Result · Sunday, Oct 18, 11:00 AM
Mississippi Surf 1–2 Mississippi Rush United
Final
By today's ratings the model gave this result a 21% chance — a mild surprise. Pre-match odds were 62% home, 18% draw, 21% away, most likely 2–1.
| Season so far | Mississippi Surf | Mississippi Rush United |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 7th | 3rd |
| Record (W-D-L) | 2-0-3 | 2-0-1 |
| Points per game | 1.20 | 2.00 |
| Goals for / game | 3.4 | 1.0 |
| Goals against / game | 2.2 | 1.7 |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 1 |
| Held scoreless | 0 | 1 |
| Form (recent first) | L W L L W | W L W |
| Biggest win | 9–0 at Tennessee SC Murfreesboro | 1–0 vs Lobos Rush |
| Worst loss | 1–5 vs Germantown Legends | 0–4 at Mississippi Surf |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | +0.68 | -0.22 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | -0.15 | +0.44 |
Already met this season: Oct 17 4–0 (home for Mississippi Surf); Oct 18 1–2 (home for Mississippi Surf)
What's at stake
| Mississippi Surf | Mississippi Rush United | |
|---|---|---|
| Position now | 7th | 3rd |
| Games left | 11 | 13 |
| Chance of top 4 | 61% | 29% |
| Chance of 1st | 1% | 1% |
| Average finish | 4.2 | 5.5 |
How the results connect
4 chains
2 favour Mississippi Surf, 2 favour Mississippi Rush United; average margin +1.5 goals toward Mississippi Surf.
- -1Mississippi Surf lost to Mississippi Rush United 1–2
- +4Mississippi Surf beat Mississippi Rush United 4–0
- -3Mississippi Surf lost to Germantown Legends 1–5 → Germantown Legends beat Lobos Rush 2–0 → Lobos Rush lost to Mississippi Rush United 0–1
- +6Mississippi Surf beat Tennessee SC Murfreesboro 9–0 → Tennessee SC Murfreesboro lost to Lobos Rush 1–3 → Lobos Rush lost to Mississippi Rush United 0–1
Full picture: Mississippi Surf · Mississippi Rush United · Mid-America GU14 standings