Result · Sunday, Sep 27, TBD
Force 1–0 Bay Area Surf
Final
By today's ratings the model gave this result a 59% chance. Pre-match odds were 59% home, 19% draw, 22% away, most likely 2–1.
| Season so far | Force | Bay Area Surf |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 3rd | 4th |
| Record (W-D-L) | 6-1-1 | 5-1-3 |
| Points per game | 2.38 | 1.78 |
| Goals for / game | 1.9 | 2.1 |
| Goals against / game | 1.1 | 2.1 |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 1 |
| Held scoreless | 2 | 2 |
| Form (recent first) | W W W W L | L W L L W |
| Biggest win | 5–1 vs Stanislaus Surf | 5–2 at Davis Legacy |
| Worst loss | 0–3 at Mustang SC | 0–7 at San Juan SC |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | +0.64 | -0.02 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | +0.34 | -0.02 |
Already met this season: Sep 27 1–0 (home for Force); Oct 10 3–2 (away for Force)
Common opponents: Placer United — Force 0–0; Bay Area Surf 1–0. San Juan SC — Force 2–1; Bay Area Surf 0–7. Marin FC — Force 3–2; Bay Area Surf 1–1. Mustang SC — Force 0–3; Bay Area Surf 3–1. Stanislaus Surf — Force 5–1; Bay Area Surf 3–1.
What's at stake
| Force | Bay Area Surf | |
|---|---|---|
| Position now | 3rd | 4th |
| Games left | 11 | 10 |
| Chance of top 4 | 98% | 33% |
| Chance of 1st | 5% | 0% |
| Average finish | 2.8 | 5.1 |
How the results connect
45 chains
28 favour Force, 13 favour Bay Area Surf, 4 even; average margin +1.3 goals toward Force.
- +1Force beat Bay Area Surf 3–2
- +1Force beat Bay Area Surf 1–0
- +1Force beat Marin FC 3–2 → Marin FC drew with Bay Area Surf 1–1
- -1Force drew with Placer United 0–0 → Placer United lost to Bay Area Surf 0–1
- +2Force beat Stanislaus Surf 5–1 → Stanislaus Surf lost to Bay Area Surf 1–3
- -5Force lost to Mustang SC 0–3 → Mustang SC lost to Bay Area Surf 1–3
Full picture: Force · Bay Area Surf · Golden State GU18/19 standings