Preview · Sunday, Apr 4, TBD
MVLA vs Bay Area Surf
Forecast
Most likely score 3–1 (expected goals 3.4 home, 1.2 away)
| Season so far | MVLA | Bay Area Surf |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 2nd | 4th |
| Record (W-D-L) | 6-1-1 | 5-1-3 |
| Points per game | 2.38 | 1.78 |
| Goals for / game | 3.4 | 2.1 |
| Goals against / game | 0.8 | 2.1 |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 1 |
| Held scoreless | 2 | 2 |
| Form (recent first) | W W W L W | L W L L W |
| Biggest win | 9–0 vs Pleasanton RAGE | 5–2 at Davis Legacy |
| Worst loss | 0–1 at Force | 0–7 at San Juan SC |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | +1.75 | -0.02 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | -0.31 | -0.02 |
Common opponents: Mustang SC — MVLA 0–0; Bay Area Surf 3–1. Stanislaus Surf — MVLA 5–1; Bay Area Surf 3–1. Davis Legacy — MVLA 8–2; Bay Area Surf 5–2. Marin FC — MVLA 2–1; Bay Area Surf 1–1. Force — MVLA 0–1; Bay Area Surf 0–1, 2–3. Placer United — MVLA 2–1, 1–0; Bay Area Surf 1–0. Pleasanton RAGE — MVLA 9–0; Bay Area Surf 4–3.
What's at stake
| MVLA | Bay Area Surf | |
|---|---|---|
| Position now | 2nd | 4th |
| Games left | 11 | 10 |
| Chance of top 4 | 100% | 33% |
| Chance of 1st | 33% | 0% |
| Average finish | 1.9 | 5.1 |
How the results connect
70 chains
49 favour MVLA, 12 favour Bay Area Surf, 9 even; average margin +2.4 goals toward MVLA.
- 0MVLA beat Placer United 1–0 → Placer United lost to Bay Area Surf 0–1
- 0MVLA beat Placer United 2–1 → Placer United lost to Bay Area Surf 0–1
- 0MVLA lost to Force 0–1 → Force beat Bay Area Surf 1–0
- 0MVLA lost to Force 0–1 → Force beat Bay Area Surf 3–2
- +1MVLA beat Marin FC 2–1 → Marin FC drew with Bay Area Surf 1–1
- +2MVLA beat Stanislaus Surf 5–1 → Stanislaus Surf lost to Bay Area Surf 1–3
Full picture: MVLA · Bay Area Surf · Golden State GU18/19 standings