Preview · Sunday, Nov 1, TBD
Bay Area Surf vs Mustang SC
Forecast
Most likely score 2–1 (expected goals 2.2 home, 1.6 away)
| Season so far | Bay Area Surf | Mustang SC |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 4th | 8th |
| Record (W-D-L) | 5-1-3 | 4-1-5 |
| Points per game | 1.78 | 1.30 |
| Goals for / game | 2.1 | 1.5 |
| Goals against / game | 2.1 | 1.8 |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 3 |
| Held scoreless | 2 | 2 |
| Form (recent first) | L W L L W | W W W L L |
| Biggest win | 5–2 at Davis Legacy | 3–0 vs Force |
| Worst loss | 0–7 at San Juan SC | 1–4 at Marin FC |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | -0.02 | -0.29 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | -0.02 | -0.39 |
Already met this season: Sep 13 3–1 (away for Bay Area Surf)
Common opponents: Stanislaus Surf — Bay Area Surf 3–1; Mustang SC 2–1. Pleasanton RAGE — Bay Area Surf 4–3; Mustang SC 2–0, 4–2. Placer United — Bay Area Surf 1–0; Mustang SC 1–2. Marin FC — Bay Area Surf 1–1; Mustang SC 1–4. San Juan SC — Bay Area Surf 0–7; Mustang SC 1–4. Force — Bay Area Surf 0–1, 2–3; Mustang SC 3–0. Davis Legacy — Bay Area Surf 5–2; Mustang SC 0–2.
What's at stake
| Bay Area Surf | Mustang SC | |
|---|---|---|
| Position now | 4th | 8th |
| Games left | 10 | 9 |
| Chance of top 4 | 33% | 2% |
| Chance of 1st | 0% | 0% |
| Average finish | 5.1 | 7.0 |
How the results connect
68 chains
34 favour Bay Area Surf, 23 favour Mustang SC, 11 even; average margin +0.4 goals toward Bay Area Surf.
- +2Bay Area Surf beat Mustang SC 3–1
- -1Bay Area Surf beat Pleasanton RAGE 4–3 → Pleasanton RAGE lost to Mustang SC 0–2
- -1Bay Area Surf beat Pleasanton RAGE 4–3 → Pleasanton RAGE lost to Mustang SC 2–4
- +1Bay Area Surf beat Stanislaus Surf 3–1 → Stanislaus Surf lost to Mustang SC 1–2
- +2Bay Area Surf beat Placer United 1–0 → Placer United beat Mustang SC 2–1
- +3Bay Area Surf drew with Marin FC 1–1 → Marin FC beat Mustang SC 4–1
Full picture: Bay Area Surf · Mustang SC · Golden State GU18/19 standings