · Sun Dec 6 at Lobos Rush See all 16 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Nov 14	vs	Tennessee SC Murfreesboro (7th)	4–4	50%
·	Sat Dec 5	at	Germantown Legends (4th)	4–4	36%
·	Sun Dec 6	at	Lobos Rush (6th)	4–4	36%
·	Sat Jan 30	vs	Tennessee United SC (8th)	4–4	50%
·	Sun Feb 7	vs	Indy Eleven Spirit (5th)	4–4	50%
·	Sat Feb 13	at	Tennessee SC Murfreesboro (7th)	4–4	36%
·	Sat Feb 20	vs	Mississippi Surf (9th)	6–2	83%
·	Sun Feb 21	vs	Mississippi Rush United (1st)	3–5	17%
·	Sun Feb 28	vs	Germantown Legends (4th)	4–4	50%
·	Sat Mar 6	at	Tennessee United SC (8th)	4–4	36%
·	Sun Mar 7	at	Indy Eleven Spirit (5th)	4–4	36%
·	Sat Mar 20	vs	Lobos Rush (6th)	4–4	50%
·	Sat Apr 3	at	FC Alliance TN (3rd)	4–4	36%
·	Sat Apr 10	at	Mississippi Surf (9th)	5–3	73%
·	Sun Apr 11	at	Mississippi Rush United (1st)	2–6	10%
·	Sat Apr 24	vs	FC Alliance TN (3rd)	4–4	50%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

FC Alliance TN

0.00

—

+0.00

—

No games played yet.

Next: Sat Dec 5 at Lobos Rush · Sun Dec 6 at Germantown Legends · Sat Dec 12 vs Tennessee SC Murfreesboro See all 16 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Dec 5	at	Lobos Rush (6th)	4–4	36%
·	Sun Dec 6	at	Germantown Legends (4th)	4–4	36%
·	Sat Dec 12	vs	Tennessee SC Murfreesboro (7th)	4–4	50%
·	Sun Jan 31	vs	Tennessee United SC (8th)	4–4	50%
·	Sat Feb 6	vs	Indy Eleven Spirit (5th)	4–4	50%
·	Sat Feb 20	vs	Mississippi Rush United (1st)	3–5	17%
·	Sun Feb 21	vs	Mississippi Surf (9th)	6–2	83%
·	Sat Feb 27	vs	Germantown Legends (4th)	4–4	50%
·	Sun Feb 28	vs	Lobos Rush (6th)	4–4	50%
·	Sat Mar 6	at	Indy Eleven Spirit (5th)	4–4	36%
·	Sun Mar 7	at	Tennessee United SC (8th)	4–4	36%
·	Sat Mar 20	at	Tennessee SC Murfreesboro (7th)	4–4	36%
·	Sat Apr 3	vs	Chattanooga Red Wolves (2nd)	4–4	50%
·	Sat Apr 10	at	Mississippi Rush United (1st)	2–6	10%
·	Sun Apr 11	at	Mississippi Surf (9th)	5–3	73%
·	Sat Apr 24	at	Chattanooga Red Wolves (2nd)	4–4	36%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Germantown Legends

0.00

—

+0.00

—

No games played yet.

Next: Sun Nov 22 vs Tennessee United SC · Sat Dec 5 vs Chattanooga Red Wolves · Sun Dec 6 vs FC Alliance TN See all 16 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sun Nov 22	vs	Tennessee United SC (8th)	4–4	50%
·	Sat Dec 5	vs	Chattanooga Red Wolves (2nd)	4–4	50%
·	Sun Dec 6	vs	FC Alliance TN (3rd)	4–4	50%
·	Sat Dec 12	at	Indy Eleven Spirit (5th)	4–4	36%
·	Sun Dec 13	at	Tennessee SC Murfreesboro (7th)	4–4	36%
·	Wed Feb 10	vs	Lobos Rush (6th)	4–4	50%
·	Sat Feb 27	at	FC Alliance TN (3rd)	4–4	36%
·	Sun Feb 28	at	Chattanooga Red Wolves (2nd)	4–4	36%
·	Thu Mar 4	at	Lobos Rush (6th)	4–4	36%
·	Sat Mar 6	vs	Tennessee SC Murfreesboro (7th)	4–4	50%
·	Sat Apr 3	vs	Indy Eleven Spirit (5th)	4–4	50%
·	Sun Apr 11	at	Tennessee United SC (8th)	4–4	36%
·	Sat Apr 17	vs	Mississippi Rush United (1st)	3–5	17%
·	Sun Apr 18	vs	Mississippi Surf (9th)	6–2	83%
·	Tue Apr 20	at	Mississippi Surf (9th)	5–3	73%
·	Sat May 1	at	Mississippi Rush United (1st)	2–6	10%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Indy Eleven Spirit

0.00

—

+0.00

—

No games played yet.

Next: Sat Dec 12 vs Germantown Legends · Sat Feb 6 at FC Alliance TN · Sun Feb 7 at Chattanooga Red Wolves See all 16 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Dec 12	vs	Germantown Legends (4th)	4–4	50%
·	Sat Feb 6	at	FC Alliance TN (3rd)	4–4	36%
·	Sun Feb 7	at	Chattanooga Red Wolves (2nd)	4–4	36%
·	Sat Feb 20	vs	Tennessee SC Murfreesboro (7th)	4–4	50%
·	Sat Feb 27	at	Tennessee United SC (8th)	4–4	36%
·	Sat Mar 6	vs	FC Alliance TN (3rd)	4–4	50%
·	Sun Mar 7	vs	Chattanooga Red Wolves (2nd)	4–4	50%
·	Sat Mar 13	vs	Tennessee United SC (8th)	4–4	50%
·	Sat Apr 3	at	Germantown Legends (4th)	4–4	36%
·	Sun Apr 4	at	Lobos Rush (6th)	4–4	36%
·	Sun Apr 11	vs	Lobos Rush (6th)	4–4	50%
·	Sat Apr 17	at	Tennessee SC Murfreesboro (7th)	4–4	36%
·	Sat May 1	vs	Mississippi Surf (9th)	6–2	83%
·	Sun May 2	vs	Mississippi Surf (9th)	6–2	83%
·	Sat May 8	vs	Mississippi Rush United (1st)	3–5	17%
·	Sun May 9	vs	Mississippi Rush United (1st)	3–5	17%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Lobos Rush

0.00

—

+0.00

—

No games played yet.

Next: Sat Dec 5 vs FC Alliance TN · Sun Dec 6 vs Chattanooga Red Wolves · Sat Dec 12 vs Tennessee United SC See all 16 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Dec 5	vs	FC Alliance TN (3rd)	4–4	50%
·	Sun Dec 6	vs	Chattanooga Red Wolves (2nd)	4–4	50%
·	Sat Dec 12	vs	Tennessee United SC (8th)	4–4	50%
·	Sat Feb 6	at	Tennessee SC Murfreesboro (7th)	4–4	36%
·	Wed Feb 10	at	Germantown Legends (4th)	4–4	36%
·	Sun Feb 28	at	FC Alliance TN (3rd)	4–4	36%
·	Thu Mar 4	vs	Germantown Legends (4th)	4–4	50%
·	Sat Mar 6	at	Mississippi Surf (9th)	5–3	73%
·	Sun Mar 7	vs	Tennessee SC Murfreesboro (7th)	4–4	50%
·	Sat Mar 20	at	Chattanooga Red Wolves (2nd)	4–4	36%
·	Sun Apr 4	vs	Indy Eleven Spirit (5th)	4–4	50%
·	Sat Apr 10	at	Tennessee United SC (8th)	4–4	36%
·	Sun Apr 11	at	Indy Eleven Spirit (5th)	4–4	36%
·	Sat Apr 17	vs	Mississippi Surf (9th)	6–2	83%
·	Sun Apr 18	vs	Mississippi Rush United (1st)	3–5	17%
·	Sun May 2	at	Mississippi Rush United (1st)	2–6	10%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Tennessee SC Murfreesboro

0.00

—

+0.00

—

No games played yet.

Next: Sat Nov 14 at Chattanooga Red Wolves · Sat Dec 5 vs Mississippi Surf · Sat Dec 12 at FC Alliance TN See all 16 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Nov 14	at	Chattanooga Red Wolves (2nd)	4–4	36%
·	Sat Dec 5	vs	Mississippi Surf (9th)	6–2	83%
·	Sat Dec 12	at	FC Alliance TN (3rd)	4–4	36%
·	Sun Dec 13	vs	Germantown Legends (4th)	4–4	50%
·	Sat Feb 6	vs	Lobos Rush (6th)	4–4	50%
·	Sat Feb 13	vs	Chattanooga Red Wolves (2nd)	4–4	50%
·	Sat Feb 20	at	Indy Eleven Spirit (5th)	4–4	36%
·	Sun Feb 21	vs	Tennessee United SC (8th)	4–4	50%
·	Sat Mar 6	at	Germantown Legends (4th)	4–4	36%
·	Sun Mar 7	at	Lobos Rush (6th)	4–4	36%
·	Sat Mar 20	vs	FC Alliance TN (3rd)	4–4	50%
·	Sun Mar 21	vs	Mississippi Rush United (1st)	3–5	17%
·	Sat Apr 17	vs	Indy Eleven Spirit (5th)	4–4	50%
·	Sat Apr 24	at	Mississippi Rush United (1st)	2–6	10%
·	Sun Apr 25	at	Mississippi Surf (9th)	5–3	73%
·	Sat May 1	at	Tennessee United SC (8th)	4–4	36%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Tennessee United SC

0.00

—

+0.00

—

No games played yet.

Next: Sun Nov 22 at Germantown Legends · Sat Dec 12 at Lobos Rush · Sat Jan 30 at Chattanooga Red Wolves See all 16 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sun Nov 22	at	Germantown Legends (4th)	4–4	36%
·	Sat Dec 12	at	Lobos Rush (6th)	4–4	36%
·	Sat Jan 30	at	Chattanooga Red Wolves (2nd)	4–4	36%
·	Sun Jan 31	at	FC Alliance TN (3rd)	4–4	36%
·	Sun Feb 21	at	Tennessee SC Murfreesboro (7th)	4–4	36%
·	Sat Feb 27	vs	Indy Eleven Spirit (5th)	4–4	50%
·	Sat Mar 6	vs	Chattanooga Red Wolves (2nd)	4–4	50%
·	Sun Mar 7	vs	FC Alliance TN (3rd)	4–4	50%
·	Sat Mar 13	at	Indy Eleven Spirit (5th)	4–4	36%
·	Sat Mar 20	vs	Mississippi Rush United (1st)	3–5	17%
·	Sun Mar 21	vs	Mississippi Surf (9th)	6–2	83%
·	Sat Apr 10	vs	Lobos Rush (6th)	4–4	50%
·	Sun Apr 11	vs	Germantown Legends (4th)	4–4	50%
·	Sat Apr 24	at	Mississippi Surf (9th)	5–3	73%
·	Sun Apr 25	at	Mississippi Rush United (1st)	2–6	10%
·	Sat May 1	vs	Tennessee SC Murfreesboro (7th)	4–4	50%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Mississippi Surf

-17

0.00

+2.99

+0.00

9.0

L	Sun Oct 18	vs	Mississippi Rush United (1st)	0–11
L	Sat Oct 17	vs	Mississippi Rush United (1st)	1–7

Next: Sat Dec 5 at Tennessee SC Murfreesboro · Sat Feb 20 at Chattanooga Red Wolves · Sun Feb 21 at FC Alliance TN See all 14 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Dec 5	at	Tennessee SC Murfreesboro (7th)	2–6	10%
·	Sat Feb 20	at	Chattanooga Red Wolves (2nd)	2–6	10%
·	Sun Feb 21	at	FC Alliance TN (3rd)	2–6	10%
·	Sat Mar 6	vs	Lobos Rush (6th)	3–5	17%
·	Sun Mar 21	at	Tennessee United SC (8th)	2–6	10%
·	Sat Apr 10	vs	Chattanooga Red Wolves (2nd)	3–5	17%
·	Sun Apr 11	vs	FC Alliance TN (3rd)	3–5	17%
·	Sat Apr 17	at	Lobos Rush (6th)	2–6	10%
·	Sun Apr 18	at	Germantown Legends (4th)	2–6	10%
·	Tue Apr 20	vs	Germantown Legends (4th)	3–5	17%
·	Sat Apr 24	vs	Tennessee United SC (8th)	3–5	17%
·	Sun Apr 25	vs	Tennessee SC Murfreesboro (7th)	3–5	17%
·	Sat May 1	at	Indy Eleven Spirit (5th)	2–6	10%
·	Sun May 2	at	Indy Eleven Spirit (5th)	2–6	10%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (4.49 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.